Here it is, an overdue update of our ranking with a seismic shuffling (I've retained links to some of the candidates' rates of
unreturned serves where available though many of the lists need an update of their own):
- Sampras
- Ivanisevic
- Karlovic
- Gonzales
- Krajicek
- Arthurs
- Roddick
- Newcombe
- Isner
- Becker
- Philippoussis
- Zivojinovic
- McEnroe
- Raonic
- Curren
- Stich
- Tanner
- Federer
- Rusedski
- Muller
The Honorary Hall of Fame (by order of birth only):
- McLoughlin, Maurice - perhaps the first distinguished cannonball serve in tennis history
- Tilden - yet another storied power serve, which he bolstered with spin and accuracy
- Doeg, John - Ivanisevic to Vines' Sampras, a southpaw whose serve was considered one of the two or three greatest ever in his heyday
- Stoefen, Lester - one of the first giants with a feared high-rise rocket launcher
- Vines - by many accounts, the best and fastest serve of the pre-WWII era
- Kramer - in addition to a formidable first delivery, perhaps the best second serve before Newcombe and Sampras
- Denton - his unusual service motion notwithstanding, an ace dispenser that could bring enormous heat
- Edberg - for his iconic kicker (any logo ring a bell?), arguably the best ever for serve-and-volley
- Johansson, Joachim - Denton of the aughts
And a few potential additions, with the year of birth in parentheses (I suppose we're still looking to cover all of tennis history, no?):
- Bob Falkenburg (1926)
- Mike Sangster (1940)
- Colin Dibley (1944)
- John Feaver (1952)
- Victor Amaya (1954)
- Kevin Anderson (1986)
- Sam Querrey (1987)
- Nick Kyrgios (1995)
As you can see Pistol Pete now sits on top of the ladder. For all these years I'd believed, my unmistakable Sampras fandom notwithstanding, that my boy is a slight notch below Goran and Ivo as a pure server, and I still think the latter two's 1st serve makes them potentially deadlier on a shot-by-shot basis, but the latest discussion of Pete's eye-popping URS numbers in his seven Wimbledon finals vs. those of his great peers made me seriously rethink my long-held pecking order. Let's take a closer look at his career Slam finals:
1993 WIM F W Courier - 50.8% (61/120), 22 aces, 6 DFs [30.1% (41/136), 54.4% (74/136) 1st, 9 aces, 6 DFs]
1994 WIM F W Ivanisevic - 53.5% (54/101), 17 aces, 5 DFs [41.9% (44/105), 25 aces, 6 DFs]
1995 WIM F W Becker - 51.9% (55/106), 23 aces, 7 DFs [35.7% (50/140), 16 aces, 15 DFs]
1997 WIM F W Pioline - 59.2% (45/76), 17 aces, 2 DFs [39.7% (31/78), 13 aces, 1 DF]
1998 WIM F W Ivanisevic - 45.8% (71/155), 12 aces, 8 DFs [47.2% (84/178), 32 aces, 20 DFs]
1999 WIM F W Agassi - 46.2% (43/93), 16 aces, 5 DFs [36.7% (36/98), 5 aces, 6 DFs]
2000 WIM F W Rafter - 52.3% (69/132), 27 aces, 12 DFs [39.5% (66/167), 12 aces, 8 DFs]
Career WIM Fs - 50.8% (398/783)
1990 USO F W Agassi - 41.7% (30/72), 13 aces, 1 DF [15% (15/100), 0 aces, 1 DF]
*1992 USO F L Edberg - 29.6% (40/135?), 10 aces, 11 DFs [30.6% (37?/121), 8 aces, 5 DFs]
1993 USO F W Pioline - 47.1% (33/70), 12 aces, 4 DFs [25.5% (26/102), 7 aces, 8 DFs]
1995 USO F W Agassi - 47.1% (57/121), 24 aces, 6 DFs [25.2% (29/115), 8 aces, 5 DFs]
1996 USO F W Chang - 38.9% (37/95), 13 aces, 4 DFs [??% (??/75), 11 aces, 3 DFs]
2000 USO F L Safin - 44.3% (35/79), 8 aces, 4 DFs [30.5% (25/82), 12 aces, 2 DFs]
2001 USO F L Hewitt – 33.3% (33/99), 11 aces, 6 DFs [32.5% (25/77), 7 aces, 5 DFs]
2002 USO F W Agassi - 44.1% (67/152), 33 aces, 13 DFs [29.6% (37/125), 7 aces, 4 DFs]
Career USO Fs - 40.3% (332/823)
1994 AO F W Martin - 34.9% (38/109), 54.1% (59/109) 1st, 13 aces, 7 DFs [26.4% (29/110), 50.9% (56/110) 1st, 6 aces, 4 DFs]
1995 AO F L Agassi - 41.0% (57/139), 51.1% (71/139) 1st, 28 aces, 6 DFs [30.5% (36/118), 69.5% (82/118) 1st, 10 aces, 4 DFs]
1997 AO F W Moya - 43.5% (30/69), 72.5% 1st, 12 aces, 2 DFs [29.1% (23/79), 63.3% 1st, 2 aces, 3 DFs]
Career AO Fs - 39.4% (125/317)
Career GS Fs - 44.5% (855/1923), 46.9% (690/1471) in Fs won
(*My numbers for the '92 USO final conflict with both @
abmk's and
TA's, hence the question marks.)
That's almost 45% for his whole career, close to 47% if we take only the finals won. As you may know from
@slice serve ace's URS primer a player is awfully tough to break when he gets 45% of his serves unreturned. When he scores above 50%, virtually unbreakable (no wonder Pete won a whopping 96.9% of his service games in his Wimby finals!).
We also know from our fair-sized samples for Ivanisevic and Karlovic that even they don't crack 45-50% every day, and that even their numbers drop vs. top competition, let alone on the biggest stage that is a GS final. AND we know, despite all the moaning about the slowed-down courts of today, that players are holding serve more often than ever thanks largely to the extra spin provided by newer racquets. Put these facts together and it's hard to imagine either Goran or Ivo doing much better than Sampras vs. the same opponents with more or less the same equipment, and in Goran's case at least with respect to Wimbledon we don't even have to guess as we know he didn't crack 50% in any of his four finals. (Granted he was twice up against arguably the single best grass-courter in history and once against arguably the best returner ever, but at the same time we know Goran could implode at any moment against any opponent.)
Since I've long strived to rate these serves as stand-alone shots I've resisted putting too much stock in the so-called clutch factor, but there's much to be said for reliability in the biggest matches and at this point it's hard to deny that Sampras was and remains almost certainly the single greatest server of the Open Era and quite possibly ever. His standing as such among tennis circles is more than "hype" or "mythology." The (lesser-known) numbers prove it or at least strongly reinforce it, and while the likes of Ivanisevic, Krajicek, Arthurs, Karlovic and Isner might be "better" day in day out there was no one more dangerous or trustworthy on the sport's biggest stages than Sampras.
On a similar (and smaller) note I've also bumped Federer up to 18th place. Again Rusedski along with unranked candidates like Anderson and Querrey might well boast a bigger serve, but none of them can match Fed's amazing longevity and reliability and it's only out of respect for Tanner's formidable reputation that I've kept his challenger at bay for now. But that should tell you what an overloaded collection of historic talents we're dealing with here, to have a proven ATG server like Fed sit outside the top 17. They really are the proverbial cream of the crop.
(To be continued.)