Everyone can find a number of pictures that seem to support their views, also known as 'cherry picking'.
I don't recall seeing research of a number of
good serves from high level servers to show us stats on how open or closed the racket is at initial contact. Effective servers miss 30-40% of their serves, so showing a single picture where you don't even know if the serve was good or not does not help answer the question -
How open or closed is the racket at the initial contact for the average high level serve?
The racket might be closing at a rate as high as 2° per millisecond before impact so very high speed video is necessary to properly see this. Most high speed videos of serves are 200-300 fps - not very high speed. At 240 fps, a frame is capture every 4.2 milliseconds. Therefore the racket face may be closing as much as 8° during the 4.2 milliseconds between frames.
This video at 420 fps illustrates that the first frame that the ball is observed on the strings the racket is about neutral while 2.4 milliseconds earlier the racket face is open. It could have been open at initial impact. ? Whether the serve was good is not known.
Frame 2.4 milliseconds before impact. Racket is open.
First frame showing ball on strings. The racket is slightly closed. The leading edge of the ball has just begun to move based on using the fan's leg in the background as a reference. ISR has rotated the racket head and the swing has tilted it forward in these 2.4 milliseconds. The change in the angle seems larger than it should be in 2.4 milliseconds. ?
See #17 for source of estimated racket closing rate.
http://www.spalla.it/handout/2012_aprile/ELLIOTT_Biom_of_serve_Italy_20_m.pdf
Frames are caught at random times by high speed video. Exactly when a frame is exposed is always unknown.
For the first frame that shows the ball in contact with the strings (see Assumptions below) :
1) If the racket face is open (oriented up) then it was probably more open at initial contact. (This makes it much easier to use high speed videos to argue that the face is open at initial impact.)
2) If the racket face is closed (oriented down) then it was probably less closed or open at initial contact. You have to consider how rapidly the racket is closing and the camera's frame rate. (This makes it more difficult to use high speed videos to argue that the racket face is closed at initial impact.)
If a neutral sample (no cherry picking) of good serves can show the racket face open in the first frame with contact, then that is a good case.
If a neutral sample of good serves can show the racket face closed in the first frame with contact, then more work has to be done to argue the face is closed for the initial contact.
I've looked at a lot of the first frames that show ball impact. I mostly do not know if the serves were good. My rule of thumb is that the the racket is within a few degrees of vertical. I'd like to know more on the issue based on research.
I don't have a clear idea of what "hit up on the ball" means. I also did not see that Tomaz discussed this level of detail for the angle of initial contact.
Assumptions for above:
1) Assume that the frame exposure time is very short compared to the time between frames and motion blur is very small.
2) Jello Effect distortion is not considerable in the high speed video. This issue has to be known for certain cameras because it might falsely make the racket appear bent. This issue has caused big problems and embarrassment in golf by falsely bending gold club shafts.
3) The racket has not been distorted or considerably tilted by the impact. From the 6000 fps video this might be an issue for accuracy.