How far can Sinner go?

Dominic & Andrey

Hall of Fame
His serve being still a weakness, if he faces R4 Zverev (Olympics/Cincinnati level), I think he will lose in straights in a pretty straightforward match. But it's a slam and it's Zverev so no one can know for sure
 

socallefty

Legend
If the courts are playing fast, a player with a relatively weak serve like Sinner will be more disadvantaged especially for day matches. He is probably hoping that he will get scheduled for some humid night matches under slower conditions when he plays higher seeds.
 

Amen786

Semi-Pro
If he can get past Max Purcell, how far can young Jannik go?
I'd take a wild guess and say he will make atleast make SF out of the quarter. And if Djokovic isn't standing in his way, anything can happen.
Inshallah play well, little man.
 

Jack the Hack

Hall of Fame
If the courts are playing fast, a player with a relatively weak serve like Sinner will be more disadvantaged especially for day matches. He is probably hoping that he will get scheduled for some humid night matches under slower conditions when he plays higher seeds.
Respectfully, wouldn't it be the opposite?

In other words, fast courts and hot conditions would enhance the effect of an otherwise average serve, right?

For me personally, I don't have a huge serve. I top out at around 110 mph if I'm really going for it, but usually rely more on spin and placement, making my average serve more in the 85 to 90 mph range. On a slow court or in humid conditions, my serve can sit up and give returners just a fraction more time to smack it. But if I am playing on grass or a slick hard court, especially at altitude or in hot dry conditions, the effect is that my serve skids through and I get more free points, making it easier to hold.

Given this, I would think a fast court helps Sinner hold serve more, while his return game (which is pretty good) might be a little more challenged, but is still a strength given his fast hands and timing.
 

socallefty

Legend
Respectfully, wouldn't it be the opposite?

In other words, fast courts and hot conditions would enhance the effect of an otherwise average serve, right?

For me personally, I don't have a huge serve. I top out at around 110 mph if I'm really going for it, but usually rely more on spin and placement, making my average serve more in the 85 to 90 mph range. On a slow court or in humid conditions, my serve can sit up and give returners just a fraction more time to smack it. But if I am playing on grass or a slick hard court, especially at altitude or in hot dry conditions, the effect is that my serve skids through and I get more free points, making it easier to hold.

Given this, I would think a fast court helps Sinner hold serve more, while his return game (which is pretty good) might be a little more challenged, but is still a strength given his fast hands and timing.
We will see - he is playing against top pros, their better serves might be hard to break on fast courts and he might lose a bunch of tiebreakers or one-break sets to lose a match against a good server. I feel that a lot more guys in the top 50 get dangerous on fast courts if they have a big serve and FH. On slow courts including clay where there are more breaks of serve of all players, superior baseliners like Sinner who hit with a lot of topspin seem to do better.

I feel that he will get broken in every set whether he plays in the day or night at this USO against good players, but he might break more if it is slower at night.
 

Aabye5

Hall of Fame
I'd take a wild guess and say he will make atleast make SF out of the quarter. And if Djokovic isn't standing in his way, anything can happen.
Inshallah play well, little man.
Picking him over Zverev, interesting...that's quite bold.
 

DjokoLand

Hall of Fame
He should make it too Zverev for me but no way past if the German is there. Zverev is just become a different player and his form is excellent so I see no way past him. But then again Zverev does always let down in slams so you never know
 

Arak

Hall of Fame
Sinner seems to have no endurance lately. He’s gassed easily and that’s not good in BO5. I’m not expecting much from him.
 
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