How many Australian Opens will Djokovic win

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How many Australian Opens for the Australian Open GOAT

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NadalAgassi

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When his career is over how many Australian Opens will Djokovic have won. I am going to guess 7. 2 of the next 3, and 1 of the remaining 4 after that. I could see minimum of 6 and maximum of 9 though.
 
NadalAgassi said:
When his career is over how many Australian Opens will Djokovic have won. I am going to guess 7. 2 of the next 3, and 1 of the remaining 4 after that. I could see minimum of 6 and maximum of 9 though.
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When I first joined here in 2010 you were saying Djokovic was a one-slam wonder, now you are claiming he will win 400 AO's.

Things change quickly in tennis. I will say Djokovic will win approx. 6 AO's (so perhaps two more.) He is almost 26 years old, it is not like he is 19.
 
All it takes is a couple of 18 year olds to come through at any time and everything could change. Remember when Murray and Djoker came through in 2006?
 
BeHappy said:
All it takes is a couple of 18 year olds to come through at any time and everything could change. Remember when Murray and Djoker came through in 2006?
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That is what I think as well. Djokovic is already almost 26. He probably has another good solid two years and then he will start to decline.
 
NadalAgassi said:
When his career is over how many Australian Opens will Djokovic have won. I am going to guess 7. 2 of the next 3, and 1 of the remaining 4 after that. I could see minimum of 6 and maximum of 9 though.
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9?! Come on, he's 26 and has 4, you think he may possibly win FIVE more? AO is a young man's slam these days, I highly doubt Djoker is going to be winning it all the way till he's 31.

I think 6 is a good approximation.
 
DragonBlaze said:
9?! Come on, he's 26 and has 4, you think he may possibly win FIVE more? AO is a young man's slam these days, I highly doubt Djoker is going to be winning it all the way till he's 31.

I think 6 is a good approximation.
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And if he had 9 by the time he was 31 that would mean he had won 8 in a row. Looking at him strugglig to beat Warwrinka and his 5 set epics with Murray and Nadal last year, I don't see that. But NA always swings from one extreme to the other. Plus he's desperate to annoint Djokovic undisputed AO GOAT already which he isn't (Before anyone says it, just like I don't reckon Federer has surpassed Sampras at the USO - I am fairly consistant in my critera, not chopping and changing)

I say 6 for Djokovic. I could also see him winning another 2-3 US Opens and 1 or 2 Wimbledons/RG if nobody steps up in the next 5 years. Which is a depressing thought. I had hoped that Delpo would be winning more slams by now and that Cilic might join him and maybe Dimitrov and Tomic (though he is such a brat I don't really want him to anymore) would be on their way to slam winning in the next couple of years.
 
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DragonBlaze said:
9?! Come on, he's 26 and has 4, you think he may possibly win FIVE more? AO is a young man's slam these days, I highly doubt Djoker is going to be winning it all the way till he's 31.

I think 6 is a good approximation.
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He is 25, not 26. Stop trying to age him faster. I had him winning 2 of the next 3 which takes him only until he is 28, hardly super old in the sport of tennis. 1 more after that is hardly unreasonable either, it is not like it is safe to say Djokovic's last major will be at 28, especialy giving the state of the up and comers. I did not predict 9, I said that would be the maximum, aka unlikely.
 
Towser83 said:
And if he had 9 by the time he was 31 that would mean he had won 8 in a row. Looking at him strugglig to beat Warwrinka and his 5 set epics with Murray and Nadal last year, I don't see that. But NA always swings from one extreme to the other. Plus he's desperate to annoint Djokovic undisputed AO GOAT already which he isn't (Just like I don't reckon Federer has surpasse Sampras at the USO - I am fairly consistant in my critera, not chopping and changing)

I say 6 for Djokovic.
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Yeah, I say 6 too.

People just think, "Djokovic is favorite for each of the next 3 or 4 AOs so the law of probability says he wins all 3/4." But probability doesn't work that way. It works match-by-match, tournament by tournament.
 
I think he can add a 5th, if he stays fit possibly a 6th. He is by far the most dominant player ever in the AO (Open era).
 
9+ more ?

The chances of him being stuck at 4 is far more greater than winning that much. There should be an option for 4.
 
TMF said:
No it's not. You're crazy to believe if he can win 9+ AO rather than stay at 4.
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Oooops, didn't make myself clear. My objection was Djokovic being stuck at 4.
It's silly for anybody to say 9+. That's just somebody trolling. I voted 6 at most by the way.
 
cc0509 said:
It will take less time than that.
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Who do you see in the near horizon ?
Those people you're seeing should be making great strides by now if they are to contend for the GS in the next 2 yrs, the way that Nads, Djoker and Muzza did.
Who are your prospect ?
 
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beast of mallorca said:
Who do you see in the near horizon ?
Those people you're seeing should be making great strides by now if they are to tend for the GS in the next 2 yrs, the way that Nads, Djoker and Muzza did.
Who are your prospects ?
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I hate to say this, but Tomic is one. I can see him beating Djokovic at the Australian Open in 2015 if he keeps his head together. Not saying he will, just that he could.
 
beast of mallorca said:
Who do you see in the near horizon ?
Those people you're seeing should be making great strides by now if they are to tend for the GS in the next 2 yrs, the way that Nads, Djoker and Muzza did.
Who are your prospects ?
Click to expand...

Well Murray for sure should give Djokovic competition. We will have to see what happens with Nadal off clay as well. With the younger generation, I am not sure who will step up first, maybe Raonic/Tomic but I do know that eventually it will happen and it will happen when we least expect it and will happen quickly. I think saying it won't happen for another three or four years is too long.
 
NadalAgassi said:
When his career is over how many Australian Opens will Djokovic have won. I am going to guess 7. 2 of the next 3, and 1 of the remaining 4 after that. I could see minimum of 6 and maximum of 9 though.
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I'm going with 7 as well.

My prediction is he'll win it in 2014, 2016 and win one way past his prime when he isn't the firm favourite anymore and is near the end of his career.
 
zagor said:
I'm going with 7 as well.

My prediction is he'll win it in 2014, 2016 and win one way past his prime when he isn't the firm favourite anymore and is near the end of his career.
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Pretty much what I see too. The one year from 2014-2016 he doesnt win will either be Nadal or Murray IMO.
 
NadalAgassi said:
Pretty much what I see too. The one year from 2014-2016 he doesnt win will either be Nadal or Murray IMO.
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Yeah, one of those two, I don't think there will be many surprise winners in slams to come in the near future, the field is just too shallow at the moment outside top 4.

At the moment Murray winning his 1st AO seems more likely than Nadal winning his 2nd AO but I learned over the years never to count him out, if he recovers physically he'll still be a contender in slams (and I'm not talking just FO).
 
zagor said:
Yeah, one of those two, I don't think there will be many surprise winners in slams to come in the near future, the field is just too shallow at the moment outside top 4.

At the moment Murray winning his 1st AO seems more likely than Nadal winning his 2nd AO but I learned over the years never to count him out, if he recovers physically he'll still be a contender in slams (and I'm not talking just FO).
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Who knows, but the Australian Open might be jinxed for Murray. It might remain his almost but not quite slam. I think the Australian and Wimbledon are Nadal's best chances for future slams besides the French. I have a feeling he will win each once more (Wimbledon maybe more than once) if he comes back strongly, a big if of course. I dont think he can beat Djokovic at the Australian though, so it would be in a year someone else took Djokovic out.
 
I don't think Djokovic will win the Aussie Open next year, but I think he will win it again sometime down the line, so I voted 5.

There should really be an option for 4 though, because it's not a given that he will ever win another slam. That goes for every player.
 
6 or 7 I'd say, I can see someone knocking him off his perch once in the next 2 years but I imagine he'll nab one later in his career too.
 
To those who pick only 5, who is going to win all those others. That would have to mean Nadal and Murray each winning 1 of the next 3 as well, leaving only 1 of the next 3 for Djokovic. Not impossible I supposed but Djokovic is the heavy favorite vs either Nadal and Murray in Australia, when even in 2012 in subpar form that tournament he beat on fire and playing out of their minds Murray and Nadal. Then all new winners after 2016. Seems unlikely to me anyway.
 
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