How many GS will Nadal add to his tally?

How many GS will Nadal add to his tally?

  • 0

    Votes: 16 19.5%

  • 1

    Votes: 15 18.3%

  • 2

    Votes: 22 26.8%

  • 3

    Votes: 16 19.5%

  • 4

    Votes: 5 6.1%

  • 5

    Votes: 2 2.4%

  • 6

    Votes: 6 7.3%
  • Total voters
    82
RealBrotzu

RealBrotzu

Rookie
I'd say he will retire end of 2021, that's being optimistic.
That means he still has 15 chances to win Grand Slams.
Provided he will win FO 2018, 2019, 2020 (I doubt he will), he'd still need 2 more Slams to overcome Federer.
TBH I don't think he can grab W or AO anymore, therefore he must aim for USO...but can he win it 2 more times? Plus, he must hope Federer will not win GS anymore. Basically old Nadal needs to win 33.3℅ of GS tournaments he is going to participate in, a better ratio than young Nadal.
 
At best he'll win 2 of the next 3 editions of the FO. Possibly 1 but let's take 2.
Wimbledon no chance.
So he basically needs 3 Slams from the AO or the US and he has 3 shots at both.

This of course assuming Federer won't any more Slams which is doubtful. I seriously can't see anyone beating him at Wimbledon if nothing changes.

I think Nadal will end his career with at least 2 Slams less than Federer.
 
If Roger wins Wimbledon and AO the next year Nadal wont be able to overtake him.I think Nadal will win 2 or 3 French open and one lucky USA open
 
I could see him winning 3-5 slams over the next few years. All depends on the body, really, and the shape of the other big boys. It is laughable to me that some people chose the "0" option. But then again, you just never know. Sometimes people drop off Borg-style. But I just don't see Rafa dropping off. He'll take time off, rehab, do his thing to get back, and go for the French at the very least for the next three years.
 
Plamen1234 said:
If Roger wins Wimbledon and AO the next year Nadal wont be able to overtake him.
Click to expand...

Rafa's not going to overtake him as it stands now even if Fed never wins another slam. It's ludicrous to think any 32 year old is winning 5 more majors. Consult how many slams have been won by players over 30 in the Open era. It's no different than the Djoker fans chanting 2 years ago, "20-25 slams is in the bag!"
 
BeatlesFan said:
Rafa's not going to overtake him as it stands now even if Fed never wins another slam. It's ludicrous to think any 32 year old is winning 5 more majors. Consult how many slams have been won by players over 30 in the Open era. It's no different than the Djoker fans chanting 2 years ago, "20-25 slams is in the bag!"
Click to expand...

Hopefully he wont.Nadal doesnt deserve to overtake or even reach Roger in Grand Slam titles.Djokovic fans were too optimistic - he could have reached 17 Grand Slams if his form havent collapses
 
As long as the field stays the way it is, i.e. Djokovic doesn't become a force again and the younger players continue as they are, Federer and Nadal have to try and take advantage(the way Djokovic did between 2014 and 2016) and win whatever slams they can. Who knows what will happen between Federer and Nadal. I surely don't. I think it will be difficult for Nadal to win four or five more but it's not impossible with the current field. As I said in another thread, Nadal will have to hope Federer stops winning more slams.
 
cc0509 said:
As long as the field stays the way it is, i.e. Djokovic doesn't become a force again and the younger players continue as they are, Federer and Nadal have to try and take advantage(the way Djokovic did between 2014 and 2016) and win whatever slams they can. Who knows what will happen between Federer and Nadal. I surely don't. I think it will be difficult for Nadal to win four or five more but it's not impossible with the current field. As I said in another thread, Nadal will have to hope Federer stops winning more slams.
Click to expand...
Djokovic in 14-16 was 26-29. Nadal is 31 already, Federer 36. You can't assume that either have multiple years of slams left.

But if either do, it's more likely to be Federer, since he already has father time beat.
 
EloQuent said:
Djokovic in 14-16 was 26-29. Nadal is 31 already, Federer 36. You can't assume that either have multiple years of slams left.

But if either do, it's more likely to be Federer, since he already has father time beat.
Click to expand...

Djokovic is out of the race as far as Federer is concerned. The only question for Djokovic is whether he can come back in good enough form to give Nadal a run for his money.

I agree that winning slams at age 30+ is tough but Nadal won two at age 31 last year because he's taking advantage of this weak field. If Federer doesn't win another slam this year and Nadal wins the FO and USO(a slam Nadal has been better than Federer at for the past decade) then what? We have to wait and see if Federer can win Wimbledon and/or the USO.
 
The field is currently fairly depleted. Rafa and Fed are at the top of the game. I can see him winning four more - I think there will be three RG (yes he will be 35 in three years but he is the clay GOAT for a reason, no one comes close and no stats of how old people have won at RG apply to him, he is that much better) and I think over the years he has played really well at the AO, with some bad luck and ultra-quality opponents (2012 & 2017). I think there will be a year where the AO will finally come together for him - he has also has a good record at the US Open.
 
EloQuent said:
I think he wins the French in 2019 and that's it. 17.

He's not going to be playing at 35.
Click to expand...
I don't think he wins this year. Not guaranteeing that of course. My guess is 2 FO and a UO.

Pressure/health or some outside force gets in the way.

Just doesn't feel like a usual Rafa year.

Real answer: I think Fed set Nadal up for failure today with his announcement. Nadal did it out of the gate while injured :rolleyes: saying I'm hurt but bet your a** I will be in Acapulco. His chess move relied on Fed resting for Sunshine Double. Fed considering Dubai they said... plays Rotterdam :pinstead. Not many points for Nadal in IW to defend. Has final points in Miami and ton of clay points and FO itself. Nadal has a tougher road in holding or regaining the points lead during this time frame, since he played both surfaces last year. Fed has options now as long as plays decent. He can even even skip one of them. Never know when Nadal will. Then he has the entire clay season to play pressure free tennis probably making qtrs(equivalent to Nadal HC) He doesn't have to worry about injuries and such. He can tank a Masters in a later round to save himself. Only save his absolute best for a RG. Just 3rd or 4th round is fine. He will have Halle and Wimbledon following. We all know that the later part of the year is unpredictable for Rafa. He either withdraws, makes a qtr, or wins. WTF not happening.

Meant the YEC of course.
 
Federer and Del Potro said:
Who even knows anymore. You keep thinking someone will step up and say enough is enough (especially for @Meles ' sanity) - but I don't know.

2-3 more wouldn't surprise me.

That said, every time we start thinking about Nadal's total count, Fred seems to win another.
Click to expand...
these threads
vomit-into-the-toilet.gif
 
In defence of Nadal fans, Rafa will for as long as he can swing a racquet have one of the biggest forehands on the tour. With a weapon that big, he could catch fire a few more times for just the two weeks it takes to win a slam. Contrast that with the Djokovic fans who were so sure that a player whose weapon is literally just his speed and consistency would contend for majors for another 5 years.
 
If Nadal fails at RG this year the race is over. Stone dead. It's absolutely must-win. Everything depends on him defending RG at a minimum (unless he wins Wimb and USO which he's as likely to as I am).

If he fails to keep pace (win the same number of slams as Federer) this year it's almost certainly over too e.g. Nadal wins RG, Fed wins Wimb, and Nadal fails to reply at USO again like he did last year.

If Fed wins no more this year and Nad just wins RG, then it's still extremely unlikely. But it's probably the best Nad can hope for this year.
 
I think Rafa will win at least 2 more RGs + another slam in there.
He could still catch Fed.
 
tennis_pro said:
At best he'll win 2 of the next 3 editions of the FO. Possibly 1 but let's take 2.
Wimbledon no chance.
So he basically needs 3 Slams from the AO or the US and he has 3 shots at both.

This of course assuming Federer won't any more Slams which is doubtful. I seriously can't see anyone beating him at Wimbledon if nothing changes.

I think Nadal will end his career with at least 2 Slams less than Federer.
Click to expand...

I seriously hope so, so you, tennease and a few other Maestronians don't lose the will to live o_O
 
zagor said:
Pretty hard to tell right now.

I'll go with 3, two FOs and one more AO. Just a gut feeling, not based on much else.
Click to expand...

I think he has better chance at USO than AO. I doubt he wins there with the current conditions and Federer, and quite possibly Djokovic back in the mix.
 
zagor said:
I know USO is the obvious pick, which is why I went for AO. My attempt at accounting for tennis unpredictability.

Playing conditions, player forms, injuries, draws etc. can change in a flash.
Click to expand...

True. But I guess that then goes for RG for also.
 
At least four. Sure he gets injured very often, has very physically taxing playing style, yet his longevity just second to Federer. That's quite underrated aspect of his game imo. I expect him to play for 3-4 years with 2 FO and 2 other wins. I am convinced (unfortunately though) that a lot of Tennis left in him after witnessing his Ao level.
 
Last edited:
D.Nalby12 said:
At least four. Sure he gets injured very often, has very physically taxing playing style, yet his longevity just second to Federer. That's quite underrated aspect of his game imo. I expect him to play for 3-4 years with 2 FO and 2 other wins. I am convinced that a lot of Tennis left in him after witnessing his Ao level.
Click to expand...
Yeah, Rafa's longevity is very underrated here because of Federer. The guy is nr.1 at age 32, for now even Federer wasn't able to do that. Plus Nadal is an early bloomer, he is also winning majors since 2005, seems like ages.

I had my doubts, but now Rafa is really making good arguments for being nr.2 of all time.
 
JackGates said:
Yeah, Rafa's longevity is very underrated here because of Federer. The guy is nr.1 at age 32, for now even Federer wasn't able to do that. Plus Nadal is an early bloomer, he is also winning majors since 2005, seems like ages.

I had my doubts, but now Rafa is really making good arguments for being nr.2 of all time.
Click to expand...

Nice try. The GS record is now 20. Nadal’s early blooming nonsense or age gap didn’t stop that.
 
Shank Volley said:
In defence of Nadal fans, Rafa will for as long as he can swing a racquet have one of the biggest forehands on the tour. With a weapon that big, he could catch fire a few more times for just the two weeks it takes to win a slam. Contrast that with the Djokovic fans who were so sure that a player whose weapon is literally just his speed and consistency would contend for majors for another 5 years.
Click to expand...
Cute :D:D
 
True Fanerer said:
Who's your #2? Djokovic or Sampras?
Click to expand...
Laver. For now Pete, Rafa, Nole are the same tier with Rafa leading.

But, come one if Rafa wins 20 majors, he will have arguments against even Laver. Rafa had to go trough goat so many times and trough Nole too. Plus, if Rafa wins 20, he will add weeks nr.1, and probably some non clay slams and could even win WTF.

Rafa will also have to win slams past age 35 to get to 20 majors, so that means he will also surpass Laver's longevity too.
 
cluckcluck said:
2 FOs. No chance if he plays other surfaces.
All this considering he plays a super light schedule.
USO is 50/50 m, higher if the speed stays the same but if they speed it up it quickly goes to 0%.
Click to expand...
I don’t think he can win the USO anymore. It’s not just the speed of the court, but it’s also the time of year. It comes near the end of the season, after he’s put more miles on his body and knees. A hardcourt major coming off a full schedule, at his age, with his health issues, I just don’t see it happening.
 
captainbryce said:
I don’t think he can win the USO anymore. It’s not just the speed of the court, but it’s also the time of year. It comes near the end of the season, after he’s put more miles on his body and knees. A hardcourt major coming off a full schedule, at his age, with his health issues, I just don’t see it happening.
Click to expand...
I don't think mileage is the problem, it's injuries. He can now beat top guys on slow HC even not playing his best.

And his fitness is better than in 2014 where Delpo loss took his legs out.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

Similar threads

T
Will nadal beat federer's grand slam record??
2 3 4
Replies
197
Views
18K
PETEhammer
P
OddJack
Toni says Nadal will pass Fed in GS tally
2 3
Replies
106
Views
7K
the green god
the green god
Z
Federer has left Nadal and Djokovic in the Dust!!
Replies
4
Views
620
Newcomer
N
EmmanuelJ
How many more Grand Slams will Nadal win before he retires?
Replies
27
Views
2K
DSH
DSH
hoodjem
If Nadal wins a true Grand Slam . . .
2
Replies
82
Views
6K
cknobman
cknobman
Back
Top