How many more weeks can Nadal add to his weeks at #1?

[Backspin1183]

I'd like him to reach 200 weeks in total for weeks spent at #1. I'm fine if he doesn't get more. 200 weeks at #1 looks much better than 150 or 180. He is at 181 right now. With Federer unable to defend his Wimbledon points, Nadal can remain number until US Open or even until 2019.

Discuss.

 

[Bukmeikara]

If Djokovic or Federer win Us Open they are the favorities for number 1. If Del Po wins a Master + Us Open suddenly he has a chance. It would be interesting to have a three way race, when was the last time that happen? In 2013 Murray retired midseason, same for Nadal 2012 .. we would need to go back to 2003

 

[Incognito]

I'd like him to reach 200 weeks in total for weeks spent at #1. I'm fine if he doesn't get more. 200 weeks at #1 looks much better than 150 or 180. He is at 181 right now. With Federer unable to defend his Wimbledon points, Nadal can remain number until US Open or even until 2019.

Discuss.

Aside from USO, he’s not defending many point is he? Lost early in Canada and Cincy last year if I’m not mistaken.

 

[tennisaddict]

I don't see Rafa losing No 1 before AO 19 . He could very well retain till next FO.

 

[Backspin1183]

If Djokovic or Federer win Us Open they are the favorities for number 1. If Del Po wins a Master + Us Open suddenly he has a chance. It would be interesting to have a three way race, when was the last time that happen? In 2013 Murray retired midseason, same for Nadal 2012 .. we would need to go back to 2003

Year end number 1? Federer yes if he wins US Open. Djokovic still doubtful even if he wins US Open.

 

[Im(moral) Winner]

Aside from USO, he’s not defending many point is he? Lost early in Canada and Cincy last year if I’m not mistaken.

Beijing plus Shanghai final.

 

[ewiewp]

What's this fixations on weeks of #1 ?

This is year of Nadal's 5th or Federer's 6th (or even Djokovic's 5th or 6th?) year end #1

 

[Incognito]

Beijing plus Shanghai final.

So overall around 1000 points.

 

[Im(moral) Winner]

So overall around 1000 points.

1100 exact in those tournaments Plus he won a few matches in Bercy.

 

[Backspin1183]

1100 exact in those tournaments Plus he won a few matches in Bercy.

2 matches at Bercy. Not many points there.

 

[buscemi]

If Djokovic or Federer win Us Open they are the favorities for number 1.

I think there are a lot of variables in either scenario. In the ATP race, Nadal is at 5,760 points, Federer is at 4,020 points, and Djokovic is at 3,355 points.

1. if Federer and Nadal get equal points in Canada/Cincinnati and Federer beats Nadal in the U.S. Open final, Nadal has a 940 point lead after the U.S. Open;
2. If Federer and Nadal get equal points in Canada/Cincinnati and Federer wins the U.S. Open, with Nadal losing in the QF, Nadal only has a 100 point lead after the U.S. Open;
3. If Djokovic and Nadal get equal points in Canada/Cincinnati and Djokovic beats Nadal in the U.S. Open final, Nadal has a 1,605 point lead after the U.S. Open;
4. If Djokovic and Nadal get equal points in Canada/Cincinnati and Djokovic wins the U.S. Open, with Nadal losing in the QF, Nadal has a 765 point lead after the U.S. Open.​

In #1 and #3, I favor Nadal for YE#1. In #2, I slightly favor Federer. #4 is kind of a toss-up between Djokovic and Nadal. Of course, it's entirely possible that a U.S. Open winning Federer or Djokovic gets more points in Canada/Cincinnati than Nadal or vice versa, and it's also possible that Nadal loses in the SF, R16, 3R, 2R, or 1R of the U.S. Open, all of which would impact the points.

 

[kevaninho]

I don't see Rafa losing No 1 before AO 19 . He could very well retain till next FO.

Something like this. I can only see him gaining more points the rest of this season from 2017. He will definitely be playing all the remaining masters, and he didn't do too great last year in them outwith Shanghai.
Even going into the AO he should go to at least the QF again in 2019, then with him missing the Sunshine double this year, he will gain points there next year most likely.
This all depends on him staying injury free of course, but all going well I think he keeps it for another 40+ weeks going into next year.

 

[Steve0904]

I'll say 20-39. Reasoning: Because now it looks like he might have some real competition for it with Djokovic winning Wimbledon, and not a 36 year old MUG playing half a season.

 

[Backspin1183]

I'll say 20-39. Reasoning: Because now it looks like he might have some real competition for it with Djokovic winning Wimbledon, and not a 36 year old MUG playing half a season.

Haha I'm gonna go with 40-59. I don't wanna underestimate him too much but also want to be realistic. Based on his tennis and body language against Novak in the semi final, I think he is ready to battle the Ultron.

 

[Steve0904]

Haha I'm gonna go with 40-59. I don't wanna underestimate him too much but also want to be realistic. Based on his tennis and body language against Novak in the semi final, I think he is ready to battle the Ultron.

A fair prediction. Actually the more I think about it, you could be right. I don't know how long this run at #1 will last, but he could lose it and get it back again. I honestly never thought about that when I made my prediction. I was under the impression that we were talking about how much longer this stint at #1 would last.

 

[buscemi]

So, adding numbers to the scenarios:

10-19 additional weeks=Nadal holds the #1 ranking through the week of September 24, 2018 (10 weeks)/November 26, 2018 (19 weeks)
20-39 additional weeks=Nadal holds the #1 ranking through the week of December 3, 2018 (20 weeks)/April 15, 2019 (39 weeks)
40-59 additional weeks=Nadal holds the #1 ranking through the week of April 22, 2019 (40 weeks)/September 2, 2019 (59 weeks)
60-79 additional weeks=Nadal holds the #1 ranking through the week of September 9, 2019 (60 weeks)/January 20, 2020 (79 weeks)
80+ additional weeks=Nadal hold the #1 ranking through at least the week of January 27, 2020 (80 weeks)​

Barring significant injuries to all three of Nadal/Federer/Djokovic, which is, of course, a distinct possibility, I see one of those three players holding the #1 ranking until at least the end of 2019/start of 2020. Given that, I think there's definitely a shot that Nadal could add 80+ additional weeks at #1, but it's also possible that Nadal loses the #1 ranking this fall, either temporarily or permanently, and injuries are always a concern with him. I think the picture will be a lot clearer after the U.S. Open.

 

[clout]

Not sure tbh. Had nadal got by djokovic and won wimbledon it would've been VERY difficult to take the number one ranking from him the rest of the way. But because Djokovic held his nerve and pulled through I can still see Federer once again regaining the ranking. As for Djokovic himself though, he will literally have to be perfect the rest of the way to even get a glimpse at finishing number one and this was his first great tournament in like 2 years so I don't wanna jump to conclusions that we're gonna be seeing ultron dominate again.

Federer has quite a bit to defend as well. He's got a finals appearance in Canada (a tourney he may not even play in this year), a quarters at the USO, a win in shanghai and Basel as well as a semis at the WTF. Whereas Rafa only has the USO

 

[clout]

What's this fixations on weeks of #1 ?

This is year of Nadal's 5th or Federer's 6th (or even Djokovic's 5th or 6th?) year end #1

Yeah year end number one usually means a bit more IMO since it indicates who was the best player during that whole calendar season (points-wise).

If fed finishes number one it'd equal him with Pete sampras for 6 YEN1's. If Rafa or Novak finish number one, they'd tie Fed and Connors for 2nd in open era with 5