How many slam finals in a row for Sinner?

[BauerAlmeida]

Sinner has just achieved something very few players have in the open era. Made the final of all 4 slams in a row. He joined:

- Laver
- Agassi
- Federer
- Djokovic
- Nadal

That's the full list if I'm not forgetting someone. He could have won the 4 in a row, something only Laver and Djokovic did, had he converted the MPs vs Alcaraz at RG, assuming the Wimbledon result stays the same, which wouldn't be far-fetched.

The streak is still ongoing now and given the AO and USO are the next slams, it looks like it can very easily extend to 6 at least. Federer has the record with 10 (and incredibly, the second-best also belongs to him, with 8). I think the Italian can come close to Federer's number, although he will fall short eventually.

 

[helterskelter]

This far out from Roland Garros 2026, I'd say he is odds against to make the final (e.g. he will probably not be in the final). But I'm not sure that that means he's odds against to lose before the final, as part of the reason I think he's odds against is that he might be injured and/or suspended. Either way, an absence breaks the streak, so I am going to predict that his streak will end at six. I think he is odds on to make the final at the US Open and the Australian Open, and although I'm not sure he's odds on to make the final of both, as he needs a 75% chance at each to be odds on for both, predicting him to make the final of both seems a more sensible bet than stating which of the two he might lose early at.

 

[helterskelter]

Sinner has just achieved something very few players have in the open era. Made the final of all 4 slams in a row. He joined:

- Laver
- Agassi
- Federer
- Djokovic

That's the full list if I'm not forgetting someone. He could have won the 4 in a row, something only Laver and Djokovic did, had he converted the MPs vs Alcaraz at RG, assuming the Wimbledon result stays the same, which wouldn't be far-fetched.

The streak is still ongoing now and given the AO and USO are the next slams, it looks like it can very easily extend to 6 at least. Federer has the record with 10 (and incredibly, the second-best also belongs to him, with 8). I think the Italian can come close to Federer's number, although he will fall short eventually.

You are forgetting Nadal: Roland Garros 11, Wimbledon 11, US Open 11, Australian Open 12, Roland Garros 12.

 

[BauerAlmeida]

You are forgetting Nadal: Roland Garros 11, Wimbledon 11, US Open 11, Australian Open 12, Roland Garros 12.

True, my bad. I remembered he won 3 in a row at the USO and was going for the NCYGS at AO 2011 and lost in the QF but I forgot about the streak he and Djokovic had which was the only time in the open era where the same 2 players contested the four slam finals in a row.

 

[helterskelter]

True, my bad. I remembered he won 3 in a row at the USO and was going for the NCYGS at AO 2011 and lost in the QF but I forgot about the streak he and Djokovic had which was the only time in the open era where the same 2 players contested the four slam finals in a row.

In men's singles, yes. In women's singles, the Williams sisters were in four in a row (RG 02, WI 02, USO 02, AO 03) and five out of six (also WI 03). Interestingly, Clijsters and Henin were then in three out of four (RG 03, USO 03, AO 04), so the four of them quadropolized eight slam finals in a row, but only with two pairings.

Both Evert/Navratilova and Navratilova/Graf were one match away from four in a row against each other, but Navratilova lost the semis both times. For Evert and Navratilova, they played RG, WI, and the USO in 84, back when the AO was in December, but then Navratilova lost the AO semis to Sukova and Evert beat Sukova in the final. For Navratilova and Graf, they played RG, WI, and the USO in 87, and then Navratilova lost the 88 AO semis against Evert, who then lost to Graf in the final.

Considering Evert and Navratilova faced off in 14 slam finals, it's actually something of a surprise to me that they never did meet in four in a row.

(In 85, they played in the RG, WI, and AO finals, and Navratilova played Mandlikova at the US Open after Mandlikova beat Evert in the SFs. But for that to have been four in a row, you have to assume that Evert beating Mandlikova would have left the AO 85 unchanged, which is probable but not definite).

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

He should make the next 2 and maybe even next 4.

If we honest only an injury or really bad day at office (ala Dimi at Wimbledon match) can stop him. Strange things can happen though so we will see.

 

[Martin J]

Players of the 70s and early 80s were really unlucky (the politics, the chaotic tour, lack of popularity of the AO) when it comes to such records and streaks, pretty sure that Jimbo, Borg and Mac would've achieved few of those.

 

[helterskelter]

@BauerAlmeida Do you think Sinner and Alcaraz can make it to four in a row, either after AO 26 or in the future? I wouldn't say it's likely that Alcaraz makes both finals but there is a shot. Although people think his performances have stagnated, his win percentage to date this year is 5% higher than it's been in any previous year, so it seems that he's getting better at avoiding sloppy defeats even if he's not getting good enough at avoiding sloppy passages of play and lost sets.

 

[helterskelter]

Players of the 70s and early 80s were really unlucky (the politics, the chaotic tour, lack of popularity of the AO) when it comes to such records and streaks, pretty sure that Jimbo, Borg and Mac would've achieved few of those.

Even a bit later. Graf and Seles might have managed it but for Seles being stabbed. They had played three finals out of four prior to that. Graf and Sanchez Vicario later played three out of four (USO 94, RG 95, WI 95; Graf didn't play AO 95).

I wouldn't say the AO being "unpopular" is "unlucky," though I would say that travel to Australia being difficult was unlucky.

 

[BauerAlmeida]

@BauerAlmeida Do you think Sinner and Alcaraz can make it to four in a row, either after AO 26 or in the future? I wouldn't say it's likely that Alcaraz makes both finals but there is a shot. Although people think his performances have stagnated, his win percentage to date this year is 5% higher than it's been in any previous year, so it seems that he's getting better at avoiding sloppy defeats even if he's not getting good enough at avoiding sloppy passages of play and lost sets.

Yep, I can definitely see it happening, although Alcaraz is a bit streaky.

 

[Winners or Errors]

Let me know when he gets to 18/19…

 

[DSH]

Sinner has just achieved something very few players have in the open era. Made the final of all 4 slams in a row. He joined:

- Laver
- Agassi
- Federer
- Djokovic
- Nadal

That's the full list if I'm not forgetting someone. He could have won the 4 in a row, something only Laver and Djokovic did, had he converted the MPs vs Alcaraz at RG, assuming the Wimbledon result stays the same, which wouldn't be far-fetched.

The streak is still ongoing now and given the AO and USO are the next slams, it looks like it can very easily extend to 6 at least. Federer has the record with 10 (and incredibly, the second-best also belongs to him, with 8). I think the Italian can come close to Federer's number, although he will fall short eventually.

He's at the peak of his career and is a favorite for the next two Major tournaments.
Which player, other than Alcaraz, could beat him at RG 2026?

 

[gamelovergold]

Let me know when he gets to 18/19…

Not happening. 18 finals in 19 slams is Insane level .

 

[dking68]

He's at the peak of his career and is a favorite for the next two Major tournaments.
Which player, other than Alcaraz, could beat him at RG 2026?

Nobody. He’s winning the RG title in 2026. By that time, the Spaniard will continue to decline and Sinner will continue to soar

 

[ChrisJR3264]

He should extend to 5 in New York.
Let’s not get so far ahead.
Listening to the Griekspoor interview today - he’s saying juniors are hitting at or higher than some top atp 100 level players.

The assumption here is that no one else is going to come up and do nothing.

When Griekspoor spoke of guys who are highly talented outside of Carlos and Jannik : immediately said Mensik and Fonseca. Both younger players who I think can and will develop to their ceilings. They seem like coachable youngsters so interesting to see their growth in 2026.

 

[Angrybirdstar]

Although people think his performances have stagnated, his win percentage to date this year is 5% higher than it's been in any previous year, so it seems that he's getting better at avoiding sloppy defeats even if he's not getting good enough at avoiding sloppy passages of play and lost sets.

Alcaraz's stats in this SoY-Wimbly time period

​

+--------------------------------+------------+------------+------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+------+
| TOTALS | Match | Tiebreak | Ace% | 1stIn | 1st% | 2nd% | Hld% | SPW | Brk% | RPW | TPW | DR |
+--------------------------------+------------+------------+------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+------+
| [x] Time Span: 13-Jan-2025... | 48-6 (89%) | 13-8 (62%) | 6.9% | 64.5% | 73.0% | 56.5% | 86.4% | 67.1% | 32.2% | 42.4% | 54.4% | 1.29 |
+--------------------------------+------------+------------+------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+------+
| [x] Time Span: 15-Jan-2024... | 33-6 (85%) | 12-6 (67%) | 5.2% | 66.2% | 72.0% | 56.9% | 84.8% | 66.9% | 34.3% | 43.0% | 54.5% | 1.30 |
+--------------------------------+------------+------------+------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+------+
| [x] Time Span: 13-Feb-2023... | 47-4 (92%) | 11-4 (73%) | 5.3% | 66.0% | 72.7% | 56.1% | 86.3% | 67.0% | 34.5% | 43.4% | 54.9% | 1.32 |
+--------------------------------+------------+------------+------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+------+
| [x] Time Span: 17-Jan-2022... | 35-5 (88%) | 11-9 (55%) | 4.9% | 64.9% | 73.5% | 55.8% | 86.4% | 67.3% | 30.7% | 41.5% | 53.8% | 1.27 |
+--------------------------------+------------+------------+------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+-------+------+

defo seeing serve improvements, while his returning and third ball finishing have been a little sloppy

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Imo he can make 8 to 10 in a row

 

[MichaelNadal]

Hopefully he's already reached his last

 

[Hitman]

Hopefully he's already reached his last

SMH

 

[mehdimike]

Hopefully he's already reached his last

At least add the "unless he is needed to beat Novak at a given slam SF" to the end of your sentence
Just out of curiosity, in which slams do you trust Carlos to beat Novak more than often, excluding Wimb?

 

[mehdimike]

SMH

He forgot Novak's existence for a while or maybe he trusts Carlos to beat Noavk everywhere?

 

[Hitman]

He forgot Novak's existence for a while or maybe he trusts Carlos to beat Noavk everywhere?

He'll start sweating if it is Djokovic vs Alcaraz for sure. LOL

 

[Hitman]

So Sinner has equalled Nadal's best of five in a row.

If he gets to AO 2026 final, he will equal Djokovic's best of six in a row.

He needs to get to AO 2027 to equal Federer's best....LMAO. Federer's run was a joke.