https://www.teamtopspin.com/tennis-self-rating
i was surpised that it got my 4.5 rating correct...
i was surpised that it got my 4.5 rating correct...
lol, first time i took the test, it rated me a 5.5... then i retook and converted units to mph... and after answering appropriate to speeds, i correctly placed me at 4.5.It overrated mine. It said I'm a 5.0 and I'm definitely not, I'm 4.5.
Possibly because I'm a 4.5 with variety, so a lot of times it asked about "can you hit X shot" I said yes, I rely on being able to hit lots of different shots. I'm a 4.5 and not 5.0 because I just can't hit them hard enough, but I can hit a lot of different spins and spots!
Or possibly because it often asked about balls of a particular speed, and I've never measured the speed of either my or my opponents' shots. So when it said "50 km/h" and "80 km/h" I really had no idea whether that was way slower, about the same, or way faster than the shots I can hit/receive in a match... so I took a guess, and sounds like I guessed wrong. I vaguely remembered that at some point (oof, more than 15 years ago at this point) I'd measured my serve speed and hit them at 80-90 mph, so I figured 80 km/h wasn't that hard since I've never been a big server, but maybe that was wrong.
i think speed familiarity and it having an accuracy threshold at 5/10 contribute to the overrating. 50% accuracy on shots isn't a high enough bar to be "consistent" IMO, but the rating questionnaire seemed to indicate it was. Obviously we know that tennis is a game of margins and matches are usually won with just over 50% of points, but the accuracy level on shots is typically higher than this to be considered "consistent."i wonder if the overrates were due to not being familiar with speeds with train at? in my case, i didn't switch the kmh to mph
true.Fatal flaw of this rating system is most folks have no clue how fast (mph / km/h) the balls are that they are hitting or receiving.
ding ding dingFatal flaw of this rating system is most folks have no clue how fast (mph / km/h) the balls are that they are hitting or receiving.
would be interesting to see if we could come up with a ttw list of questions that would more accurately predict ntrp...
maybe even form the basis of a ntrp-centric predictive ai model
I think this highlights the prime difference between NTRP and UTR - they serve different purposes. In some areas, a 5.xx UTR is a 4.0 NTRP most of the time. In other areas (including mine), the 4.0 band doesn't really kick in until the mid-6.xx UTR (and almost certainly nobody with a 5.xx is a 4.0 unless they exclusively play 40+/55+). This is b/c NTRP's goal is to group players into competitive bands in a geographic region, whereas UTR is the compare players who would otherwise never play against each other. Personally, I don't have an issue with this distinction and I think the system leads to way more competitive matches than you see in other adult rec sports like basketball/softball/soccer, but I know some people get real fussy if they see somebody with a 1 - 1.5 point lower UTR than them have a higher NTRP.I'm a low-end 4.0 (~5.2 UTR) and it gave me a NTRP 3.5 and 3-5.5 UTR.
Mine came out to be 2.5 but unlike you, I answered honestly.https://www.teamtopspin.com/tennis-self-rating
i was surpised that it got my 4.5 rating correct...
I think this highlights the prime difference between NTRP and UTR - they serve different purposes. In some areas, a 5.xx UTR is a 4.0 NTRP most of the time. In other areas (including mine), the 4.0 band doesn't really kick in until the mid-6.xx UTR (and almost certainly nobody with a 5.xx is a 4.0 unless they exclusively play 40+/55+). This is b/c NTRP's goal is to group players into competitive bands in a geographic region, whereas UTR is the compare players who would otherwise never play against each other. Personally, I don't have an issue with this distinction and I think the system leads to way more competitive matches than you see in other adult rec sports like basketball/softball/soccer, but I know some people get real fussy if they see somebody with a 1 - 1.5 point lower UTR than them have a higher NTRP.
That is unusual. Even the teams that go to nationals face a bunch of 5 UTR 4.0s in their local leagues and even in playoffs sometimes. A local league starting at mid 6 should be seeing great playoff results.I think this highlights the prime difference between NTRP and UTR - they serve different purposes. In some areas, a 5.xx UTR is a 4.0 NTRP most of the time. In other areas (including mine), the 4.0 band doesn't really kick in until the mid-6.xx UTR (and almost certainly nobody with a 5.xx is a 4.0 unless they exclusively play 40+/55+). This is b/c NTRP's goal is to group players into competitive bands in a geographic region, whereas UTR is the compare players who would otherwise never play against each other. Personally, I don't have an issue with this distinction and I think the system leads to way more competitive matches than you see in other adult rec sports like basketball/softball/soccer, but I know some people get real fussy if they see somebody with a 1 - 1.5 point lower UTR than them have a higher NTRP.
Would love to see the results of the test. To Vox's comment, our area does have pretty solid playoff results year-in and year-out. I think the idea of "true" 4.0 (or any NTRP) is a tough thing to measure since the entire point is for it to be a band of players among similar skill levels, rather than some objective benchmark for people to measure against.That's interesting, most people on here seemed to agree that UTR range of about 5.25 - 6.75 was pretty accurate for "true" 4.0 men in their area, when I brought up the idea previously. That would mean roughly half of 4.0 men are 5.XX. If your area is that much different it would be surprising. It could be testable, e.g. one could see if UTR has a high prediction failure rate when different areas / sections meet in the post-season.
In their year-end rating calculations, USTA does seem to put a lot of effort toward using the match results at Nationals to make sure that the rating bands are not too inconsistent across different sections. For example they reportedly weight those match results more heavily, and maybe sometimes even do some manual adjustments to an entire group if it seems way off from the rest of the country. So if one area truly drifts into having a much stronger average pool of 4.0 players than the others, that should not last more than a year or two.I think the idea of "true" 4.0 (or any NTRP) is a tough thing to measure since the entire point is for it to be a band of players among similar skill levels, rather than some objective benchmark for people to measure against.
Every team’s best lineup in my 3.5 league is 5.XX doubles rating for UTR. Traditionally the area does pretty well. 4.0s are regularly up in the 8.XX rangeThat's interesting, most people on here seemed to agree that UTR range of about 5.25 - 6.75 was pretty accurate for "true" 4.0 men in their area, when I brought up the idea previously. That would mean roughly half of 4.0 men are 5.XX. If your area is that much different it would be surprising. It could be testable, e.g. one could see if UTR has a high prediction failure rate when different areas / sections meet in the post-season.
You shouldn't have 4.0 players in the 8.xx UTR range. Seven is the ceiling for 4.0. At 7.00, you are winning 90% or more of your 4.0 matches. At 8.00, you are way out of level.Every team’s best lineup in my 3.5 league is 5.XX doubles rating for UTR. Traditionally the area does pretty well. 4.0s are regularly up in the 8.XX range
What area? Because you mentioned Indiana and the district winner at 4.0 had mostly UTR 6s with a few 7s. Which is pretty typical of strong 4.0 teams. UTR 8s at 4.0 are usually suspect in some way (inflated rating, sandbagger, junior/college ringer, etc...)Traditionally the area does pretty well. 4.0s are regularly up in the 8.XX range
perhaps a stacked team with folks they hid in 3rd dubs?You shouldn't have 4.0 players in the 8.xx UTR range. Seven is the ceiling for 4.0. At 7.00, you are winning 90% or more of your 4.0 matches. At 8.00, you are way out of level.
People consistently overestimate the speed of the shots being hit when they are playing, but seem to be much better at judging the speed of balls in a videoFatal flaw of this rating system is most folks have no clue how fast (mph / km/h) the balls are that they are hitting or receiving.
i interpreted it to mean "atp" level serves,It got me right pretty much, said I was a 5.0. Not sure what they wanted for returns where they asked can I return a serve of any speed. Did they mean any speed comparable to the ones they'd already listed, or any speed at all? Like I can't return a 130 mph serve.
There are definitely some out of level guys, but their teams didn’t do as well this year. A few of them I expect to get bumped. I don’t have premium UTR, I’m guessing they were like 8.1 or 8.0x, but I know of one team for sure that had multiple guys in the 8 range throughout the year.What area? Because you mentioned Indiana and the district winner at 4.0 had mostly UTR 6s with a few 7s. Which is pretty typical of strong 4.0 teams. UTR 8s at 4.0 are usually suspect in some way (inflated rating, sandbagger, junior/college ringer, etc...)
seems very out of band... i'd have expected an ntrp4.0 to top out at ~utr7.0-ish...I’m guessing they were like 8.1 or 8.0x, but I know of one team for sure that had multiple guys in the 8 range throughout the year.
that makes sense... of the ntrp5.0's i know, they range utr8.5-10.A 5.0 I play dubs with for combo also is in the 8s tho (just rechecked), so who knows. Seems like Indy has a lot jam in the 8s. Have come across many 9.XX even if guys that play 5.0 (admittedly only looking at the handful I know/have met, not digging into every TR 5.0)
Well the team that dominated 4.0 men's sectionals in my area is mostly 6.XX, plus a couple 7.XX who are likely to be bumped to 4.5 at year end.Just did some sleuthing on some of the better players in my 3.5 league. A fair few UTR 6.XX and even one 7.XX! All C rated player too and I only really expect one of them to get bumped
That’s my guess. Indianapolis is pretty insular tennis community. There’s lots of cities within 3~4 hours, but people don’t really make the trek for tennis. We have some really nasty 5.0s in the area rated as 8.XX. I’d expect if we got some outside blood in or people started playing the occasional Chicago/Nashville/Cincinnati tournament we’d start to see some numbers driftWell the team that dominated 4.0 men's sectionals in my area is mostly 6.XX, plus a couple 7.XX who are likely to be bumped to 4.5 at year end.
So the question is, are the guys in your area really that much better at the same NTRP level? If those 3.5C guys moved here would they suddenly become dominant 4.0 players? Seems unlikely. An alternate explanation is that UTR has just drifted out of whack in your area because the network of rated matches is not connected enough to players from other areas.
Honestly, correct me if I’m wrong, it seems like we’re not all on the same page. The way I interpret Jordans posts is he’s talking about a handful of the outliers across the league while you were talking about where the majority lies. Him saying “A fair few” makes it seem like most the 3.5s are UTR5s but there are still several 6s and even one 7 scattered throughout the league. I bet there’s plenty of 4s too that haven’t been mentioned. That seems normal for most decently populated areas (except for the 7). There’s always outliers on the ends of the bell curve.Well the team that dominated 4.0 men's sectionals in my area is mostly 6.XX, plus a couple 7.XX who are likely to be bumped to 4.5 at year end.
So the question is, are the guys in your area really that much better at the same NTRP level? If those 3.5C guys moved here would they suddenly become dominant 4.0 players? Seems unlikely. An alternate explanation is that UTR has just drifted out of whack in your area because the network of rated matches is not connected enough to players from other areas.