I have a feeling that Nadal will win the AO

#4
Rafael has made the Final of 3 of the last 6 Australian Opens he's played, so there is a good chance he'll be in the final at least:)
and he didn't really "lose" in the QF last year, he led Cilic 2 sets to 1 and got injured.
and its fairly obvious Rafael will beat Djokovic, considering he almost beat him on indoor grass last year.....
 
#8
i hope so, but i can't remember the name of my previous account, otherwise i would have signed in with it.
i even asked the site owner if it was ok for me to register, because i didn't want to have a "double account":)
I think it was NadalRecord or something like that. Thought you were a dude. Nadal hitting 22 winners in RG 13 semi final 5th set used to be included in most of your posts then.
 
#9
Well, it's just a hunch (and I'm not good at predictions anyway), but I do have a slight feeling that us, Rafa fans, are set for a miracle this year in Melbourne. Reastically speaking, there's the same chance that he'll lose in the QF or even earlier. But I do have some hope :)

Here's to a good and interesting AO!
Good luck and best wishes to the Bull (y) as he tries to get the DCGS with the Duck, Demon and GOAT all potentially in the way before the finals.
 
#10
To stablish an analogy with basketball, in current tennis Federer is like Vince Carter (very old and enjoying his last years), Nadal is like LeBron James (physical beast who is not at his physical prime anymore) and Djokovic is like James Harden (simply the most in form player by far).

Nadal needs a miracle.
 
#13
Would be totally cool if Nadal can do it. He has a fairly straightforward path. If Zverev were to upset Djokovic , it would make it easier
Until SF, Schwartzman and Anderson can win sets against him, but in theory Nadal should win the match. In SF his chances will decrease. Federer and Djokovic would be favorite against him.
 
#15
Until SF, Schwartzman and Anderson can win sets against him, but in theory Nadal should win the match. In SF his chances will decrease. Fedefer and Djokovic would be favorite against him.
Djokovic would be a mountain to climb but he could get past Federer in 4 or 5. Fed is 2 more years older than the last time they met here .

If Zed beats Djokovic, then it becomes easy
 
#16
Problem is Nadal lacks rythm. So he can get injured very easily.
yeah Rafael should get injured, but if he doesn't he'll probably make the final at least, also Rafael's best form is always in the semis of slams so Federer won't enjoy Rafael this time:)
something in Rafael's psychology causes him to play better in semis than in finals....
 
#18
Rafael has made the Final of 3 of the last 6 Australian Opens he's played, so there is a good chance he'll be in the final at least:)
and he didn't really "lose" in the QF last year, he led Cilic 2 sets to 1 and got injured.
and its fairly obvious Rafael will beat Djokovic, considering he almost beat him on indoor grass last year.....
I being a very optimistic fan hope that nadal wins. But reastically speaking he has very less chances of winning it. In 2017 djoker was not in form. Niether was murray ever a very big problem for big 3 at slams. But in 2019 djoker is a very huge favourite and its not as open as 2017. But I somehow feel nowadays nadal plays better in medium fast hard surfaces rather than slow hard surfaces as it suits rafas attacking game which he has employed in the last 2 years. I think slow hard court forces nadal into a war of attrition which is not good for his body. I expect his winners count on hard to be more than that 4 years ago in the last 2 years.
 
#20
yeah Rafael should get injured, but if he doesn't he'll probably make the final at least, also Rafael's best form is always in the semis of slams so Federer won't enjoy Rafael this time:)
something in Rafael's psychology causes him to play better in semis than in finals....
But I fear because he has lost his last 2 sf at slams and he last beat fedovic at slams in 2014. So odds are against him but I will keep faith in rafa.
 
#21
Djokovic would be a mountain to climb but he could get past Federer in 4 or 5. Fed is 2 more years older than the last time they met here .

If Zed beats Djokovic, then it becomes easy
Federer is a difficult obstacle. Federer would be the favorite in a potential SF. Remember age is not the only variable to consider.

-Age: OK, Nadal is 5 years younger. Advantage Nadal.
-Mental advantage: Federer owned Nadal on hards courts in 2017. Now Nadal is the one without psychological advantage and Federer plays more free. Advantage Federer.
-Current form: Nadal lacks rhytm since he hasn't played an official match in the last 4 months. Federer showed a great form at the Hopman Cup. Advantage Federer.
-Court speed: advantage Federer.

I would put Federer as the favorite considering he has 3 advantages (psychological advantage, current form and court speed) versus Nadal's one (being younger).
 
#22
Can’t totally discount him, but with no warm up tournaments and so few competitive matches since the USO the odds are against him. This isn’t like 2017 when at least he played Brisbane and got to the quarters before his run to the final in Melbourne.
 
#23
Federer is a difficult obstacle. Federer would be the favorite in a potential SF. Remember age is not the only variable to consider.

-Age: OK, Nadal is 5 years younger. Advantage Nadal.
-Mental advantage: Federer owned Nasal on hards courts in 2017. Now Nadal is the one without psychological advantage and Federer plays more free. Advantage Federer.
-Current form: Nadal lacks rhytm since he hasn't played an official match in the last 4 months. Federer showed a great form at the Hopman Cup. Advantage Federer.

I would put Federer as the favorite considering he has 2 advantages (psychological advantage and current form) versus Nadal's one (being younger).
You forgot the slight advantage the surface gives to federer.
 
#24
I being a very optimistic fan hope that nadal wins. But reastically speaking he has very less chances of winning it. In 2017 djoker was not in form. Niether was murray ever a very big problem for big 3 at slams. But in 2019 djoker is a very huge favourite and its not as open as 2017. But I somehow feel nowadays nadal plays better in medium fast hard surfaces rather than slow hard surfaces as it suits rafas attacking game which he has employed in the last 2 years. I think slow hard court forces nadal into a war of attrition which is not good for his body. I expect his winners count on hard to be more than that 4 years ago in the last 2 years.
Djokovic played really defensive tennis at the US Open, and probably had the worst winner to unforced error ratio of any US Open champion in recent years, whereas in the Wimbledon SF he played a lot better.
and Djokovic hasn't looked like a #1 in his last 3 events, so i won't be surprised to see Djokovic fade away....
let's not forget, Rafael is the real #1, because Djokovic only got the #1 ranking because Rafael was injured:)
 
#28
Djokovic played really defensive tennis at the US Open, and probably had the worst winner to unforced error ratio of any US Open champion in recent years, whereas in the Wimbledon SF he played a lot better.
and Djokovic hasn't looked like a #1 in his last 3 events, so i won't be surprised to see Djokovic fade away....
let's not forget, Rafael is the real #1, because Djokovic only got the #1 ranking because Rafael was injured:)
I beleive that there is no real number 1. The person who is number 1 is number 1 irrespective of injuries. I absolutely detest the concept of moral winner speaking of which I will be the happiest person if rafa beats djoker at ao.
 
#29
Well, it's just a hunch (and I'm not good at predictions anyway), but I do have a slight feeling that us, Rafa fans, are set for a miracle this year in Melbourne. Reastically speaking, there's the same chance that he'll lose in the QF or even earlier. But I do have some hope :)

Here's to a good and interesting AO!
Same feeling here, @vanioMan - a good, long break and back with a boom!

Rafa's draw is really good, and allows him to play himself into good form.
 
#33
We also have to remember Rafa’s new service motion to reduce the strain on his body on hard courts, which he’s yet to test out in a competitive match. Remember Novak’s new service motion took a while to get used to and only after the elbow op he had last February. He struggled with it at the AO 2018 serving numerous double faults at key points in his match v Chung.
 
#37
We also have to remember Rafa’s new service motion to reduce the strain on his body on hard courts, which he’s yet to test out in a competitive match. Remember Novak’s new service motion took a while to get used to and only after the elbow op he had last February. He struggled with it at the AO 2018 serving numerous double faults at key points in his match v Chung.
Maybe Nadal neeeds less time than Djokovic to adapt to the new service motion? Not all the players are the same.

Anyhow, Nadal's serve has always been awful so it doesn't make any change haha. Even Tío Toni has joked in a a lot of interviews about it.
 
#40
Maybe Nadal neeeds less time than Djokovic to adapt to the new service motion? Not all the players are the same.

Anyhow, Nadal's serve has always been awful so it doesn't make any change haha. Even Tío Toni has joked in a a lot of interviews about it.
Eh Nadal’s service has always been awful? I think you only need to look at the stats to see he’s got the best points won on second serve in terms of career and v all players and as the mantra says - you are only as good as your second serve.

https://www.atptour.com/en/stats/le...er&surface=all&versusRank=all&formerNo1=false
 
#42
#44
Well, it's just a hunch (and I'm not good at predictions anyway), but I do have a slight feeling that us, Rafa fans, are set for a miracle this year in Melbourne. Reastically speaking, there's the same chance that he'll lose in the QF or even earlier. But I do have some hope :)

Here's to a good and interesting AO!
@vanioMan - You are one of the best Nadal fans on these boards and I would be very happy for you if Nadal does indeed win. They say never count an ATG out, and when you are legendary as Nadal, you count him out at your own peril. Good luck to you and all the great Nadal fans here. Hopefully Nadal has an amazing AO. Vamos. :)
 
#46
Rafael has made the Final of 3 of the last 6 Australian Opens he's played, so there is a good chance he'll be in the final at least:)
and he didn't really "lose" in the QF last year, he led Cilic 2 sets to 1 and got injured.
and its fairly obvious Rafael will beat Djokovic, considering he almost beat him on indoor grass last year.....
You may be the only fan calling him Rafael.
I will start calling Murray as Andrew.
And then we’ll talk about Stanislas.
 
#48
Federer is a difficult obstacle. Federer would be the favorite in a potential SF. Remember age is not the only variable to consider.

-Age: OK, Nadal is 5 years younger. Advantage Nadal.
-Mental advantage: Federer owned Nadal on hards courts in 2017. Now Nadal is the one without psychological advantage and Federer plays more free. Advantage Federer.
-Current form: Nadal lacks rhytm since he hasn't played an official match in the last 4 months. Federer showed a great form at the Hopman Cup. Advantage Federer.

-Court speed: advantage Federer.

I would put Federer as the favorite considering he has 3 advantages (psychological advantage, current form and court speed) versus Nadal's one (being younger).
Bold ones are debatable.
Federer won 6-3 6-0 against Nadal at WTF 2011. In 2012 AO SF Fed took a 1-0 lead in sets and was up a break in the second. Still, lost in four...

The mental advantage has to be Nadal's IMO, because Federer never has it easy against Nadal. At worst, it's equal. Don't believe for a second that Fed is in Nad's head.

Current form, equal. Nadal had a far better post RG campaign than Federer. He hasn't played for a long time indeed but Federer only showed good form at an exho like Hopman. Who cares about that? No one really.
 
#49
But he wins the points because of his baseline game, not the serve per se.
But his serve sets up his baseline game to win and hold serve. He hasn’t had the career he’s had with an “awful” serve as you said. Anyway getting back to his new service motion - nothing that changes such a huge part of any tennis player’s game is going to be a good thing, especially going into a major and untried.
 
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