We know that Nadal is great on clay and I wouldn't be my house against him, but Djokovic is a solid young player who is still improving. I think he's the only guy out there who can beat Nadal in a best-of-five match.
The main reason Novak has no chance is the Match is best of five sets.
He might(maybe even probably) win one and it's extremely unlikely he'll win two, but three.
Against Nadal.
On RG clay.
Not only that, but how do you think he would do this?
Straight sets? In four?
I doubt you do, so I'll assume you think he could win in five. That means Nadal winning only two of five sets, on clay, which I think is almost impossible at the moment.
The only person I feel even has chance is Roger, for four reasons.
One: he's the only player to take Nadal to five sets of anyone who hasn't destroyed their shoulder. (And Federer had a match point too.)
Two: Federer had big leads late in sets in THREE of FIVE sets they've played this season.Federer gave himself a great chance to win those sets.
Three: Jose has had Federer work extensively on his drop shot imployment and Cross-court stability on the back hand. Federer's last two matches with Nadal, He has been closer to victory each time (Great chance of a set the first time, Great chance at the match the second time) each time.
Four: Federer had a chance to take both his finals with Nadal to a fifth set.
The fact is RF has given himself the chance to win numerous times and has lost for a variety of reasons, But if a person keeps giving themselves good chances, they are going to convert eventually( see hamburg '07)
In the end; however, that's all Federer gives himself: a chance.
While Federer has a slim chance of beating Nadal, I'd argue, to quote Bruce Campbell, if he where talking about the subject of Novak winning against Nadal, "Well, I've got news for you pal, you winning but two things: Jack and ****... and Jack left town."
/btw I enjoyed reading your analysis of the game's history of great players. It is unfortunate that today those players are greatly forgotten, due to a change in evaluation of players and marketing of products(media is just one product).
// I also agree with your analysis of older versus younger players. I think It simply comes down to, for Novak, Every big win he gets an extreme upgrade to his career at this point.
For Federer: He has proven himself in so many matches and played his best on so many occasions, that it has lost its novelty to a degree.
However, In big matches, I feel that Federer has the same remarkable intense desire to win. So while he might lose to a lesser player sometimes earlier in tournaments, He would routine them if the match was important. And Important changes over your career.