If Novak wins FO, is he top 3 all-time on clay?

If Novak wins this FO, is he top 3 all-time on clay?

  • Yes/да

    Votes: 26 38.2%
  • No/ не

    Votes: 42 61.8%

  • Total voters
    68
Nah, I'll listen to this:
Did you even watch the match? I remember Murray missing the easiest overheads on big points at least 3 times in the first two sets. Was totally destroyed in the fifth.

The strong opponent in this tournament was Wawrinka in the final, and guess what? Djokovic lost to him.
 
Did you even watch the match? I remember Murray missing the easiest overheads on big points at least 3 times in the first two sets. Was totally destroyed in the fifth.

The strong opponent in this tournament was Wawrinka in the final, and guess what? Djokovic lost to him.
I saw it and I think it was a fairly up and down match. Murray had some great moments, though, and I think he'd also have beaten Nadal (not that that counts for much, though). Just not enough to be rated alongside 2009 Delpo or 2011 Djoker.
 
If he were to win the FO, he would have
2 FO 5 Rome 2 Madrid 2 MC including 7 wins against the King of clay.....

he would require 3-4 french opens by today's metrics to be considered inside top 5.........i consider rafa the greatest ever on clay but not by the margin many people think........
 
Nadal wasn't the king of clay in 2014-2016. Stop this BS already.

Who was in 2014?

Madrid Open
Madrid, Spain
ATP Tour Masters 1000
Clay, outdoor
05 – 11 May 2014
1RBye
8182R Juan Mónaco56Win6–1, 6–0
8193R Jarkko Nieminen57Win6–1, 6–4
820QF Tomáš Berdych (6)6Win6–4, 6–2
821SF Roberto Bautista Agut45Win6–4, 6–3
822W Kei Nishikori (10)12Win (3)2–6, 6–4, 3–0 ret.
Italian Open
Rome, Italy
ATP Tour Masters 1000
Clay, outdoor
12 – 18 May 2014
1RBye
8232R Gilles Simon30Win7–6(7–1), 6–7(4–7), 6–2
8243R Mikhail Youzhny (14)16Win6–7(4–7), 6–2, 6–1
825QF Andy Murray (7)8Win1–6, 6–3, 7–5
826SF Grigor Dimitrov (12)14Win6–2, 6–2
827F Novak Djokovic (2)2Loss (3)6–4, 3–6, 3–6
French Open
Paris, France
Grand Slam tournament
Clay, outdoor
25 May – 08 June 2014
8281R Robby Ginepri (WC)279Win6–0, 6–3, 6–0
8292R Dominic Thiem57Win6–2, 6–2, 6–3
8303R Leonardo Mayer65Win6–2, 7–5, 6–2
8314R Dušan Lajović83Win6–1, 6–2, 6–1
832QF David Ferrer (5)5Win4–6, 6–4, 6–0, 6–1
833SF Andy Murray (7)8Win6–3, 6–2, 6–1
834W Novak Djokovic (2)2Win (4)3–6, 7–5, 6–2, 6–4
 
Who was in 2014?

Madrid Open
Madrid, Spain
ATP Tour Masters 1000
Clay, outdoor
05 – 11 May 2014
1RBye
8182RJuan Mónaco56Win6–1, 6–0
8193RJarkko Nieminen57Win6–1, 6–4
820QFTomáš Berdych (6)6Win6–4, 6–2
821SFRoberto Bautista Agut45Win6–4, 6–3
822WKei Nishikori (10)12Win (3)2–6, 6–4, 3–0 ret.
Italian Open
Rome, Italy
ATP Tour Masters 1000
Clay, outdoor
12 – 18 May 2014
1RBye
8232RGilles Simon30Win7–6(7–1), 6–7(4–7), 6–2
8243RMikhail Youzhny (14)16Win6–7(4–7), 6–2, 6–1
825QFAndy Murray (7)8Win1–6, 6–3, 7–5
826SFGrigor Dimitrov (12)14Win6–2, 6–2
827FNovak Djokovic (2)2Loss (3)6–4, 3–6, 3–6
French Open
Paris, France
Grand Slam tournament
Clay, outdoor
25 May – 08 June 2014
8281RRobby Ginepri (WC)279Win6–0, 6–3, 6–0
8292RDominic Thiem57Win6–2, 6–2, 6–3
8303RLeonardo Mayer65Win6–2, 7–5, 6–2
8314RDušan Lajović83Win6–1, 6–2, 6–1
832QFDavid Ferrer (5)5Win4–6, 6–4, 6–0, 6–1
833SFAndy Murray (7)8Win6–3, 6–2, 6–1
834WNovak Djokovic (2)2Win (4)3–6, 7–5, 6–2, 6–4
What is this cherry picking? Where are the early exists in Monte Carlo and Barcelona? And he only won Madrid because Nishikori got injured. He was getting destroyed before that. Should have been a 6-2 6-2 match.
 
Obviously he'd be ahead of every other 2-RG winner. The question is if he'd be ahead of Wilander, Lendl, and Kuerten. I'd say yes, probably, but by no means guaranteed. That'd be 2 RG in the era of Nadal.
 
I say there is a decent argument to be made that Novak will go down as third best clay court player of all time if he wins the FO.

He has dominated clay Masters events even if his dominance has been overshadowed by Rafa. If he weren't playing in Rafa's era, he'd probably have 4-5 FO and an absurd amount of clay titles.

His major competition for top 3 are Lendl and Vilas. On paper, those guys have sexier stats, but the key point is that they DID NOT HAVE TO DEAL WITH NADAL THEIR ENTIRE CAREERS!

I'd say that Djokovic is easily top 5 without the second FO and is top 3 on clay if he wins.

Lendl and Wilander actually. And they both defeated better players than Novak to win their FOs.

Sure, they didn't have Nadal to deal with, but did Djokovic have the ATGs they had? No. So I don't see how this should be the decisive factor.
 
Who was in 2014?

Madrid Open
Madrid, Spain
ATP Tour Masters 1000
Clay, outdoor
05 – 11 May 2014
1RBye
8182RJuan Mónaco56Win6–1, 6–0
8193RJarkko Nieminen57Win6–1, 6–4
820QFTomáš Berdych (6)6Win6–4, 6–2
821SFRoberto Bautista Agut45Win6–4, 6–3
822WKei Nishikori (10)12Win (3)2–6, 6–4, 3–0 ret.
Italian Open
Rome, Italy
ATP Tour Masters 1000
Clay, outdoor
12 – 18 May 2014
1RBye
8232RGilles Simon30Win7–6(7–1), 6–7(4–7), 6–2
8243RMikhail Youzhny (14)16Win6–7(4–7), 6–2, 6–1
825QFAndy Murray (7)8Win1–6, 6–3, 7–5
826SFGrigor Dimitrov (12)14Win6–2, 6–2
827FNovak Djokovic (2)2Loss (3)6–4, 3–6, 3–6
French Open
Paris, France
Grand Slam tournament
Clay, outdoor
25 May – 08 June 2014
8281RRobby Ginepri (WC)279Win6–0, 6–3, 6–0
8292RDominic Thiem57Win6–2, 6–2, 6–3
8303RLeonardo Mayer65Win6–2, 7–5, 6–2
8314RDušan Lajović83Win6–1, 6–2, 6–1
832QFDavid Ferrer (5)5Win4–6, 6–4, 6–0, 6–1
833SFAndy Murray (7)8Win6–3, 6–2, 6–1
834WNovak Djokovic (2)2Win (4)3–6, 7–5, 6–2, 6–4
Nadal's level on clay in 2014-2016 dropped significantly. And that's a fact. The only one who didn't get a piece of the pie in that period was Federer because he was so fckin old.
 
Obviously he'd be ahead of every other 2-RG winner. The question is if he'd be ahead of Wilander, Lendl, and Kuerten. I'd say yes, probably, but by no means guaranteed. That'd be 2 RG in the era of Nadal.
If he wins both without beating Nadal, what difference does it make?
 
Obviously he'd be ahead of every other 2-RG winner. The question is if he'd be ahead of Wilander, Lendl, and Kuerten. I'd say yes, probably, but by no means guaranteed. That'd be 2 RG in the era of Nadal.
How was Nadal even relevant to his 2016 title? He was not a threat that year and he withdrew after the second round. Djokovic never even thought about him as a potential threat. I doubt Nadal will be relevant this year as well.
 
Career win percentage on clay:
Djokovic 79.6% (5th all time in and had to compete against Nadal and Fed his whole career)
Kuerten 69.9% (35th all time, just ahead of Murray and Zverev;) He never had to go through Nadal at RG and beat baby pre-prime Clayderer

I'll concede that Lendl has him statistically. But Ivan never had to deal with Rafa!
Who cares about winning percentage? Kuerten was a little inconsistent but he has three FO against very strong draws. 2004 Federer wasn’t baby Federer btw, completely ridiculous (putting aside for the moment that Kuerten wasn’t really prime here either).
 
How was Nadal even relevant to his 2016 title? He was not a threat that year and he withdrew after the second round. Djokovic never even thought about him as a potential threat. I doubt Nadal will be relevant this year as well.
Era of Nadal doesn't necessarily mean he beat them. It's the same accolades I give Nadal for his US Open and Canada achievements. Didn't necessarily go through Djokovic or Federer every time, but he won those while they were playing and they're the best HC players ever.

Imagine I say every RG that Nadal won was impossible to win for Djokovic - then he could have won 09, 15, 16. He's 1/3 in those. That's not bad at all, especially when the best players after Borg are Kuerten (3/11 wins, only making it past the QFs 5 times) and Lendl (3/15 with 5 finals, and 2 extra QFs). Djokovic would have 2/16 with Nadal winning 12 of those, and with 5 finals, 5 extra semis, and 4 extra quarterfinals.
 
Absolutely ridiculous to include 2014 with 15-16
Nadal was absolutely terrible in MC, Barcelona and Madrid that year. A bit better in Rome but still struggled in almost every match. I mean, his level against Schwartzman in Rome this year was higher than his 2014 level before RG.
 
If he wins both without beating Nadal, what difference does it make?
Because he made so many semis and finals that he lost to the greatest clay courter ever? It's a simple prospect, really.

Since Nadal is the best clay courter to ever grace the court, he's a very tough measuring stick to use. Put Kuerten up against Nadal in his finals, never wins a single one. Same thing with Wilander and Lendl.

What we can measure is what they could have won in absence of Nadal. If Djokovic wins another RG, in absence of Nadal he wins at least 3 more, but up to 5 more, with several extra finals to his name. That's better than Kuerten, Lendl, and Wilander could say. Now, obviously we can't just gift him those victories because they didn't happen, but Djokovic has an 82.9% win rate at RG, even losing 6 times to Nadal (he's only lost 8 times to people not named Nadal). Take away the Nadal matches and he has an 89% win rate. Even if another clay courter just as good as Djokovic showed up in Nadal's place and won 50% of the time against him (a Nadal-lite, if you will) and played him 10 times, he'd still have 3+ RGs and an 85% win rate.

The only thing that stopped Djokovic from being a clay ATG was Nadal - same with Federer. And if Djokovic wins 2 RG, he's definitely top 5.
 
Novak would not be top three on clay even presuming he wins another RG. As Lendl once said, "a guy who wins 3 FO's and nothing else on clay in their career is still better than Muster or Vilas. Those two won 100 clay titles between them, but only two French Opens between them."

So if Djokovic wins another FO, he's still standing behind these guys in line for second best clay courter after Rafa:

Borg Six FO's
Wilander, Lendl, Guga: Three FO's
 
Era of Nadal doesn't necessarily mean he beat them. It's the same accolades I give Nadal for his US Open and Canada achievements. Didn't necessarily go through Djokovic or Federer every time, but he won those while they were playing and they're the best HC players ever.

Imagine I say every RG that Nadal won was impossible to win for Djokovic - then he could have won 09, 15, 16. He's 1/3 in those. That's not bad at all, especially when the best players after Borg are Kuerten (3/11 wins, only making it past the QFs 5 times) and Lendl (3/15 with 5 finals, and 2 extra QFs). Djokovic would have 2/16 with Nadal winning 12 of those, and with 5 finals, 5 extra semis, and 4 extra quarterfinals.

@ bold part : except 14 RG nadal was still the weakest from 2005-14. and you can cut out 17 and 18 for djokovic seeing as he wasn't really in a position to win Nadal or no nadal.

till now basically count djokovic as having a decent enough chance to win RG from 2008-16. (19 is like in between, not 100% sure).
that's 1/9 overall, including 1/3 with nadal out.

Kuerten's prime on clay really began in 99. so its really like 3/4 (if we count. 97 seeing as he won it )99,00,01. (you can quibble a bit about 2004 as he displayed semblance of prime form)

Lendl - 81 - lost to borg in final
82 - lost to wilander (eventual winner) in 5 sets
83 - lost to noah (eventual winner) in 4 sets (probably the worst loss)
84 - won incl. beating wilander in straights and peak mac in 5 sets
85 - lost to wilander in final
86 - won - easy draw tbh, toughest was gomez in the QF
87 - won incl. beating wilander
88 - lost to svensson in QF
89 - lost to chang in 4R

92-94 is almost irrelevant for Lendl
80 he was only the 9th seed and ranked below in the FOs before that.

so that's 3/9 for Lendl. 3/8 if you remove Borg.

beating a good in-form player on clay:

djoko does not have the wins that Lendl had at RG : 84 wilander, 84 mac, 87 wilander
nor that fed had : 2009 delpo, 2011 Djoko

aleady gave the draws for kuerten in a previous post in this thread.
 
@ bold part : except 14 RG nadal was still the weakest from 2005-14. and you can cut out 17 and 18 for djokovic seeing as he wasn't really in a position to win Nadal or no nadal.

till now basically count djokovic as having a decent enough chance to win RG from 2008-16. (19 is like in between, not 100% sure).
that's 1/9 overall, including 1/3 with nadal out.

Kuerten's prime on clay really began in 99. so its really like 3/4 (if we count. 97 seeing as he won it )99,00,01. (you can quibble a bit about 2004 as he displayed semblance of prime form)

Lendl - 81 - lost to borg in final
82 - lost to wilander (eventual winner) in 5 sets
83 - lost to noah (eventual winner) in 4 sets (probably the worst loss)
84 - won incl. beating wilander in straights and peak mac in 5 sets
85 - lost to wilander in final
86 - won - easy draw tbh, toughest was gomez in the QF
87 - won incl. beating wilander
88 - lost to svensson in QF
89 - lost to chang in 4R

92-94 is almost irrelevant for Lendl
80 he was only the 9th seed and ranked below in the FOs before that.

so that's 3/9 for Lendl. 3/8 if you remove Borg.

beating a good in-form player on clay:

djoko does not have the wins that Lendl had at RG : 84 wilander, 84 mac, 87 wilander
nor that fed had : 2009 delpo, 2011 Djoko

aleady gave the draws for kuerten in a previous post in this thread.
I don't include primes in my count. Not anyone's fault Kuerten could only muster up a few years of decent play but his own. The amount of slams they played, that's the amount they could win. In any one of those years you put 2008-2013 Nadal in there and he would have mopped up just as well as he did in real life, 09 excepted.

Put 08-13 Nadal in 1999-2004, Kuerten doesn't win a single RG. Same with Lendl's 82-87. You're right that Lendl went through some competition to get his wins, but he also lost to worse players than Nadal and Federer.

Count it.
Novak has made 9 RG semis, 13 RG quarterfinals. He's proved he's never been worse than top 4 on clay from 06-20. That's 15 years of being in the top 4. Djokovic's losses were 6 times to Nadal in the back-half of RG, 4 of which he could have ended up winning. Lendl didn't face anyone as good as 08-14 Nadal, except maybe 81 Borg. So let's say 81 Lendl is equal to 13 Djokovic.

Then Lendl makes 4 other semifinals, whereas Djokovic makes 8 other semifinals. Lendl faces McEnroe, Connors x2, Wilander x2, Mecir, Kriek, and Pernfors. Say what you will about Murray, but he's better than Mikhail Pernfors.

Djokovic, on the other hand, faces Nadal x4, Federer x2, Gulbis, Murray x2, Wawrinka, Thiem x2.

It's pretty clear which one of those lineups you'd rather face if you were Djokovic.
 
*insert Borg laughing gif*
Switch Borg with Federer/Djokovic and let him play in the Nadal clay era and he wins next to nothing. Switch Federer or Djokovic with Borg and into his era (without Nadal and without each other), and they both easily win 6 or more RG titles.

But yes, in the end it is about numbers, so they cannot officially be considered Top 3.
 
Switch Borg with Federer/Djokovic and let him play in the Nadal clay era and he wins next to nothing. Switch Federer or Djokovic with Borg and into his era (without Nadal and without each other), and they both easily win 6 or more RG titles.

But yes, in the end it is about numbers, so they cannot officially be considered Top 3.
That's super disrespectful of Borg.
 
Hilarious post putting Federer (And Kuerten) ahead of Borg who even has more FO than the 5 you unjustly assign to Federer.
I’ve never watched more than 1 or 2 Borg matches so I can’t really comment. Only rating the ones I’ve seen play a lot
 
Who cares about winning percentage? Kuerten was a little inconsistent but he has three FO against very strong draws. 2004 Federer wasn’t baby Federer btw, completely ridiculous (putting aside for the moment that Kuerten wasn’t really prime here either).
FED didn’t know how to play clay until 2006
 
@ bold part : except 14 RG nadal was still the weakest from 2005-14. and you can cut out 17 and 18 for djokovic seeing as he wasn't really in a position to win Nadal or no nadal.

till now basically count djokovic as having a decent enough chance to win RG from 2008-16. (19 is like in between, not 100% sure).
that's 1/9 overall, including 1/3 with nadal out.

Kuerten's prime on clay really began in 99. so its really like 3/4 (if we count. 97 seeing as he won it )99,00,01. (you can quibble a bit about 2004 as he displayed semblance of prime form)

Lendl - 81 - lost to borg in final
82 - lost to wilander (eventual winner) in 5 sets
83 - lost to noah (eventual winner) in 4 sets (probably the worst loss)
84 - won incl. beating wilander in straights and peak mac in 5 sets
85 - lost to wilander in final
86 - won - easy draw tbh, toughest was gomez in the QF
87 - won incl. beating wilander
88 - lost to svensson in QF
89 - lost to chang in 4R

92-94 is almost irrelevant for Lendl
80 he was only the 9th seed and ranked below in the FOs before that.

so that's 3/9 for Lendl. 3/8 if you remove Borg.

beating a good in-form player on clay:

djoko does not have the wins that Lendl had at RG : 84 wilander, 84 mac, 87 wilander
nor that fed had : 2009 delpo, 2011 Djoko

aleady gave the draws for kuerten in a previous post in this thread.
Novak would NOT lose to Wilander or Chang! Only pure power can beat him...
 
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