Is Alcaraz already greater than Andy Murray?

Is Alcaraz already greater than Andy Murray?


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Both Roddick and Federer were reliant on their serves in 2009. Roddick, with his hopeless returning is what lost him the match. Murray's return is going to be much better, which combined with his far superior to Roddick ground game would tip the balance to him. Murray, with Roddick's birthday is 26 in Wimbledon 2009, which means it's 2013 Murray.
Yeah but on the other hand Roddick’s serve was way better than what Murray’s would ever be, so his better return would have been averaged out. There is no way to tell whether he would have done better, he would have been better than Rod on the return but I highly doubt that his serve is strong enough to only get broken once by Fed in what would equal seven sets.
 
Sure.

And that’s why I caveated that Murray’s win here has some contextual debate.

Coming back to your last sentence, and zooming out slightly, part of Murray’s advantage in that OGM final stems from Andy efficiently navigating his draw. A draw that was more difficult than Federer’s, IMO.

What does this tournament say about Murray’s GC prowess?

Of course, we can only speculate how peak/prime Roddick might’ve done with the same draw, but Murray’s level of play that week (and especially the SF vs Djokovic) was considerably strong.

Murray played excellent in Oly 12.

But how was his draw tougher than fed's?

Delpo was playing better than djoko in the respective semis
And delpo beat djoko in straights in the bronze title match.

Fed faced Isner, Murray faced baggy.
 
He was having to save MPs vs Gasquet, not just another 5-setter.

That was arguably nadal's best match at Wim along with Wim07/08 finals. But doesn't change that Murray was still not at his prime and atleast a litle spent from the round before
It could/should've been a routine straight set win if the cocaine kiss didn't choke imo. Murray didn't panic and was mentally rock solid, so kudos to him, but his level at the tournament is overrated and I agree with you.

Regarding Ned's 2008 run, apart from the colossal win against Fed, I would say his most impressive match was against Youzhny, a power player who troubled/beat Nadal on many occasions, including BO5 matches, and should've beaten him at W 2007 if not for the back injury in the third set. So for Ned to beat him in straight sets was very impressive and I consider it to be a bigger one than the one vs Murray.
 
It is of course arguable but my personal view is that in single digit slam region a difference of one slam can be overcome if the guy with fewer slams is better in most of no all other categories. A difference of two is too much imho.

Not for me, when we are in such a weak era.

Murray prime level is still better at 3 of the 4 slams at the YEC

And I like Alcaraz style of play lot more than Murray.

But just keeping consistent with my way of looking at levels more than plain numbers
 
Murray played excellent in Oly 12.

But how was his draw tougher than fed's?

Delpo was playing better than djoko in the respective semis
And delpo beat djoko in straights in the bronze title match.

Fed faced Isner, Murray faced baggy.

Murray faced Wawrinka in the opening round.

Stan’s weakest surface yes, but a pretty awful opponent out the gate.

Baghdatis is also a very canny grass courter and his game is a nightmare on the green stuff.

Almagro is limited on grass, probably Murray’s most favourable opponent.

Djokovic or Delpo is where it gets interesting.

Djokovic is a Wimbledon champion at this point, has a superior h2h vs Murray, and was rightly regarded as the favourite. Look at the match stats, that’s a tight affair of decent quality from both players. Murray outplayed a good Djokovic, he shut it down against the odds.

Whether Delpo played a better level in his SF is a bit too chaotic to even get into - however, Murray raising his level got him into the final with fresher legs.

Don’t really subscribe to Djokovic’s performance in the Bronze Medal Match being indicative of anything really.

After winning it in ‘08, I suspect he viewed it with contempt. Tokyo 2020 (2021) especially.
 
You haven’t brought any cogent argument so far imho
Neither have you. You’ve been talking purely in hypotheticals.

I brought up Murray’s achievements and where he stands among the ATG’s and you came back at me with the very petty response that he wouldn’t win them (or in fact, anything) in other eras.

Hardly the gold standard of persuasive reasoning, is it?
so how exactly can I speak with you seriously on tennis related matters?
Not parroting my own sentence back to me would be a start…
 
Yeah but on the other hand Roddick’s serve was way better than what Murray’s would ever be, so his better return would have been averaged out. There is no way to tell whether he would have done better, he would have been better than Rod on the return but I highly doubt that his serve is strong enough to only get broken once by Fed in what would equal seven sets.
You're forgetting that Federer loves serves with pace, not so much heavier, slower ones. On a day like that where his backhand was so off, he'd be chipping and giving Murray control of the point from the git go.
 
Which IMO would be ridiculous. Murray was at his peak in 13 and would win at least a few times against 09 Federer.
1 out of 10 tops, emphasis on tops

murray was at his peak in 12, even better than in 13 and lost to 12 fed in 4 sets. and 09 fed was better than 12 fed.

Murray was down 2 sets to love vs dasco in Wim 13 QF. murray's 2nd serve speed was down by some miles in Wim 13 final compared to Wim 12 final too (I think 88 or 89 mph in Wim 12 final to 80 mph in Wim 13 final)
 
Lol...here we go again. Poor Roddick and even poor Berdych but somehow "incredibly lucky" Murray who strangely had it so easy in the era of the 3 greatest players in the history of the game. As for Roddick's retirement, he himself stated that injuries meant he was no longer physically able to compete any more at the level he wanted to ie. top 10 or even 20. Retiring at 30 was not unusual for his generation. It's only in the current era that players now feel able to play and compete for longer eg. 40 years old Wawrinka and 38 year old Djokovic.

It is stupid talk since Berdych and Roddick are the same era as Murray, especialy Berdych. How on earth can Berdych be unlucky compared to Murray, and a better player who just got unlucky to achieve less, when he literally lost to Murray himself in the semis of 2 of the 3 slams Murray won. What lunacy.

Berdych even lost to Cilic en route to the only slam Cilic won, showing even Cilic was in fact more worthy of a slam victory than Berdych was.
 
It is stupid talk since Berdych and Roddick are the same era as Murray, especialy Berdych. How on earth can Berdych be unlucky compared to Murray, and a better player who just got unlucky to achieve less, when he literally lost to Murray himself in the semis of 2 of the 3 slams Murray won. What lunacy.

Berdych even lost to Cilic en route to the only slam Cilic won, showing even Cilic was in fact more worthy of a slam victory than Berdych was.
It’s just a cheap, backdoor way of belittling Murray’s achievements because his success (of which there was plenty) in the Big 3 era - for a lot of people on here - dilutes the achievements of the 3 GOAT’s. It makes them look a little fallible which cannot run on TTW, apparently.

It’s where this obsession with transporting him to Roddick & Hewitt’s era comes from.

It’s not slick, I’ve seen it all before and it should always be called out for the desperate and juvenile tactic that it is.
 
It’s just a cheap, backdoor way of belittling Murray’s achievements because his success (of which there was plenty) in the Big 3 era - for a lot of people on here - dilutes the achievements of the 3 GOAT’s. It makes them look a little fallible which cannot run on TTW, apparently.

It’s where this obsession with transporting him to Roddick & Hewitt’s era comes from.

It’s not slick, I’ve seen it all before and it should always be called out for the desperate and juvenile tactic that it is.
It is kinda irrelevant how he does in the Roddick era but it's just the way hypotheicals go that's pretty much never gonna go way.
 
It’s just a cheap, backdoor way of belittling Murray’s achievements because his success (of which there was plenty) in the Big 3 era - for a lot of people on here - dilutes the achievements of the 3 GOAT’s. It makes them look a little fallible which cannot run on TTW, apparently.

It’s where this obsession with transporting him to Roddick & Hewitt’s era comes from.

It’s not slick, I’ve seen it all before and it should always be called out for the desperate and juvenile tactic that it is.

YES, agreed on all of that. Heaven forbid the Big 3 look human or anything but a perfectly engineered AI bot. (y)
 
Murray faced Wawrinka in the opening round.

Stan’s weakest surface yes, but a pretty awful opponent out the gate.

Baghdatis is also a very canny grass courter and his game is a nightmare on the green stuff.

Almagro is limited on grass, probably Murray’s most favourable opponent.

Djokovic or Delpo is where it gets interesting.

Djokovic is a Wimbledon champion at this point, has a superior h2h vs Murray, and was rightly regarded as the favourite. Look at the match stats, that’s a tight affair of decent quality from both players. Murray outplayed a good Djokovic, he shut it down against the odds.

Whether Delpo played a better level in his SF is a bit too chaotic to even get into - however, Murray raising his level got him into the final with fresher legs.

Don’t really subscribe to Djokovic’s performance in the Bronze Medal Match being indicative of anything really.

After winning it in ‘08, I suspect he viewed it with contempt. Tokyo 2020 (2021) especially.

its not chaotic at all. djokovic played good in SF vs Murray, but delpo was clearly better in his semi with federer

you can't ignore djokovic's performance in a bronze title match because it doesn't suit you. Mind you, delpo was also coming after the epic with federer.

its an Olympics medal match for the country.

Djoko also looks nearly in tears, but just controlling after he lost, 0:41
 
Neither have you. You’ve been talking purely in hypotheticals.
Yeah please attack every discussion here in TTW involving hypotheticals lol good luck. You cannot tell me even a year in 2003-2011 where it can be reasonably assumed that Murray wins Wimbledon but just simply say it is hypothetical so let’s ignore it altogether. Sure it is, but there are hypotheticals where yiu can make reasonable assumptions based on what actually happened. But I will look out for future posts of yours whether you are so strict on every hypothetical discussion here in the future as well.
I brought up Murray’s achievements and where he stands among the ATG’s and you came back at me with the very petty response that he wouldn’t win them (or in fact, anything) in other eras.
I also said where he stands among the ATGs (multiple times actually). If you can’t read it’s your problem.
Not parroting my own sentence back to me would be a start…
Look I genuinely don’t care whether you want to engage in further discussions with me lol. Not sure why you brought that even up.
 
Everyone posting in this thread has an agenda, so it's kind of a moot point.

Murray is 1-5 against Fed in slams with 3 of those losses being in straights.

Picking Fed (and still prime Fed at that) in a potential slam match-up shouldn't really be seen as controversial in the slightest, that it apparently is is suspicious in itself, yes? And reeks of agenda pushing too.
I could understand speculating if they never played in a slam or played only once and it was super close.

But neither is the case and we’ve seen the actual matches, so I don’t understand the idea of questioning Fed’s chances. It’s almost as if people think Murray would win because they want him to, not because he actually would
 
You're forgetting that Federer loves serves with pace, not so much heavier, slower ones. On a day like that where his backhand was so off, he'd be chipping and giving Murray control of the point from the git go.
2013 final wasn’t really great tbh. Both players had more UE than winners and both in the lower region of 40 % second serve points won. Both players got broken in every set. So if a very mediocre Djoko can break Murray three times why shouldn’t Fed? He never showed much difficulty with Murray’s serve.
 
Because you are speaking about hypotheticals that rely on too many variables - it’s a fool’s errand. I will discuss what actually happened.

Roddick, like Murray, had the misfortune of facing GOAT-level competition in the majority of his GS finals. However, Murray broke through against his GOAT nemesis in two of those finals - Roddick did not.

And why did Murray have the capacity to do this? Because he got there more often owing to a higher base (and peak) level of play.

Murray made 10 consecutive QFs or better at Wimbledon. The only two others to do this are Federer and Jimmy Connors. Why do you think that was? Why couldn’t Roddick do this?

If you believe the answer is “Murray has a higher floor, Roddick a higher ceiling” (which I would strongly contest) then how far do you take it? Is Rosol a better player than Murray because of his 2012 “peak” level at Wimbledon…?

Let’s talk facts:

- Murray actually defeated Federer in a Bo5 final on grass while Roger was fresh off a title win that summer.

- A pre-Lendl Murray is 2-1 vs Roddick on grass.

- Murray defeated a previous Wimbledon champion to win his first title at SW19, and someone who’d go on to be arguably the 2nd/3rd best male player in the competition’s history.

———

Based on what we know in objective reality, Murray posted a very high level on grass - beyond Roddick’s in my view.

Murray might well have a higher level than Thomas Johansson at the AO? Should we push Murray’s birthday back to 1975?

Stick to pushing the narrative that Berdych was a bigger threat to the Big 3 in slams than Murray. That’s about the measure of your analysis. (y)
LMAO at completely dismissing the reason why Fed was beaten so baldy in that Olympics match, but clearly no agenda
 
Exactly. Fed of 2003-2007 at Wimbledon is also on top considerably better than Fed from 2008 USO, 2010, 2014 AO or 2012, 2015 Wimbledon. Murray does not win here, I start thinking that some posters here deliberately do not read properly or misunderstand everything. Rating Murray below Courier and ahead of Stan, Kuerten, Safin ist completely reasonable I do not really get what they want to hear tbh. Also, saying that the peak level between Murray and Rod at Wimbledon is similar (given that Rod lost three finals here and has an ATG serve this is also not really a hot take) or at least not so vastly different that it would make a big difference on how they fare against peak Fed should also not be the least controversial. Not sure why people try to make out of it that I ever said Roddick is greater than Murray...
Murray performed worse at Wimb against worse versions of Fed than Roddick anyway. But people hate hearing that
 
LMAO at completely dismissing the reason why Fed was beaten so baldy in that Olympics match, but clearly no agenda
These two guys can neither read nor can they grasp that if there are multiple matches between two players one can reasonably make assumptions how additional matches would likely play out.
 
I could understand speculating if they never played in a slam or played only once and it was super close.

But neither is the case and we’ve seen the actual matches, so I don’t understand the idea of questioning Fed’s chances. It’s almost as if people think Murray would win because they want him to, not because he actually would

That is true as well. There is ridiculousness both directions here. Someone saying Berdych is better than Murray, but just got unlucky when their primes were literally the exact same time, they are almost the same age, and Berdych lost to Murray in the semis of 2 of the 3 slams he won since he is inferior. On the other hand some speculating on Murray having good chances vs prime Federer in slams, when he went nearly winless vs a post prime Federer, and the win was a 5 setter in one of Federer's worst years ever. Just typical TW comedy all around.
 
I would say no to this. Not yet at least despite 2 slams more. Murray has done so much in his career, but eventually yea it's inevitable but it would be disrespectful to everything Murray achieved to call it now. I disagree with that.
Yeah, like it or not, Murray has done some things that current Alcaraz has not shown the capability for
 
Oh yeah, agree. Despite the overall H2H, Roddick pushed a better Fed harder at Wimbledon compared to Murray. Always believed that.
Old Agassi was tougher for 2004-2012 Fed in slams than Murray. And I am being generous to Murray by including 2011 and 2012 here
 
Ok, we get it, Murray sucks.

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That is true as well. There is ridiculousness both directions here. Someone saying Berdych is better than Murray, but just got unlucky when their primes were literally the exact same time, they are almost the same age, and Berdych lost to Murray in the semis of 2 of the 3 slams he won since he is inferior. On the other hand some speculating on Murray having good chances vs prime Federer in slams, when he went nearly winless vs a post prime Federer, and the win was a 5 setter in one of Federer's worst years ever. Just typical TW comedy all around.
Where exactly did anyone say Berd was better than Murray?
 
You are of course right bro but I have told it several times to them even in capital letters. You can lead a horse to water but you can’t force it to drink.

I read just fine.

I’ve told you numerous times that I find your method of reasoning (and obsession with a false timeline) to be utterly contemptuous.

Fool’s errand.
 
LMAO at completely dismissing the reason why Fed was beaten so baldy in that Olympics match, but clearly no agenda

I was posting the cold, hard facts in that portion of my post. If you look further on in the thread, I’ve opened up the nuance about the Olympics ‘12 in a subsequent discussion.

I don’t expect you to agree but that’s how I see it.
 
its not chaotic at all. djokovic played good in SF vs Murray, but delpo was clearly better in his semi with federer

you can't ignore djokovic's performance in a bronze title match because it doesn't suit you. Mind you, delpo was also coming after the epic with federer.

its an Olympics medal match for the country.

Djoko also looks nearly in tears, but just controlling after he lost, 0:41

Okay, but how does this discount the idea that Murray’s level was demonstrable in how he efficiently handled his business?

Respectfully, I flat out cannot agree that Djokovic in the SF is more favourable than Del Potro.
 
its not chaotic at all. djokovic played good in SF vs Murray, but delpo was clearly better in his semi with federer

you can't ignore djokovic's performance in a bronze title match because it doesn't suit you. Mind you, delpo was also coming after the epic with federer.

its an Olympics medal match for the country.

Djoko also looks nearly in tears, but just controlling after he lost, 0:41
If he is going to complain about draws, Djokovic had a tougher draw than Murray at 2013 Wimb
 
I was posting the cold, hard facts in that portion of my post. If you look further on in the thread, I’ve opened up the nuance about the Olympics ‘12 in a subsequent discussion.

I don’t expect you to agree but that’s how I see it.
Of course that’s how you see it since it puts Murray in a good light
 
I could understand speculating if they never played in a slam or played only once and it was super close.

But neither is the case and we’ve seen the actual matches, so I don’t understand the idea of questioning Fed’s chances. It’s almost as if people think Murray would win because they want him to, not because he actually would
So if Murray had beaten Federer in ‘15, he’d have been the favourite to beat Djokovic in that final on account of his 2-0 H2H on Centre Court and 5-0 in sets?

I know I’m restricting it to Wimbledon, but that is the topic at hand and we are talking about previous matches being indicators of future results.
 
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