M1000 Indian Wells 2024 - ATP

[Rattie]

32 seeds, all of whom received a bye into R2. These are the top 16:

1. Novak Djokovic
2. Carlos Alcaraz
3. Jannik Sinner
4. Daniil Medvedev
5. Andrey Rublev
6. Alexander Zverev
7. Holger Rune
8. Hubert Hurkacz
9. Casper Ruud
10. Alex de Minaur
11. Stefanos Tsitsipas
12. Taylor Fritz
13. Grigor Dimitrov
14. Ugh Humbert
15. Karen Khachanov
16. Ben Shelton

You can find the rest through the Wiki link:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2024_BNP_Paribas_Open_–_Men's_singles

Jakub Mensik has been given a WC.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1764804898363781328

https://twitter.com/x/status/1764804381210185796

https://twitter.com/x/status/1764803882125832401

https://twitter.com/x/status/1764813021187063979

https://twitter.com/x/status/1764804147142943088

 

[Move]

Lets see what the Serbian Prince, Hamad Medjedovic will do in the qualies. Still no sign of Dominic Stricker, still injured?

 

[tudwell]

Sinner up to number 2 in the live rankings, leapfrogging Alcaraz. About 100 points ahead, so Alcaraz needs to outperform Sinner by at least 100 points to stay number 2 in the world. Based on recent form, I doubt that happens.

 

[Kralingen]

My vote for Sinner is cast. Both Carlos and Med do not seem to be in form. I think Djokovic may come in with something to prove, though.

 

[Dominic & Andrey]

Voted Demon.

 

[InsuranceMan]

Anyone know where to watch qualies? Trying to catch Woestendick

 

[robyrolfo]

Can't believe Cressy's luck with the qualifying draw, getting Goffin.

 

[chuckersthenut]

Lets see what the Serbian Prince, Hamad Medjedovic will do in the qualies. Still no sign of Dominic Stricker, still injured?

Where has Medjedovic been?

Lost 1-6, 1-6 first round qualies...yikes. should have stayed wherever he was.

 

[Meles]

I've never been forced to cheer for Raonic before. Bow-legged fool wins the Rafa sweepstakes.

 

[Kralingen]

Rune-Nadal has potential to be the funniest match of 2024, hoping it happens

Djokovic draw seems like a total cakewalk at first glance… meanwhile the Sinner half seems like it’ll have fireworks.

 

[Rattie]

Djokovic gets a cake walk draw. How boring.

 

[Meles]

 

[Meles]

Rune-Nadal has potential to be the funniest match of 2024, hoping it happens

Djokovic draw seems like a total cakewalk at first glance… meanwhile the Sinner half seems like it’ll have fireworks.

Raonic gets first career win over Nadal at Indian Wells

Raonic used a strong serve to outlast Nadal for his first win in six career meetings.

www.usatoday.com

 

[Meles]

Interesting first round and potential 2nd round matches top half:
Nadal v Raonic (winner plays Holger)
Shapo v Van De Quiter (winner plays Musetti) - a very achievable section for the bow-legged fool, and a rough ride for Rafa who has even lost to Shapo on clay (Rome 2022.)
Pretty easy draw for Holger in that section despite the talent levels and Fognini wild card (Baez 2nd round for Fabio.)

Manny plays winner of Wawrinka-Machac hard to predict.
Medly plays Cobolli possibly 2nd round and then maybe Korda.

Clownfils vs Purcell is box office and winner plays Hubbie.
Sonego vs Kecmanovic competive and then winner gets Norrie and then Hubbie.

Fils vs Borges winner gets Fokina is hard to predict.

Michelson needs to beat Munar to get to Tommy Paul

Djoko draw is boring.

 

[octobrina10]

The full draw:

https://twitter.com/x/status/1764815297754640836

 

[Rattie]

OP updated

 

[Meles]

Bottom half:
Arnaldi had great match with Shelton in Acapulco and with slow IW conditions Van Assche match is a barn burner with winner to play a quite rusty Alcaraz and likely FAA awaits this little part of the draw.

If Draper beats O'Connel then it is the mighty Zedzilla.

If Mensik prevails over qualifier, Shelton will have his hands full in the 2nd round.

If playing well Nakashima vs Eubanks winner playing Lehecka is fine, but really these are fast court players.

Rublev may retire Murray in the 2nd round.

 

[octobrina10]

The full draw in the PDF format:

https://www.protennislive.com/posting/2024/404/mds.pdf

 

[Rattie]

The full draw in the PDF format:

https://www.protennislive.com/posting/2024/404/mds.pdf

I’ve put the pdf in the OP

 

[Meles]

I’ve put the pdf in the OP

All a day late and about 45 minutes short.

 

[Nostradamus]

What has happened to Goffin ?? how did he fall so badly ? he's now trying to qualify for indian wells against Cressy

 

[robyrolfo]

If Mensik prevails over qualifier, Shelton will have his hands full in the 2nd round.

Mensik v Shelton could be a lot of fun. Still want to see Rune v Shelton, which we were denied last week.

What has happened to Goffin ?? how did he fall so badly ? he's now trying to qualify for indian wells against Cressy

He's had some decent runs lately, so I don't understand why his ranking is so low.

 

[chuckersthenut]

Safiullin gets Evans again. ..

To get to play Korda.

To get to play Medvedev.

Seriously who did Roman **** off?

 

[Rosstour]

Interesting first round and potential 2nd round matches top half:
Nadal v Raonic (winner plays Holger)
Shapo v Van De Quiter (winner plays Musetti)

Shapo-Musetti could be the most entertaining match of the season yet

 

[nolefam_2024]

Indian Wells GOAT is BACK

 

[dking68]

@nolefam_2024 Sinner will be number 2 after this tournament at 22 years and 6 months. Nole needed 22 years and 9 months. Sinner has an edge over him in that regard

 

[nolefam_2024]

@nolefam_2024 Sinner will be number 2 after this tournament at 22 years and 6 months. Nole needed 22 years and 9 months. Sinner has an edge over him in that regard

Can Rune dump Nadal out in R2?

 

[dking68]

Can Rune dump Nadal out in R2?

Who cares. Rune ain’t close to a slam win

 

[nolefam_2024]

Who cares. Rune ain’t close to a slam win

I care you care about sinner I care about taking Nadal down

 

[dking68]

I care you care about sinner I care about taking Nadal down

Nadal is old, I don’t even know why he’s playing. Rune should win but his level is really low

 

[nolefam_2024]

Nadal is old, I don’t even know why he’s playing. Rune should win but his level is really low

I hope rune is at his best. Losing right now is going to be comical.

 

[dking68]

I hope rune is at his best. Losing right now is going to be comical.

He really hasn’t improved, let’s be honest

 

[nolefam_2024]

He really hasn’t improved, let’s be honest

Doesn't need to.

 

[Genie Of the Bank]

Djokovic has smooth path until semis, Sinner has couple of physical encounters in early rounds . Still expect Novak-Janik final with fresher player to win it.

 

[socallefty]

Djokovic has smooth path until semis,

Umbert won two hard court tournaments in Feb., Ruud won one and made another final as did Tommy Paul in the last month. Hurkacz is always a tough out being the #1 server on tour for both average speed and accuracy. Hardly an easy ride before the semifinal with all these in-form players who have been playing well in the last month. Of course no path looks tough for Djokovic unless he meets others in the top 5 which won’t happen before the semifinal.

 

[Genie Of the Bank]

Umbert won two hard court tournaments in Feb., Ruud won one and made another final as did Tommy Paul in the last month. Hurkacz is always a tough out being the #1 server on tour for both average speed and accuracy. Hardly an easy ride before the semifinal with all these in-form players who have been playing well in the last month. Of course no path looks tough for Djokovic unless he meets others in the top 5 which won’t happen before the semifinal.

You have a point, still I dont expect Novak to lose any sets before semis if his wrist is healthy.

 

[Move]

Don't think the results from speedy indoor HC and fast Doha/Dubai HC can translate into IW : beware of court speed / ball type differences ... already some strange/upset results in de qualies : Cazaux losing in two sets and the Serbian Prince Medjedovic totally destroyed by Grenier

 

[Rovesciarete]

ELO Singles Forecast by Tennisabstract​

Archived: R128 | Current
Probable matchups: R64 | R32 | R16 | QF | SF | F

Sinner with a 38.6% of winning is the top dog according to ELO, Nole second with 20.1%, Meddy 10.9% and Alcaraz below 10%! I took out all the players with a less of 0.2% chance of winning, for example guys like Mensik.

Player	​	R64​	R32​	R16​	QF​	SF​	F​	W​
(1)Novak Djokovic (SRB)	​	100.0%​	95.5%​	88.1%​	67.4%​	54.8%​	37.8%​	20.1%​
(17)Tommy Paul(USA)	​	100.0%​	76.2%​	32.7%​	8.5%​	4.4%​	1.6%​	0.4%​
(14)Ugo Humbert(FRA)	​	100.0%​	87.4%​	58.8%​	20.5%​	13.1%​	6.3%​	2.1%​
(9)Casper Ruud(NOR)	​	100.0%​	85.1%​	57.1%​	31.1%​	9.1%​	3.5%​	0.9%​
(8)Hubert Hurkacz(POL)	​	100.0%​	69.6%​	50.3%​	31.7%​	10.7%​	4.7%​	1.4%​
(4)Daniil Medvedev (RUS)	​	100.0%​	90.3%​	75.4%​	54.2%​	41.3%​	23.3%​	10.9%​
(13)Grigor Dimitrov (BUL)	​	100.0%​	89.0%​	66.3%​	29.5%​	18.9%​	8.0%​	2.7%​
(12)Taylor Fritz(USA)	​	100.0%​	79.6%​	63.8%​	43.2%​	18.3%​	7.2%​	2.2%​
(7)Holger Rune(DEN)	​	100.0%​	64.0%​	46.8%​	24.7%​	8.6%​	2.8%​	0.7%​
(5)Andrey Rublev(RUS)	​	100.0%​	81.5%​	62.3%​	40.3%​	12.4%​	6.3%​	2.6%​
(11)Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE)	​	100.0%​	84.4%​	55.7%​	29.5%​	7.6%​	3.3%​	1.2%​
(16)Ben Shelton(USA)	​	100.0%​	56.4%​	38.4%​	6.7%​	2.8%​	1.0%​	0.3%​
(3)Jannik Sinner(ITA)	​	100.0%​	93.1%​	87.4%​	79.6%​	67.6%​	53.6%​	38.6%​
(6)Alexander Zverev (GER)	​	100.0%​	68.2%​	49.2%​	28.3%​	15.0%​	4.9%​	2.0%​
(10)Alex De Minaur (AUS)	​	100.0%​	88.2%​	65.1%​	39.2%​	21.2%​	7.2%​	3.0%​
(15)Karen Khachanov (RUS)	​	100.0%​	74.3%​	50.5%​	17.0%​	6.6%​	1.4%​	0.4%​
(2)Carlos Alcaraz(ESP)	​	100.0%​	87.4%​	71.5%​	58.5%​	38.6%​	16.0%​	8.2%​

Forecasts are based on tournament simulations, which employ
surface-specific Elo player ratings. (Men | Women)
There are no doubles or qualifying forecasts at this time.

 

[dking68]

Doesn't need to.

He really needs to change his ways if he wants to win a slam or take another step in his career

 

[Move]

He really needs to change his ways if he wants to win a slam or take another step in his career

I believe he's trying, a poster mentioned he appeared way calmer and not looking to his team every single point of the match during play in Acapulco
Really believe that mental stability is the biggest part in becoming a ATG tennis player. Otherwise you stick with ' flash in the pan ' experiences which are really hard to replicate year in, year out

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Now this is what I’m talking about. I feel the tennis season once again starts here since Melbourne. We got all the top guys back playing at same time.

Exciting times and hope for some tasty clashes these next couple of weeks. They all looking to find form as we approach the clay season soon.

Pumped for it!

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

Djokovic gets a cake walk draw. How boring.

Djokovic is not normally in peak condition by this point in year anyway. We will see what happens.

 

[MichaelNadal]

Now this is what I’m talking about. I feel the tennis season once again starts here since Melbourne. We got all the top guys back playing at same time.

Exciting times and hope for some tasty clashes these next couple of weeks. They all looking to find form as we approach the clay season soon.

Pumped for it!

I'd be excited too with the draw you have it's giving level 1-1

 

[ALCARAZWON]

Nadal is old, I don’t even know why he’s playing. Rune should win but his level is really low

Luckily Nadal doesn't have to worry about being old, because he's playing in a weak era.
It should be obvious why Nadal is playing.
One of his best friends EVER is the owner of Indian Wells.
Nadal literally lives at Larry's house.
So if this is Nadal's last or 2nd last year, of course he'll play for Larry Ellison.

 

[Djokovic_is_the_best#1]

I'd be excited too with the draw you have it's giving level 1-1

This is nothing about draws bestie. It is about seeing djokodal back together again in same tournament as we don’t have long left to cherish them. Alcaraz, Sinner, Zverev and meddy all there too.

It’s a full draw so it will be off the chain bro!

 

[robyrolfo]

Now this is what I’m talking about. I feel the tennis season once again starts here since Melbourne. We got all the top guys back playing at same time.

It's nice to have everyone in the same event. What isn't so nice is the return of the bickering between Djokovic and Nadal fans.

I don't mind those other tournaments where we can actually talk about other players for a little while.

 

[nolefam_2024]

It's nice to have everyone in the same event. What isn't so nice is the return of the bickering between Djokovic and Nadal fans.

I don't mind those other tournaments where we can actually talk about other players for a little while.

Like ANYONE here wants to talk about other players. The entire forum is run by fedal fans making imaginary claims

 

[marc45]

I've never been forced to cheer for Raonic before. Bow-legged fool wins the Rafa sweepstakes.

nice words

and tell people to stop forcing you to do stuff

 

[Bill Lobsalot]

It's nice to have everyone in the same event. What isn't so nice is the return of the bickering between Djokovic and Nadal fans.

I don't mind those other tournaments where we can actually talk about other players for a little while.

The Nadal talk will be brief.

 

[Vincent-C]

Go, Shap.