Carlos Alcaraz beat Novak Djokovic 6-2, 6-2, 7-6(4) in the Wimbledon final, 2024 on grass
It was a repeat previous years final, which Alcaraz won in 5 sets. Alcaraz had recently won the French Open. Djokovic was playing his 10th final at the event and looking for a record equalling 8th title
Alcaraz won 109 points, Djokovic 87
Serve Stats
Alcaraz...
- 1st serve percentage (56/95) 59%
- 1st serve points won (47/56) 84%
- 2nd serve points won (20/39) 51%
- Aces 5, Service Winners 2 (1 second serve, bad bounce related)
- Double Faults 6
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (27/95) 28%
Djokovic...
- 1st serve percentage (71/101) 70%
- 1st serve points won (46/71) 65%
- 2nd serve points won (13/30) 43%
- Aces 8
- Double Faults 4
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (25/101) 25%
Serve Pattern
Alcaraz served...
- to FH 45%
- to BH 47%
- to Body 8%
Djokovic served...
- to FH 55%
- to BH 44%
- to Body 1%
Return Stats
Alcaraz made...
- 72 (38 FH, 34 BH), including 1 runaround BH
- 5 Winners (2 FH, 3 BH)
- 17 Errors, comprising...
- 6 Unforced (3 FH, 3 BH)
- 11 Forced (7 FH, 4 BH)
- Return Rate (72/97) 74%
Djokovic made...
- 62 (23 FH, 39 BH), including 1 return-approach
- 20 Errors, comprising...
- 5 Unforced (2 FH, 3 BH)
- 15 Forced (10 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (62/89) 70%
Break Points
Alcaraz 5/14 (6 games)
Djokovic 1/3 (3 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Alcaraz 36 (21 FH, 10 BH, 3 FHV, 1 BHV, 1 BH1/2V)
Djokovic 18 (6 FH, 3 BH, 5 FHV, 1 BHV, 3 OH)
Alcaraz' regular FHs - 3 cc (1 return), 5 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out, 3 inside-out, 1 longline, 3 drop shots (1 at net)
- regular BHs - 2 dtl (1 return), 1 inside-out, 1 inside-in return 2 drop shots, 1 net chord drbbler return
- 9 passes (5 FH, 3 BH, 1 FHV)
- FHs - 2 cc, 2 dtl (1 return), 1 running-down-drop-shot dtl at net
- BHs - 1 cc, 2 dtl (1 at net, a net chord flicker)
- FHV - 1 non-net, swinging cc
- 2 from serve-volley points (1 FHV, 1 BHV), both first volleys
Djokovic's FHs - 2 cc, 1 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out, 1 inside-out, 1 longline/inside-out at net
- BHs - 1 dtl, 1 inside-out pass, 1 inside-in/cc pass
- 2 from serve-volley points (2 FHV), both first volleys
- 1 from a return-approach point, an OH
- 1 other FHV was a swinging dtl
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Alcaraz 38
- 20 Unforced (13 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV)... with 1 FH pass attempt at net & 1 non-net FHV
- 18 Forced (10 FH, 8 BH)... with 3 FH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47.5
Djokovic 42
- 23 Unforced (10 FH, 9 BH, 1 FHV, 3 BHV)
- 19 Forced (7 FH, 7 BH, 1 Back-to-net, 1 FHV, 2 BHV, 1 Back-to-net volley)... with 1 FH running-down-drop-shot at net & 3 BH running-down-drop-shot (2 at net, 1 not)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 52.2
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Alcaraz was...
- 15/21 (71%) at with, including...
- 3/5 (60%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 3/4 (75%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
Djokovic was...
- 24/46 (52%) at with, including...
- 9/15 (60%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 9/14 (64%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
---
- 1/1 return-approaching
- 0/1 forced back
Match Report
Top class showing from Alcaraz, who’s on song in all areas as he crushes an almost outmatched Djokovic, who is aggressive from both back and front of court, but is outplayed in both parts of the court
Alcaraz with 36 winners to just 38 total errors (20 UEs, 18 FEs) is top drawer. Almost same number of winners as total errors is very, very rare for baseline match. This isn’t a ‘baseline’ match per se, with Djoko serve-volleying and otherwise taking net regularly but bulk of match is
Statistically winners is only substantial difference between two players, though Alcs has better of just about everything and his having twice as many winners is product of many of those advantages (return, movement, power), not just shot-making though that’s one of the areas where he has biggest advantage (movement and return are 2 others)
Winners - Alcs 36, Djoko 18
…
Errors Forced - Alcs 19, Djoko 18
UEs - Alcs 20, Djoko 23
Unreturned serves - Alcs 28%, Djoko 25%
(Djoko has better of double faults 4-6)
Progression is just what 2,2 & 6 scoreline would suggest. Alcs crushes Djoko for two sets, with Djoko’s attempts at shot-making (that is, going for adventurous point ending shots from balls not obviously there for it) from back and volleying not too successful. Alcs is in full slight in all areas. Return is particularly important and renders the good serving Djoko to almost 2 ‘second serves’ situation, with anything shy of aces coming back and usually not softly. Djoko’s a little off in returning by contrast, missing makeably not-easy returns. It stands out next to both what Alcs does and what Djoko generally tends to, but Alcs serves particulary well too (more on that later)
Third set though is a wonderful set of tennis with both players at something like their best. Even than, Alcs is that little bit better - his first class movement in particular is important - and its only a choke that sees him not serve out the match before tiebreak. Tiebreak though is fitting end to the set, though for the match, Alcs serving out 6-4 (he blows a 40-0 lead serving at 5-4, having broken sensationally game before) would probably have been more appropriate
Alcs FH with match high 21 winners, and its particularly high. Djoko has 18 from all shots, Alcs 15 non-FH ones
Alcs BH with match low 6 UEs (other 3 groundies have 9, 10, and 13 respectively)
Just raw stats of match high FH winners and match low BH UEs would be a winning formula virtually all the time. When the winner count is particularly high and UE count is particulary low on on top of that, win becomes more assured still
Its not just the numbers either. Alcs’ BH, though outshone by the FH, is a star in its own right. Strong, powerful stock shots and considerable attacking shot-making coming from that wing too. It has 10 winners, which is more than any of Djoko’s shots (he has 9 volley winners and 6 FHs). Stock FH is a powerhouse too, but that’s obvious with 21 winners
And Djokovic? 18 winners, 23 UEs is good. Forcing 18 errors on top of that, more so. Those final figures are biased by very good third set and flattering to him (first 2 sets, he's a poor +1 points ended aggressively/UE differential, third set its very good +12)
Most telling stat from him is very high UEFI of 52.2. He’s got 11 winner attempt UEs, to go with 6 neutrals and attacking UEs apiece, from yield of 19 ground and 4 volley UEs
That accurately captures how he plays. No trying to grind Alcs down, but going for adventurous winning shots, effectively challenging him to a shot-making contest. 18 winners for 11 winner attempts UEs is poor (Alcs has 6 such errors as cost of his 36 winners). Its an interesting approach, surprising if not shocking. Its not his most common way of going about dealing with powerhouse, attacking players. Looking for winners from back and front - and having just 18 winners for 11 UEs trying is a losing a game (leaving aside entirely Alcs having a very, very winning one)
46 trips to net for Djoko, including 15 serve-volleys (Alcs has 21 net points, many of them to deal with drop shots). He serve-volleys off 22% of his first serves. Not too unusual for the way he was playing during this period. Doesn’t work too well here and he wins just 52% of those net points - with the lot he wins concentrated after he’s already down 2 sets
Djoko’s problems start before all that though with the first two shots themselves
Serve & Return
Alcs’ return is the standout shot, though he serves well too. Djoko serves well, but not as well as Alcs returns, while his returning is a bit off
Movement is big (probably biggest) part of what contributes to how well each player returns. Alcs' is outstanding, Djoko's not upto what its tasked with
In counts - Djoko with impressive 70%, Alcs a normal 59% would seem to favour Djoko. It doesn’t for 2 reasons; Alcs’ going a long way in neutralizing first serves (credit his return) and Alcs’ first serve quality being excellent
First serve points won - Alcs 84%, Djoko 65%
First serve ace/service winner rate - both 11%
Ace/SW rates indicator of first serve quality being about the same. This is largely, but not entirely outside Alcs’ better movement to deny aces. Djoko’s generally kind of server who serves aces and otherwise good, wide-ish serve that aren’t likely to go for aces - and that’s true here
It was a repeat previous years final, which Alcaraz won in 5 sets. Alcaraz had recently won the French Open. Djokovic was playing his 10th final at the event and looking for a record equalling 8th title
Alcaraz won 109 points, Djokovic 87
Serve Stats
Alcaraz...
- 1st serve percentage (56/95) 59%
- 1st serve points won (47/56) 84%
- 2nd serve points won (20/39) 51%
- Aces 5, Service Winners 2 (1 second serve, bad bounce related)
- Double Faults 6
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (27/95) 28%
Djokovic...
- 1st serve percentage (71/101) 70%
- 1st serve points won (46/71) 65%
- 2nd serve points won (13/30) 43%
- Aces 8
- Double Faults 4
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (25/101) 25%
Serve Pattern
Alcaraz served...
- to FH 45%
- to BH 47%
- to Body 8%
Djokovic served...
- to FH 55%
- to BH 44%
- to Body 1%
Return Stats
Alcaraz made...
- 72 (38 FH, 34 BH), including 1 runaround BH
- 5 Winners (2 FH, 3 BH)
- 17 Errors, comprising...
- 6 Unforced (3 FH, 3 BH)
- 11 Forced (7 FH, 4 BH)
- Return Rate (72/97) 74%
Djokovic made...
- 62 (23 FH, 39 BH), including 1 return-approach
- 20 Errors, comprising...
- 5 Unforced (2 FH, 3 BH)
- 15 Forced (10 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (62/89) 70%
Break Points
Alcaraz 5/14 (6 games)
Djokovic 1/3 (3 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Alcaraz 36 (21 FH, 10 BH, 3 FHV, 1 BHV, 1 BH1/2V)
Djokovic 18 (6 FH, 3 BH, 5 FHV, 1 BHV, 3 OH)
Alcaraz' regular FHs - 3 cc (1 return), 5 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out, 3 inside-out, 1 longline, 3 drop shots (1 at net)
- regular BHs - 2 dtl (1 return), 1 inside-out, 1 inside-in return 2 drop shots, 1 net chord drbbler return
- 9 passes (5 FH, 3 BH, 1 FHV)
- FHs - 2 cc, 2 dtl (1 return), 1 running-down-drop-shot dtl at net
- BHs - 1 cc, 2 dtl (1 at net, a net chord flicker)
- FHV - 1 non-net, swinging cc
- 2 from serve-volley points (1 FHV, 1 BHV), both first volleys
Djokovic's FHs - 2 cc, 1 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out, 1 inside-out, 1 longline/inside-out at net
- BHs - 1 dtl, 1 inside-out pass, 1 inside-in/cc pass
- 2 from serve-volley points (2 FHV), both first volleys
- 1 from a return-approach point, an OH
- 1 other FHV was a swinging dtl
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Alcaraz 38
- 20 Unforced (13 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV)... with 1 FH pass attempt at net & 1 non-net FHV
- 18 Forced (10 FH, 8 BH)... with 3 FH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47.5
Djokovic 42
- 23 Unforced (10 FH, 9 BH, 1 FHV, 3 BHV)
- 19 Forced (7 FH, 7 BH, 1 Back-to-net, 1 FHV, 2 BHV, 1 Back-to-net volley)... with 1 FH running-down-drop-shot at net & 3 BH running-down-drop-shot (2 at net, 1 not)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 52.2
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Alcaraz was...
- 15/21 (71%) at with, including...
- 3/5 (60%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 3/4 (75%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
Djokovic was...
- 24/46 (52%) at with, including...
- 9/15 (60%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 9/14 (64%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
---
- 1/1 return-approaching
- 0/1 forced back
Match Report
Top class showing from Alcaraz, who’s on song in all areas as he crushes an almost outmatched Djokovic, who is aggressive from both back and front of court, but is outplayed in both parts of the court
Alcaraz with 36 winners to just 38 total errors (20 UEs, 18 FEs) is top drawer. Almost same number of winners as total errors is very, very rare for baseline match. This isn’t a ‘baseline’ match per se, with Djoko serve-volleying and otherwise taking net regularly but bulk of match is
Statistically winners is only substantial difference between two players, though Alcs has better of just about everything and his having twice as many winners is product of many of those advantages (return, movement, power), not just shot-making though that’s one of the areas where he has biggest advantage (movement and return are 2 others)
Winners - Alcs 36, Djoko 18
…
Errors Forced - Alcs 19, Djoko 18
UEs - Alcs 20, Djoko 23
Unreturned serves - Alcs 28%, Djoko 25%
(Djoko has better of double faults 4-6)
Progression is just what 2,2 & 6 scoreline would suggest. Alcs crushes Djoko for two sets, with Djoko’s attempts at shot-making (that is, going for adventurous point ending shots from balls not obviously there for it) from back and volleying not too successful. Alcs is in full slight in all areas. Return is particularly important and renders the good serving Djoko to almost 2 ‘second serves’ situation, with anything shy of aces coming back and usually not softly. Djoko’s a little off in returning by contrast, missing makeably not-easy returns. It stands out next to both what Alcs does and what Djoko generally tends to, but Alcs serves particulary well too (more on that later)
Third set though is a wonderful set of tennis with both players at something like their best. Even than, Alcs is that little bit better - his first class movement in particular is important - and its only a choke that sees him not serve out the match before tiebreak. Tiebreak though is fitting end to the set, though for the match, Alcs serving out 6-4 (he blows a 40-0 lead serving at 5-4, having broken sensationally game before) would probably have been more appropriate
Alcs FH with match high 21 winners, and its particularly high. Djoko has 18 from all shots, Alcs 15 non-FH ones
Alcs BH with match low 6 UEs (other 3 groundies have 9, 10, and 13 respectively)
Just raw stats of match high FH winners and match low BH UEs would be a winning formula virtually all the time. When the winner count is particularly high and UE count is particulary low on on top of that, win becomes more assured still
Its not just the numbers either. Alcs’ BH, though outshone by the FH, is a star in its own right. Strong, powerful stock shots and considerable attacking shot-making coming from that wing too. It has 10 winners, which is more than any of Djoko’s shots (he has 9 volley winners and 6 FHs). Stock FH is a powerhouse too, but that’s obvious with 21 winners
And Djokovic? 18 winners, 23 UEs is good. Forcing 18 errors on top of that, more so. Those final figures are biased by very good third set and flattering to him (first 2 sets, he's a poor +1 points ended aggressively/UE differential, third set its very good +12)
Most telling stat from him is very high UEFI of 52.2. He’s got 11 winner attempt UEs, to go with 6 neutrals and attacking UEs apiece, from yield of 19 ground and 4 volley UEs
That accurately captures how he plays. No trying to grind Alcs down, but going for adventurous winning shots, effectively challenging him to a shot-making contest. 18 winners for 11 winner attempts UEs is poor (Alcs has 6 such errors as cost of his 36 winners). Its an interesting approach, surprising if not shocking. Its not his most common way of going about dealing with powerhouse, attacking players. Looking for winners from back and front - and having just 18 winners for 11 UEs trying is a losing a game (leaving aside entirely Alcs having a very, very winning one)
46 trips to net for Djoko, including 15 serve-volleys (Alcs has 21 net points, many of them to deal with drop shots). He serve-volleys off 22% of his first serves. Not too unusual for the way he was playing during this period. Doesn’t work too well here and he wins just 52% of those net points - with the lot he wins concentrated after he’s already down 2 sets
Djoko’s problems start before all that though with the first two shots themselves
Serve & Return
Alcs’ return is the standout shot, though he serves well too. Djoko serves well, but not as well as Alcs returns, while his returning is a bit off
Movement is big (probably biggest) part of what contributes to how well each player returns. Alcs' is outstanding, Djoko's not upto what its tasked with
In counts - Djoko with impressive 70%, Alcs a normal 59% would seem to favour Djoko. It doesn’t for 2 reasons; Alcs’ going a long way in neutralizing first serves (credit his return) and Alcs’ first serve quality being excellent
First serve points won - Alcs 84%, Djoko 65%
First serve ace/service winner rate - both 11%
Ace/SW rates indicator of first serve quality being about the same. This is largely, but not entirely outside Alcs’ better movement to deny aces. Djoko’s generally kind of server who serves aces and otherwise good, wide-ish serve that aren’t likely to go for aces - and that’s true here
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