Carlos Alcaraz beat Lorenzo Musetti 3-6, 6-1, 6-0 in the Monte Carlo final, 2025 on clay
It was Alcaraz’ first title at the event and Musetti’s first Masters final
Alcaraz won 84 points, Musetti 62
Serve Stats
Alcaraz...
- 1st serve percentage (56/78) 72%
- 1st serve points won (39/56) 70%
- 2nd serve points won (11/22) 50%
- Aces 3
- Double Faults 3
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (19/78) 24%
Musetti...
- 1st serve percentage (43/68) 63%
- 1st serve points won (21/43) 49%
- 2nd serve points won (13/25) 52%
- Aces 3 (1 second serve)
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (10/68) 15%
Serve Pattern
Alcaraz served...
- to FH 55%
- to BH 40%
- to Body 5%
Musetti served...
- to FH 28%
- to BH 69%
- to Body 3%
Return Stats
Alcaraz made...
- 57 (21 FH, 36 BH), including 2 runaround FHs
- 2 Winners (1 FH, 1 BH)
- 7 Errors, comprising...
- 5 Unforced (5 BH)
- 2 Forced (1 FH, 1 BH)
- Return Rate (57/67) 85%
Musetti made...
- 56 (33 FH, 23 BH), including 2 runaround FHs
- 4 Winners (2 FH, 2 BH)
- 16 Errors, comprising...
- 13 Unforced (8 FH, 5 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 3 Forced (3 FH)
- Return Rate (56/75) 75%
Break Points
Alcaraz 6/8 (6 games)
Musetti 2/8 (3 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Alcaraz 28 (14 FH, 6 BH, 3 FHV, 2 BHV, 2 OH, 1 BHOH)
Musetti 7 (3 FH, 2 BH, 2 BHV)
Alcaraz' FHs - 4 cc (1 return, 1 pass), 2 dtl (1 pass), 1 inside-out, 1 inside-out/longline, 3 inside-in (1 slice), 2 drop shots (1 at net), 1 net chord dribbler
- BHs - 1 cc pass, 1 inside-out, 1 inside-out/dtl, 1 inside-in return, 1 drop shot, 1 running-down-drop-shot dtl pass at net
- 3 from serve-volley points (2 FHV, 1 BHV), all first volleys
- both OHs were on the bounce
Musetti's FHs - 3 dtl (2 return passes)
- BH returns - 2 dtl
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Alcaraz 42
- 33 Unforced (22 FH, 11 BH)
- 9 Forced (1 FH, 7 BH, 1 FHV)... with 3 BH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.1
Musetti 36
- 24 Unforced (18 FH, 6 BH)
- 12 Forced (8 FH, 4 BH)... with 3 FH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47.1
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Alcaraz was...
- 19/25 (76%) at with, including...
- 6/8 (75%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 6/7 (86%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
---
- 3/3 (100%) forced back
Musetti was 4/12 (33%) at net, with...
- 1/2 forced back
Match Report
Alcaraz keeps match on his racquet, making it his to win or lose, with Musetti not making it easy for that racquet to sing its song. Wins a set, loses a set to leave things poised. Last set is determined by physical issues for Musetti
Just the last set. Musetti plays normally in getting breadsticked in the second
In the third, he’s if not a hospital case, certainly a doesn’t-belong-on-a-tennis-court one
Injury shaped bagel twists match long stats Alcs’ way substantially. For example, his match long 24% unreturned rate comprises 17% after 2 sets and 50% in the last
Musetti’s match long rate is 15% - same 17% as Alcs for 2 sets when he’s normal, and 10% in the decider
Equal 17% after 2 sets is fair indicator of how the two stack up in serve-return contest
Third set is indicator of how troubled Musetti is in all areas at the time
After 2 sets, Alcs leads points won 58-54 and break points read Alcs 3/3, Musetti 2/8 (3 games)
In third set, Alcs leads points 26-8, with break points Alcs 3/5 (3 games), Musetti 0
Beginning at the end, what exactly happens to Musetti in third set?
It takes Alcs 16 points to serve out second set, so not a bad omen for upcoming decider for Musetti
Takes Alcs 10 point to break to start the third set, with Musetti making some uncharacteristically aggressive errors (as in, the shot choices). He starts showing clear signs of something being off next couple games. Takes a medical time out at 0-3 and goes through motions after that
He’s tending an upper thigh and in affected phase, moves poorly, gives up errors easily. Looks as much like being very tired as a bona fida injury. No broken bones, no torn muscles or ligaments or tendons. If he saw a doctor, would probably be told to just get some rest and hydrate. If he had a match in 2 days, could show up to just fine. In short, looks more like a ‘loss of conditioning’ or stamina issue than injury. 5/6 matches had been 3 setters over the 7 days of the event
Pre condition loss, things are competitive, as points won and break points figures suggest
Its on Alcs’ terms; He’s the one hitting winners, he’s the one missing going for them and he’s the one being sloppy giving up routine errors without being pressured (and when he’s not he’s winning). Musetti with a firm baseline game - its more than passive, but not strong enough to discourage Alcs from seizing action by scruff of neck. Staying solid and not leaving overly easy openings to attack describes most of it - rest is on Alcs ability to execute
In first set, that Alcs loses 3-6 -
Alcs 10 winners (6 FH, 1 BH, 3 volleys), 18 UEs (13 FH, 5 BH)
Musetti 5 winners (2 FH, 1 BH, 2 volleys), 6 UEs (2 FH, 4 BH)
In second set, that Alcs wins 6-1 -
Alcs 10 winners (3 FH, 3 BH, 4 volleys), 13 UEs (7 FH, 6 BH)
Musetti 2 winners (1 FH, 1 BH), 9 UEs (8 FH, 1 BH)
With freebies about the same and FEs small and not too important
Winners not changing much, so its UEs that’s main outcome determinant
Amidst normal baseline exchanges, Alcs looking to get ahead by outhitting with the FH
In first set, fails more than succeeds at it. With Musetti’s FH a rock
Alcs’ high FH UEs are due to bunch of factors - aggressive misses (the high winners have a significant cost), fair bit of sloppy misses (just simple misses in short rallies), misses in long rallies (that is, due to Musetti’s steadiness)
In second set, succeeds more than fails, with some spectacular shot-making For him, pretty normal.
FH UEs evening out between two players, but Musetti’s BH now being the rock still leaves him with overall consistency advantage. Getting out hit on FH though leaves Musetti a little toothless. His FH had done its minor share of directing and pressuring, if rarely attacking earlier in match. Not much of it when Alcs cleans up his game
Usual, all court attacks from Alcs. There’s shot-making from the back, but also trips to net and of course, drop shots. Musetti also plays drop shots well. Both players force 3 running-down-drop-shot at net errors. Alcs has a couple winners too
Brilliant passing is prominent in Alcs’ second set showing. ‘Brilliant’ means ‘brilliant’ here - unlikely, low percentage perfect shots that he gets through repeatedly. More secure FH from Alcs nudges opponent to come forward to attack
Musetti’s just 4/12 at net, all of them in first two sets
Alcs 19/25 at net by contrast. In first 2 sets, 18/21
6/8 of those are serve-volleys. Both players returning position invites it
Both players stock return position is well back near the fence, both with average serves
From there, fairly straightfoward to make returns. And quality of serves as they are, not even difficult to do so neutralizingly
Alcs steps up occasionally in second set to half-back position, or even standard, 2 paces behind baseline against second serves. He’ s a bit rushed to return first serves from there
It was Alcaraz’ first title at the event and Musetti’s first Masters final
Alcaraz won 84 points, Musetti 62
Serve Stats
Alcaraz...
- 1st serve percentage (56/78) 72%
- 1st serve points won (39/56) 70%
- 2nd serve points won (11/22) 50%
- Aces 3
- Double Faults 3
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (19/78) 24%
Musetti...
- 1st serve percentage (43/68) 63%
- 1st serve points won (21/43) 49%
- 2nd serve points won (13/25) 52%
- Aces 3 (1 second serve)
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (10/68) 15%
Serve Pattern
Alcaraz served...
- to FH 55%
- to BH 40%
- to Body 5%
Musetti served...
- to FH 28%
- to BH 69%
- to Body 3%
Return Stats
Alcaraz made...
- 57 (21 FH, 36 BH), including 2 runaround FHs
- 2 Winners (1 FH, 1 BH)
- 7 Errors, comprising...
- 5 Unforced (5 BH)
- 2 Forced (1 FH, 1 BH)
- Return Rate (57/67) 85%
Musetti made...
- 56 (33 FH, 23 BH), including 2 runaround FHs
- 4 Winners (2 FH, 2 BH)
- 16 Errors, comprising...
- 13 Unforced (8 FH, 5 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 3 Forced (3 FH)
- Return Rate (56/75) 75%
Break Points
Alcaraz 6/8 (6 games)
Musetti 2/8 (3 games)
Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Alcaraz 28 (14 FH, 6 BH, 3 FHV, 2 BHV, 2 OH, 1 BHOH)
Musetti 7 (3 FH, 2 BH, 2 BHV)
Alcaraz' FHs - 4 cc (1 return, 1 pass), 2 dtl (1 pass), 1 inside-out, 1 inside-out/longline, 3 inside-in (1 slice), 2 drop shots (1 at net), 1 net chord dribbler
- BHs - 1 cc pass, 1 inside-out, 1 inside-out/dtl, 1 inside-in return, 1 drop shot, 1 running-down-drop-shot dtl pass at net
- 3 from serve-volley points (2 FHV, 1 BHV), all first volleys
- both OHs were on the bounce
Musetti's FHs - 3 dtl (2 return passes)
- BH returns - 2 dtl
Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Alcaraz 42
- 33 Unforced (22 FH, 11 BH)
- 9 Forced (1 FH, 7 BH, 1 FHV)... with 3 BH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.1
Musetti 36
- 24 Unforced (18 FH, 6 BH)
- 12 Forced (8 FH, 4 BH)... with 3 FH running-down-drop-shot at net
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47.1
(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)
(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)
Net Points & Serve-Volley
Alcaraz was...
- 19/25 (76%) at with, including...
- 6/8 (75%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 6/7 (86%) off 1st serve and...
- 0/1 off 2nd serve
---
- 3/3 (100%) forced back
Musetti was 4/12 (33%) at net, with...
- 1/2 forced back
Match Report
Alcaraz keeps match on his racquet, making it his to win or lose, with Musetti not making it easy for that racquet to sing its song. Wins a set, loses a set to leave things poised. Last set is determined by physical issues for Musetti
Just the last set. Musetti plays normally in getting breadsticked in the second
In the third, he’s if not a hospital case, certainly a doesn’t-belong-on-a-tennis-court one
Injury shaped bagel twists match long stats Alcs’ way substantially. For example, his match long 24% unreturned rate comprises 17% after 2 sets and 50% in the last
Musetti’s match long rate is 15% - same 17% as Alcs for 2 sets when he’s normal, and 10% in the decider
Equal 17% after 2 sets is fair indicator of how the two stack up in serve-return contest
Third set is indicator of how troubled Musetti is in all areas at the time
After 2 sets, Alcs leads points won 58-54 and break points read Alcs 3/3, Musetti 2/8 (3 games)
In third set, Alcs leads points 26-8, with break points Alcs 3/5 (3 games), Musetti 0
Beginning at the end, what exactly happens to Musetti in third set?
It takes Alcs 16 points to serve out second set, so not a bad omen for upcoming decider for Musetti
Takes Alcs 10 point to break to start the third set, with Musetti making some uncharacteristically aggressive errors (as in, the shot choices). He starts showing clear signs of something being off next couple games. Takes a medical time out at 0-3 and goes through motions after that
He’s tending an upper thigh and in affected phase, moves poorly, gives up errors easily. Looks as much like being very tired as a bona fida injury. No broken bones, no torn muscles or ligaments or tendons. If he saw a doctor, would probably be told to just get some rest and hydrate. If he had a match in 2 days, could show up to just fine. In short, looks more like a ‘loss of conditioning’ or stamina issue than injury. 5/6 matches had been 3 setters over the 7 days of the event
Pre condition loss, things are competitive, as points won and break points figures suggest
Its on Alcs’ terms; He’s the one hitting winners, he’s the one missing going for them and he’s the one being sloppy giving up routine errors without being pressured (and when he’s not he’s winning). Musetti with a firm baseline game - its more than passive, but not strong enough to discourage Alcs from seizing action by scruff of neck. Staying solid and not leaving overly easy openings to attack describes most of it - rest is on Alcs ability to execute
In first set, that Alcs loses 3-6 -
Alcs 10 winners (6 FH, 1 BH, 3 volleys), 18 UEs (13 FH, 5 BH)
Musetti 5 winners (2 FH, 1 BH, 2 volleys), 6 UEs (2 FH, 4 BH)
In second set, that Alcs wins 6-1 -
Alcs 10 winners (3 FH, 3 BH, 4 volleys), 13 UEs (7 FH, 6 BH)
Musetti 2 winners (1 FH, 1 BH), 9 UEs (8 FH, 1 BH)
With freebies about the same and FEs small and not too important
Winners not changing much, so its UEs that’s main outcome determinant
Amidst normal baseline exchanges, Alcs looking to get ahead by outhitting with the FH
In first set, fails more than succeeds at it. With Musetti’s FH a rock
Alcs’ high FH UEs are due to bunch of factors - aggressive misses (the high winners have a significant cost), fair bit of sloppy misses (just simple misses in short rallies), misses in long rallies (that is, due to Musetti’s steadiness)
In second set, succeeds more than fails, with some spectacular shot-making For him, pretty normal.
FH UEs evening out between two players, but Musetti’s BH now being the rock still leaves him with overall consistency advantage. Getting out hit on FH though leaves Musetti a little toothless. His FH had done its minor share of directing and pressuring, if rarely attacking earlier in match. Not much of it when Alcs cleans up his game
Usual, all court attacks from Alcs. There’s shot-making from the back, but also trips to net and of course, drop shots. Musetti also plays drop shots well. Both players force 3 running-down-drop-shot at net errors. Alcs has a couple winners too
Brilliant passing is prominent in Alcs’ second set showing. ‘Brilliant’ means ‘brilliant’ here - unlikely, low percentage perfect shots that he gets through repeatedly. More secure FH from Alcs nudges opponent to come forward to attack
Musetti’s just 4/12 at net, all of them in first two sets
Alcs 19/25 at net by contrast. In first 2 sets, 18/21
6/8 of those are serve-volleys. Both players returning position invites it
Both players stock return position is well back near the fence, both with average serves
From there, fairly straightfoward to make returns. And quality of serves as they are, not even difficult to do so neutralizingly
Alcs steps up occasionally in second set to half-back position, or even standard, 2 paces behind baseline against second serves. He’ s a bit rushed to return first serves from there
