Match Stats/Report - Federer vs Ferrer, Year End Championship final, 2007

Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Roger Federer beat David Ferrer 6-2, 6-3, 6-2 in in the Year End Championship (Tennis Masters Cup) final, 2007 on indoor hard court in Shanghai, China

Federer was the defending champion and this was his 4 title in 5 years. Ferrer had topped his group with wins over Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Richard Gasquet before beating Andy Roddick in the semis

Federer won 93 points, Ferrer 62

Serve Stats
Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (48/73) 66%
- 1st serve points won (40/48) 83%
- 2nd serve points won (14/25) 56%
- Aces 9, Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (27/73) 37%

Ferrer...
- 1st serve percentage (55/82) 67%
- 1st serve points won (33/55) 60%
- 2nd serve points won (10/27) 37%
- Aces 1
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (13/82) 16%

Serve Pattern
Federer served...
- to FH 42%
- to BH 55%
- to Body 3%

Ferrer served...
- to FH 19%
- to BH 73%
- to Body 9%

Return Stats
Federer made...
- 67 (15 FH, 52 BH), including 1 runaround FH, 2 return-approaches & 1 drop-return
- 12 Errors, comprising...
- 5 Unforced (1 FH, 4 BH)
- 7 Forced (1 FH, 6 BH)
- Return Rate (67/80) 84%

Ferrer made...
- 44 (20 FH, 24 BH)
- 17 Errors, comprising...
- 4 Unforced (1 FH, 3 BH)
- 13 Forced (6 FH, 7 BH)
- Return Rate (44/71) 62%

Break Points
Federer 6/9 (6 games)
Ferrer 0/4 (2 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Federer 20 (6 FH, 6 BH, 6 FHV, 2 BHV)
Ferrer 9 (5 FH, 4 BH)

Federer's FHs - 2 cc (1 pass), 1 cc/inside-in, 1 dtl, 1 inside-out and 1 longline/inside-out
- BHs - 2 cc (1 pass) and 4 dtl (2 passes - 1 a slice)

- 2 from serve-volley points - 1 first volley (1 BHV) & 1 second volley (1 FHV)

- 1 FHV was a swinging shot from no-man's land and has not been counted a net point

Ferrer's FHs - 2 dtl (1 pass, 1 at net), 1 inside-in, 1 running-down-drop-shot at net cc and 1 net chord dribbler
- BHs - 1 cc pass, 2 dtl (1 pass) and 1 lob

- the BHV was a net chord dribbler

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Federer 38
- 26 Unforced (13 FH, 12 BH, 1 BHV)
- 12 Forced (8 FH, 4 BH)... with 1 FH running-down-drop-shot at net
- Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 44.6

Ferrer 44
- 28 Unforced (14 FH, 13 BH, 1 BHV)... with 1 BH pass attempt at net
- 16 Forced (8 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV)... with 1 BH at net
- Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 45.7

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented for these two matches are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Federer was...
- 22/29 (76%) at net, including...
- 8/10 (80%) serve-volleying, all 1st serves
---
- 2/2 return-approaching
- 1/1 retreated

Ferrer was...
- 7/17 (41%) at net, with...
- 0/1 forced back

Match Report
One sided match due to Ferrer's poor play on a quick-ish court, with neutral-cum-passive baseline play making up the bulk of action

28 UEs and 9 winners from Ferrer. Even adding the 12 errors he forces, he's still -7 on points won forcefully to points lost to via unforced errors. Throw in very low 16% unreturned rate and add low 45.7 UEFI and you get an accurate picture of his play. Its passive and low of quality

Federer's even lower UEFI of 44.6 completes picture of play. He has 20 winners to 26 UEs, which is under-par for him in particular on a fast-ish court but comes out well in the positives when Ferrer's 16 FEs are taken into account. And high 37% unreturned rate, including 9 aces (Ferrer has 1)

Passivity of baseline play still comes through. For Federer, 8/20 winners are volleys. He goes the whole first set without a baseline winner, hitting his first in game 3, set 2 (and that's a pass). He has to wait the game after to hit his first baseline to baseline winner

How often do you see Roger Federer go 13 games on a quick court in a match he's dominating the scoreline with 1 baseline-to-baseline winner?

For first 2 sets in particular, play consists of neutral rallies, neither player doing much - or looking to - with the ball beyond keeping it in play. Ferrer look to play to Federer's BH as much as possible (including serving to it 73% of the time). He does so via BH cc and FH longline and when he can, neutrally hit FH inside-outs. Shots don't have enough on them to unduly bother Fed, who drives ball back as strongly (read: neutrally)... dynamic is closer to who-blinks-first then it is attacker vs defender

After 2 games, Ferrer has just the 1 UE, Fed has 5. Both players have held, with Fed having had to save a break point in a 10 point game. For rest of the set, UEs read Federer 2, Ferrer 10
Same story in the second set. UEs for it read Federer 6, Ferrer 14

Action picks up some in the third when play becomes more hard hitting and with more attacking placement from Ferrer. Its a significant step up in liveliness from what preceded it. Federer doesn't reciprocate too much but proves quite capable of running down balls and counter-attacking in proportion to Ferrer's play - and remains sizably the better player

Federer's Play
Smart match from Federer. Serves with typical strength - with 66% first serves in and 37% unreturned - and returns surely at 84%. Put together, that leaves him +21% on returned serves... a huge cushion to start. From that position, he doesn't need to do anything special in play

Both serve and return numbers are to his credit, as opposed to Ferrer's discredit. The serve is strong and when Ferrer does get meaty returns back, Fed's up to playing through the third ball non-defensively anyway, rarely, on the half-volley from baseline. Ferrer's serve isn't strong but even so, 84% return rate is exceptionally high

Proactivity in play is confined to attacking net, including serve-volleying. Fed's 8/10 serve-volleying, 2/2 return-approaching and 12/17 coming from rallies. The last figure flows coming in when having taken control from baseline, not approaching for its own sake as a change-up or 'quick-dash' approaches

With all that in the background, just holding even from baseline is more than good enough. And he plays accordingly. Ferrer leads baseline play, with Fed's consent, and rallies are neutral to passive, with Ferrer trying to break down Fed's BH. Fed's happy to play that game... and ends up edging consistency too (25 baseline UEs to Ferrer's 27)

Its a stretch to call Fed's baseline game 'good'. He's not damaging and just as inconsistent as Ferrer, who is distinctly 'not good' for the match. Its all he needs though... why take risks livening up play when he has a huge head start from serve-return complex and net play?

Excellent movement from the champion all match. Particularly in third set when Ferrer goes in for more hard hitting and moderately wide placed shots, Fed zips around to hit back firmly on the run. Its not easy to force an error out of him from the baseline. He has the advantage in counter-attacking play and movement

With BH coming under 'fire' (balls being directed at it regularly is better description), Fed finishes with rare equal number BH winners to FH. In fact, his last 3 groundstroke winners are all FHs within last 9 points of the match, without which, he'd have finished with considerably more BH winners to FHs

The BH does ok. All groundstrokes on show are in the same ballpark for UEs (Fed BH 12, Fed FH & Ferrer BH 13, Ferrer FH 14) and none are particularly impressive. He plays cc most of the time, with odd effective longline/dtl changes ups. Some very good slices too, that spin sideways on bouncing, let alone stay low
 

Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Ferrer's Play
Not a strong serve, but its returned with exceptional consistency. And he doesn't seem to have the ability to take charge of third balls.
Returns as well as he's allowed. Some good second serving from Fed to face too. Strong returns are dealt with by Fed

Groundstroke consistency is a big problem. Playing the game he does, he would need to outdo Fed sizably in this area. Not only does he not do so, but its mostly down to him being inconsistent, as opposed to Fed being particularly consistent. Lots of regulation misses from Ferrer and rallies aren't long for play of this low intensity

Like Federer, he seeks to attack by coming to net. Fed's strong on the pass, including on the run and Ferrer wins just 41% net points, despite just the 2 UEs

Match Progression
A running lob by Fed forces Ferrer back, after which Fed comes in to dispatch a BHV winner to open game 3. And then Ferrer starts an error bender. 3 UEs later, he broken and starts the next game with another regulation FH error. Next service game, there are 3 more and a double fault to give up a second break

All 4 of Fed's winners in the set are volleys. Ferrer has just 1, a running-down-drop-shot at net

Lovely, drop-approach return from Fed early in the second set that forces an error. Its unforced errors that undo Ferrer again though. He makes 3 in a row again - 2 third balls and an easy volley - and 4 in the game to get broken and again starts next game with another UE

Commentators describe this passage of play along lines of Federer will make you pay if you let up for a second. An interesting way to frame making 3 easy errors in a row

Fed breaks again in a long game to end the set and is pushed to 12 points (saving 3 break points) to start the third

This final set is the only quality one of the match. There's a great BH lob winner from Ferrer, followed by a BH dtl one to go up 15-30 before Fed attackingly finishes to hold

First break comes via net play. Fed moves to 30-40 with 2 net points (the second, forced to net by Ferrer's drop shot) and seals the break with an improbably, full running FH dtl pass that forces a wide volleying error. He ends the match with another break, hitting 3 winners in the last 4 points, ending with a FH cc pass

Summing up, particularly consistent returning and typical strong serving gives Federer a big leg up. Baseline play is quite dull, with Ferrer's attempts to break down Fed's BH not working and lots of errors all around. Fed's occasional forays to net livens things up to his advantage

Smart match from Federer to do the needful but Ferrer being poor off the ground is biggest stamp of the match

Stats for the semi between Federer and Rafael Nadal - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...p-semi-finals-2006-2007.675340/#post-14473795
Stats for '06 final between Federer and James Blake - https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...lake-year-end-championship-final-2006.670649/
 
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