Match Stats/Report - Federer vs Ferrero, Monte Carlo semi-final, 2007

Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Roger Federer beat Juan Carlos Ferrero 6-3, 6-4 in the Monte Carlo semi-final, 2007 on clay

Federer would go onto lose the final to Rafael Nadal. Ferrero was seeded 16th and had previously won the title in 2002 and 2003

Federer won 63 points, Ferrero 51

Serve Stats
Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (38/65) 58%
- 1st serve points won (28/38) 74%
- 2nd serve points won (15/27) 56%
- Aces 3
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (11/65) 17%

Ferrero...
- 1st serve percentage (34/49) 69%
- 1st serve points won (18/34) 53%
- 2nd serve points won (11/15) 73%
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (7/49) 14%

Serve Pattern
Federer served...
- to FH 39%
- to BH 61%

Ferrero served...
- to FH 15%
- to BH 83%
- to Body 2%

Return Stats
Federer made...
- 41 (7 FH, 34 BH), including 1 runaround FH & 1 return-approach
- 7 Errors, comprising...
- 3 Unforced (1 FH, 2 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 4 Forced (1 FH, 3 BH)
- Return Rate (41/48) 85%

Ferrero made...
- 53 (16 FH, 37 BH)
- 2 Winners (2 BH)
- 8 Errors, comprising...
- 3 Unforced (3 FH)
- 5 Forced (4 FH, 1 BH)
- Return Rate (53/64) 83%

Break Points
Federer 3/4 (3 games)
Ferrero 1/4 (2 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Federer 29 (16 FH, 3 BH, 4 FHV, 5 BHV, 1 OH)
Ferrero 8 (3 FH, 3 BH, 1 BHV, 1 OH)

Federer's FHs - 7 cc, 3 dtl, 2 inside-out, 1 inside-in, 1 drop shot, 1 lob and 1 net chord dribbler
- BHs - 3 dtl (2 passes)

- 3 from serve-volley points - 2 first volleys & 1 second volley - all BHVs

- 1 other FHV was a swinging, non-net shot
- 1 other OH was on the bounce from the baseline

Ferrero's FHs - 1 dtl, 1 inside-out and 1 inside-in
- BHs - 1 dtl at net, 1 cc return pass and 1 inside-in return pass

- 1 OH on the bounce

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Federer 35
- 25 Unforced (12 FH, 12 BH, 1 OH)
- 10 Forced (4 FH, 4 BH, 1 FH1/2V, 1 BHV)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47.2

Ferrero 22
- 10 Unforced (4 FH, 6 BH)
- 12 Forced (4 FH, 7 BH, 1 FHV)... with 2 BH running-down-drop-shot (1 at net, 1 not at net)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 47

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Federer was...
- 17/23 (74%) at net, including...
- 5/8 (63%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 3/4 (75%) off 1st serve and...
- 2/4 (50%) off 2nd serve
---
- 0/1 return-approaching
- 1/2 forced back

Ferrero was 5/11 (45%) at net

Match Report
Whirlwind, shot making from Federer leaves a well playing Ferrero helpless amidst hard hitting rallies

Juan has better of early part of match. The two trade hefty hits from the back and Fed's BH gives up the errors. Down 3-1, Fed is extended to 16 points and saves 2 break points to hold. Right after though, he turns it up to his very best to win 6 games on the trot (so he wins 7 in a row total - the last 6 in particularly dominant fashion) to lead 6-3, 2-0

'Normal' tennis then resumes with the two trading holds to the end

From last 2 points of game 5, Set 1, Fed wins 26/32 points - with 13 winners (including 1 ace), forcing 6 errors (1 return) and Juan making just 7 UEs (1 double fault). Just 4 UEs from Fed in the same period - 2 of them winner attempts

Match long, Fed with 29 winners, 25 UEs while forcing 12 errors out. Against that kind of storm, Juan fades into background, but he plays a solid match too. 8 winners, 10 UEs and forcing 10 errors out of Fed - and forcing errors out of Fed is no easy task

29 winners comes to very high1.52 per game

Odd service numbers for Juan in doing much better off his 2nd serve than 1st. And coincidentally, his figures the mirror image of Fed's normal ones

1st serve points won - Fed 74%, Juan 53%
2nd serve points won - Juan 73%, Fed 56%

On whole, action is hard hitting. Juan plays a standard, solid baseline game. His serve is decent, he returns consistently from considerably behind baseline and likes to stay there when rallying. Hits at least firmly off both sides and is able to up it from there to hitting hard. Tries to keep rallies BH-BH, though he's more able to pressure with FH

From where he's playing from - 3-4 feet behind baseline - it would be difficult to dictate, but he's solid enough off both wings with good movement that breaking him down would be a tall order. Potentially, its excellent clay court tennis

Fed returns with deceptive comfort, gliding into position to put the balls in play at 85% return rate. Wouldn't expect Juan's serve to draw a lot of errors, but he could reasonably expect some proportion of soft returns that he could step up and command from. Doesn't get these returns, let alone unreturneds - and virtually all his service points become 50-50 affairs. He'd have to be proactive to take command of third ball, which he largely isn't

When he does, Fed zips around to defend from well behind baseline and is usually able to neutralize eventually. Particularly on running FH, Fed is very good, which is the more tested side with Juan leading with FH cc

BH play is more along hard hitting, who blinks first lines, with Juan having advantage. BH UEs read Juan 6, Fed 12 and neither player attacks much off that side. Fed's able to switch up with hard hit longline shots to when he wants, or slice to mix things up. Juan not bothered by the very good slices but when matters switch to FH, prospective advantage shifts

Off the FH, Juan continues hitting firm or hard. Fed's apt to whip point ending FHs from regulation positions or one's that put him on the attack. He parlays those into coming to net to finish (he's 12/14 rallying to net)

Juan with 12 FEs to just 10 UEs is function both of his consistency (making very few UEs for that to stay low) and the vigour of Fed's attacks

Neutrally, Juan has better of it. Neutral UEs read Fed 14, Ferrero 5... good starting point from Juan's point of view

Its nowhere near enough to compensate for vast gap in attacking. Fed's FH is the star with 16 winners. 7 are cc... the safest way to attack. Good lot of winners come from third balls set up by serve, but FH also lashes through from neutral position or allows Fed to get up to net

Finally, some short slicing/pseudo drop shotting, including with the return from Fed to draw Juan in and then pass. Juan's just 5/11 at net. Fed also approaches at these times too and usually wins the net-to-net tussle

Not much difference in type of action across Juan's 2 serves. In that light, 53% first serves won is understandable. the 73% second serve points won isn't... no real reason why it should be that high, given play is virtually identical as other neutral starting point points. Play is similar if not identical across 3/4 serves on show. On them -

- Juan wins 53% of his 1st serve points (credit Fed's returning for turning those into 50-50 prospect points)
- Juan wins 73% of his 2nd serve points (strange. tends to end with Fed blinks)
- Fed wins 56% of his 2nd serve points (which with Juan's backward returning position, he's still able to start with slight advantage - and unlike Juan, he's able to make something of it)

Fed's strong 1st serve is categorically different, drawing many weak returns that he smacks away. Also serve-volleys some - winning 3/4 off first serve to go with 2/4 off 2nds

Match Progression
Juan breaks to move ahead 2-1 with Fed's BH giving up a pair of errors, and his FH missing a winner attempt on break point. After following up with a love hold, Juan extends Fed to 16 points to hold. Fed saves 2 break points to do so - going for third ball FH winner attempts on both. Technically, he makes them both, but second is a net chord dribbler

Having held, Fed goes on a tear. First, he breaks to love with 3 winners (FH dtl, BHV and BH dtl pass) followed up a forced running-down-drop-shot error

He opens next game with 3 more winners - all third balls, 1 volley. That's 7 winners in 9 points across 3 games
Then breaks again with net play and a BH dtl winner and serves out in a hard hitting, baseline game with errors ending points

Fed breaks to open the 2nd set with a series of short sliced returns that draw Ferrero forward, then aggressively consolidates to love with 3 net points

Play falls back to 'normal' without undue Fed fireworks thereafter. Good, hard hitting baseline tennis from both sides, with plenty of FEs from purely baseline points. Fed still indulges in net play with success and attacks from the back on occasion. Juan's no punching bag either and often has Fed running around to defend

Comfy holds from there to the end, with Fed finishing up with a BH dtl pass winner

Summing up, brilliant match from Federer who steps up to take action by scruff of neck with almost vicious aggression. Lashing FHs, hard hit BHs with deep longline change ups, forays to net, drawing Ferrero in (including with the return) and then passing him are among the works. Secondary part of his showing is rushing around to defend and counter-attack when Ferrero has run of play and is also excellent. And a solid showing from Ferrero, who is consistent, secure and mostly hard hitting from the back to extent of dominating neutral rallies by waiting out for the error. He has no answer to Fed's brilliance in attacking though. Very few players would

Stats for the final between Federer and Rafael Nadal - Match Stats/Report - Nadal vs Federer, Monte Carlo final 2007 | Talk Tennis (tennis-warehouse.com)
 
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