Match Stats/Report - Federer vs Moya, Hamburg semi-final, 2007


Hall of Fame
Roger Federer beat Carlos Moya 4-6, 6-4, 6-2 in the Hamburg semi-final, 2007 on clay

Federer would go onto win the event, beating Rafael Nadal in the final. The unseeded Moya had beaten seeds Novak Djokovic, James Blake and Tomas Berdych in succession in reaching the semis

Federer won 108 points, Moya 94

Serve Stats
- 1st serve percentage (67/106) 63%
- 1st serve points won (41/67) 61%
- 2nd serve points won (24/39) 62%
- Aces 6, Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 3
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (19/106) 18%

- 1st serve percentage (65/96) 68%
- 1st serve points won (36/65) 55%
- 2nd serve points won (17/31) 55%
- Aces 4 (1 second serve), Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 3
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (18/96) 19%

Serve Pattern
Federer served...
- to FH 37%
- to BH 62%
- to Body 1%

Moya served...
- to FH 29%
- to BH 65%
- to Body 6%

Return Stats
Federer made...
- 75 (24 FH, 51 BH), including 2 runaround FHs & 2 return-approaches
- 13 Errors, comprising...
- 7 Unforced (3 FH, 4 BH)
- 6 Forced (1 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (75/93) 81%

Moya made...
- 84 (32 FH, 52 BH), including 2 runaround FHs
- 12 Errors, comprising...
- 10 Unforced (4 FH, 6 BH)
- 2 Forced (2 FH)
- Return Rate (84/103) 82%

Break Points
Federer 5/12 (7 games)
Moya 3/11 (7 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Federer 41 (19 FH, 8 BH, 9 FHV, 2 BHV, 3 OH)
Moya 21 (11 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV, 2 BHV, 1 OH)

Federer's FHs - 5 cc, 7 inside-out, 4 inside-in (1 pass, 1 at net), 1 inside-in/cc, 1 longline and 1 longline/inside-out at net
- BHs - 4 cc (1 pass, 1 at net), 3 dtl and 1 drop shot

- 1 from a serve-volley point, a first volley BHV

- 1 from a return-approach point, an OH

- 4 other FHVs were swinging shots (3 non-net)

Moya's FHs - 3 cc (2 passes), 3 dtl (2 passes - 1 at net), 2 inside-out, 2 inside-in and 1 drop shot
- BHs - 2 cc passes, 1 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out, 1 inside-out/dtl pass and 1 lob

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Federer 52
- 37 Unforced (16 FH, 20 BH, 1 BHV)... with 1 BH at net
- 15 Forced (8 FH, 4 BH, 3 FHV)
- Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.8

Moya 45
- 25 Unforced (14 FH, 11 BH)... with 1 FH at net
- 20 Forced (11 FH, 9 BH)... with 1 BH running-down-drop-shot at net
- Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 44.8

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented for these two matches are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Federer was...
- 27/43 (63%) at net, including...
- 2/8 (25%) serve-volleying, comprising...
- 1/4 (25%) off 1st serve and..
- 1/4 (25%) off 2nd serve
- 1/2 return-approaching
- 0/3 forced back

Moya was 12/18 (67%) at net

Match Report
Federer's net seeking and net play is the most eye catching feature of a divided match. For little less than half the encounter, play is roughly even from the back with Federer still looking for net. After that, Federer takes the match almost entirely on his racquet and Moya is left to counter-punch and hope his opponent misses. In both parts, Federer seeks net

Some interesting numbers coming out of the encounter, starting with Federer winning higher percentage 2nd serve points than 1sts @krosero . Very marginally, 61.5% to 61.2% but that's the first instance I've found of this for Federer. His first serving isn't particularly strong. Decent yield of 6 aces, mostly towards the end when he's particularly firing on all fronts but for most of match, regulation, in swing-zone first serving from Fed. He has the odd serve showing of this type around this period

10/12 Moya return errors being marked unforced speaks to Fed's ordinary serving, but still, excellent job making so many returns. He actually leads return rate 82% to 81% surprisingly. And in all, serves better. Just 7/13 of Fed's return errors are unforced - a much higher yield of FEs than Moya has

Fed serving aggressively as he does towards end of match is the strongest serving of the match. For most of match, his serving is well toned down (probably not by choice, given rest of his game follows same progression through match). Moya serves at steady level - bit better of wide placement than Fed's mode, not as damaging as Fed's aggressive stuff at end

The above description of serving applies to rest of play too. Moya steady baseline game throughout - sound clay court stuff. Federer playing the same way for first part (comes off second best, being more error prone off the ground), and second part, taking charge quickly and with dash and then points are his to win or lose. Moya either doesn't or can't keep up

Serve doesn't seem to matter much

Fed wins 61% first serve points and 62% seconds
Moya wins 55% off both serves

Off the ground, Fed's BH is the loose shot on show, with match high 20 UEs. His problem is basic consistency, not movement. Zips around to reach whatever wide shots Moya makes with comfort, but just prone to missing the regulation shot. Moya helps with mildly pressuring, back-away FH inside-outs. Not too heavy, but Fed's BH tends to give up the errors. Moya's BH is the steadiest shot with match low 11 UEs

UEs read Fed 37, Moya 25 - with FHs virtually equal (Fed 16, Moya). From Moya's point of view, breaking down Fed's BH - or giving it room to falter to be more accurate - is key. He doesn't systematically play to Fed's BH. If anything, he attacks more with wide FH cc's (Fed's got high 8 FH FEs)

In this early part, UEs dominate points ended, though play is more lively than out and out who-blinks-first fest. Fed's groundies aren't damaging, but he comes in regularly to be aggressive, with plenty of serve-volleying

Serve-volleying proves a bust, winning just 2/8 perfectly split across his 2 serves.

That phase ends early in second set and Fed starts taking charge of rallies early. Still relies on net play to start, but once he gets comfortable, starts lashing groundstrokes aggressively too. During this period, Moya doesn't have much say in how points go - he defends and tries to pass as he's forced too

Fed with very high 41 winners to Moya's substantial 21. And despite the regular net rushing - 43 trips to net for Fed - bulk 27 winners are groundstroke (19 of them FHs). Fed's ground attack is short off his best - and he's still got 3 more FH winners than UEs. Bulk are back-away shots - he has 7 inside-out and 3 inside-in based. This period might be a turning point in Fed's game, of switching from solid cc to flashier inside-out FH attacking

Even BH is threatening, with the odd dtl attacking change up (also good yield of 3 winners dtl of 8 total), though the loose UEs considerably outweigh that

Rallying to net, Fed wins 24/33 or 73%, despite somewhat strangely mostly coming in to Moya's powerful FH. He's excellent at covering net and fine on the volley. From Moya's point of view, small mercy of not having to deal with that to his BH

Moya with 20 FEs to just 25 UEs speaks to both is consistency in keeping UEs low and the vigour of Fed's attacks. For that matter, forcing 15 errors out of Fed to go with 21 winners reflects a good attacking display too. Its not just, sound solid baseline tennis from Moya. He's strong with FH attacks, particularly cc. Also goes inside-out to pressure more than outright attack, but he's not quick enough to comfortably get around to play the shot. And BH is on average, more firmly hit than Fed's and a lot more consistent

Fed finishes +24 winners + errors forced/UE differential, Moya +11. Good numbers

Match Progression
A FH cc pass from Moya and backcourt errors from Fed sees a break in the opening game. Fed restores parity at 2-2 in another attritional baseline game, where he ends the last 2 points aggressively (1 at net). Moya breaks right back in another baseline game, with Fed's BH faltering

Fed endures 2 other tough holds - the first 8 points, the second a mammoth 20 (3 break points)

Moya's down 15-40 as he serves for set, but wins next 4 points - 1 with an error forcing FH inside-out, the rest Fed missing neutral groundies

Fed holds for 2-1 in a a particularly scraggy 12 point game, before Moya plays a poor game to get broken. That's the turning point. Thereafter, Fed grows more and more aggressive - and more and more able to collar baseline points. He makes enough errors to keep Moya in the match. 2 trade long holds, with both saving a break point before Fed moves to 40-0 serving for the set

He manages to lose 5 straight points from there to get broken - 2 FH UEs, a double fault and twice coming in to get burnt by Moya's FH, but breaks to end the set in a particularly well played game

Play is all on Fed's racquet in the decider, which doesn't mean he has it easy. Its Moya who has 15-40 in game 3, before Fed aggressively finishes. From 2-2, Fed reels off last 4 games. Moya had been relegated to counter-punching for most of the last sets worth of action when the streak starts, but looks to be weary beyond that

Summing up, 2 part match. For a set and a bit, action centers on neutral baseline rallies, with Moya coming out ahead. Fed looks to counter with trips to net
Thereafter, Fed takes charge from the back, continues to come forward to finish and eventually, adds devastating FHs from the back on top of that, and it proves a bit too much for Moya to handle

Stats for the final between Federer and Rafael Nadal - Match Stats/Report - Federer vs Nadal, Hamburg final 2007 | Talk Tennis (