Match Stats/Report - Federer vs Murray, Australian Open final, 2010

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Hall of Fame
Roger Federer beat Andy Murray 6-3, 6-4, 7-6(11) in the final of the Australian Open, 2010 on hard court

Federer had won 2 of the last three Slams (with a runner-up finish in the fourth) and as it turned out, proved to bring an end to his run of 8 finals in a row (and 18 of the last 19). For Murray, it was his second Slam final, having previously also lost Federer at US Open 2008 (https://tt.tennis-warehouse.com/ind...-federer-vs-murray-us-open-final-2008.611390/)

Federer won 116 points, Murray 100

Serve Stats
Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (75/112) 67%
- 1st serve points won (53/75) 71%
- 2nd serve points won (23/37) 62%
- Aces 11, Service Winners 2
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (23/112) 21%

Murray...
- 1st serve percentage (59/104) 57%
- 1st serve points won (41/59) 69%
- 2nd serve points won (23/45) 51%
- Aces 10, Service Winners 1
- Double Faults 4
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (24/104) 23%

Serve Patterns
Federer served...
- to FH 40%
- to BH 58%
- to Body 2%

Murray served...
- to FH 36%
- to BH 64%

Return Stats
Federer made...
- 77 (33 FH, 44 BH), including 3 runaround FHs
- 1 Winner (1 FH)
- 13 Errors, comprising...
- 4 Unforced (2 FH, 2 BH), both FHs being runaround attempts
- 9 Forced (4 FH, 5 BH)
- Return Rate (77/100) 77%

Murray made...
- 87 (33 FH, 54 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 1 Winner (1 FH)
- 10 Errors, comprising...
- 3 Unforced (2 FH, 1 BH)
- 7 Forced (3 FH, 4 BH)
- Return Rate (87/110) 79%

Break Points
Federer 4/12 (6 games)
Murray 2/8 (4 games)

Winners (excluding serves, including returns)
Federer 33 (18 FH, 6 BH, 4 FHV, 1 BHV, 3 OH, 1 BHOH)
Murray 16 (8 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV, 1 OH)

Federer's FHs - 4 cc (including 1 return and 1 pass), 1 dtl, 8 inside-out, 4 inside-in and 1 drop shot

- BHs - 2 cc, 3 dtl and 1 net chord dribbler

- 4 from serve-volley points (3 FHV, 1 OH) - all first volleys. 2 of the FHVs were swinging shots (1 inside-out)

- 1 other swinging FHV, also inside-out

- the BHV was a drop volley and possibly not clean and the BHOH was played with both players at net

Murray's FHs - 7 cc (including 1 not clean, 1 return and 1 pass) and 1 inside-out

- 3 regular BHs - 1 cc and 2 dtl

- 3 BH passes, all dtl - 2 running down drop shots at net and 1 on the run played from wide off the court almost around the net post

- the FHV was played with both players at net

Errors (excluding serves and returns)
Federer 58
- 36 Unforced (18 FH, 16 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV)
- 22 Forced (11 FH, 10 BH, 1 FHV)
- Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.4

Murray 56
- 32 Unforced (17 FH, 13 BH, 1 FHV, 1 BHV)
- 24 Forced (13 FH, 10 BH, 1 BH1/2V)
- Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 46.8

(Note 1: All 1/2 volleys refer to such shots played at net. 1/2 volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke numbers)

(Note 2: the Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is an indicator of how aggressive the average UE was. The numbers presented for these two matches are keyed on 4 categories - 20 defensive, 40 neutral, 50 attacking and 60 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Federer was 23/31 (74%) at net, including 4/4 serve-volleying - all first serve points

Murray was 12/19 (63%), including 2/2 serve-volleying + 0/1 'delayed' serve-volleying - all first points
He was 1/1 after retreating from the net (a serve-volley point)

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Match Report
A timid match from Murray. He starts with a bang, striking a BH dtl winner on the first point. I don't think he hits many dtl again all night - and certainly not in the first two sets.

The two players settle into playing a clay-court type match on this slow hard court for the first set. If one didn't know the players typical style, it would be hard to tell who's initiative that was - they both seem content to hit BH cc til the cows come home (knowing the players, one thinks it was Murray's strategy - to wait for errors from the Federer BH). The action looks like a Lendl-Wilander encounter. There are a host of errors in this part of the match, mainly after long rallies. Federer is the slightly more aggressive player - occasionally going dtl for a winner or to snatch the initiative. In one point, he beautifully takes Murray way off the court with an extreme angled BH cc and then puts away the winner BH dtl. And he uses his FH more aggressively - though again, well within himself

In the second, Murray goes still deeper into his shell. With the first set under his belt, Federer plays more freely and steps up to the baseline to hit his shots at least. Murray goes further deeper behind the baseline. Federer starts attacking short balls and playing runaround or backaway FHs, usually inside-out. Murray pushes short balls back... and if he has to move forward to hit them, quickly falls back behind the baseline again. Seeing Murray's court position, Federer also hits a number of drop shots, which usually succeed in forcing errors... it looks like Federer is toying with Murray or to be more precise, Murray is allowing himself to be toyed with

I'm puzzled as to what Murray's strategy here was. Hope Federer misses, maybe. Given the slowness of the court, I suppose its an option.... but not a great one and clearly, it wasn't working. And he's slow to adapt to that. In the second Federer asserts himself as the significantly better player

Finally, in the third, Murray plays ball. He still doesn't step in much, but does hit the ball more powerfully - especially off the FH. He hits a number of fine FH cc winners. He goes up a break mainly through Federer errors, but does wrap up the game by running down a drop volley and winning a net-to-net battle of volleys. However, he fails to serve out the set as the Swiss turns it up a notch and forces a number of errors and returns aggressively (helped along by a pair of Murray errors)

The tiebreak is an extended affair and its Murray who has the first 3 set points (he has 5 in all, to Federer's 3). Most are erased by good attacking play from the Swiss, but the Scot does miss a relatively easy BHV on one before Federer finally wraps up the night with a FH inside-in winner to bring up championship point, on which Murray makes a BH error

Not a bad match in all.... solid returning from both, especially Murray. His ability to get Federer's excellent serve back in play (even on this slow court) is laudable. Federer for his part, is patient and willing to hang it out from the back when necessary against a more consistent player. And he can and does turn it on when he chooses.... though being put under no pressure, he wisely does not go for too much as far as aggression goes

Still, final verdict would be disappointingly meek from Andy Murray, with Federer getting by smartly by doing just what was necessary and not more
 
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Australian Open

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Murray pushes short balls back... and if he has to move forward to hit them, quickly falls back behind the baseline again. Seeing Murray's court position, Federer also hits a number of drop shots, which usually succeed in forcing errors... it looks like Federer is toying with Murray or to be more precise, Murray is allowing himself to be toyed with

Finally, in the third, Murray plays ball. He still doesn't step in much
Murray did this for so long, so often, in so many tournaments and with so many different coaches - Shanghai 2012 vs Nole was a memorable one, and hell I remember it being a terrible feature of his Loserpas loss at W23 which I referenced in another thread of yours recently - that I have to conclude he alone was responsible for this

Aside from never developing his FH and his mental fragility, it is his single most maddening trait - 2-3 feet inside the court, on the FH, time to set up, and he’d retreat to the baseline after the next shot (which he’d normally push anyway). The funny thing is that he wasn’t a bad volleyer at all. He was just a coward unfortunately

We talk about small margins between 3 slams and 6 or 8, and this would have been one of them. Obvs the FH was the biggest problem, as Petch said recently in some interview
 
He was just a coward unfortunately
This sounds like a harsh characterisation at first glance but I’ve found myself saying the same thing at times. He was far too timid.

God only knows what he must have been thinking, trying to cat-and-mouse the B3 having lost multiple slam SF’s and F’s to them. He’d have been better off taking it to them (which he did about 40% of the time in a couple GS matches and Masters 1000’s) and going out on his shield, if he lost.

He’s still an ATG in my book, but my god did he leave a lot on the table.
 
Fed's BH was actually ridiculous in this match, so clean off the ground. Generated some great angles too (check out 4:50 in the clip!), which was a better approach to break down Murray's defense than Federer's typical weapons—namely, the serve +1 (which Andy's return or athleticism can neutralize) or slice/variety (which Murray could counter decently with his slice).
USO 2008 was a more satisfying slam win over Murray, simply because I prefer Fed in full-flow offense rather than this more patient baselining approach, but AO 2010 was still great stuff.
 
Fed was nearly perfect here too (outside that minor hiccup at the end). AO 2010 really deserves more recognition.
 
Fed was nearly perfect here too (outside that minor hiccup at the end). AO 2010 really deserves more recognition.
I've always considered AO 2010 Fed's sleeper tournament. No one really brings it up but I consider that prime Fed still.

It doesn't really help that he generally played less flashy in this one. The brilliant offensive shotmaking that you saw in even his losing efforts like 2009 is notably absent here. Fed kind of worked over his opponents Djokovic-style. But when pushed he still had a gear to go up.
 
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