Match Stats/Report - Federer vs Roddick, Canadian Open final, 2004

Waspsting

Hall of Fame
Roger Federer beat Andy Roddick 7-5, 6-3 in the Canadian Open final, 2004 on hard court in Toronto

Federer was ranked #1, Roddick #2. It was Federer's first title at the event while Roddick had been the defending champion. The two had recently played the Wimbledon final, with Federer winning

Federer won 75 points, Roddick 62

Serve Stats
Federer...
- 1st serve percentage (38/65) 58%
- 1st serve points won (28/38) 74%
- 2nd serve points won (19/27) 70%
- Aces 14 (1 second serve)
- Double Faults 1
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (24/65) 37%

Roddick...
- 1st serve percentage (48/72) 67%
- 1st serve points won (32/48) 67%
- 2nd serve points won (12/24) 50%
- Aces 4
- Double Faults 2
- Unreturned Serve Percentage (15/72) 21%

Serve Pattern
Federer served...
- to FH 44%
- to BH 56%

Roddick served...
- to FH 39%
- to BH 59%
- to Body 3%

Return Stats
Federer made...
- 55 (19 FH, 36 BH), including 1 drop-return
- 11 Errors, comprising...
- 2 Unforced (2 BH)
- 9 Forced (5 FH, 4 BH)
- Return Rate (55/70) 79%

Roddick made...
- 40 (15 FH, 25 BH), including 1 runaround FH
- 2 Winners (1 FH, 1 BH)
- 10 Errors, comprising...
- 4 Unforced (4 FH)
- 6 Forced (5 FH, 1 BH)
- Return Rate (40/64) 63%

Break Points
Federer 2/9 (4 games)
Roddick 0/4 (2 games)

Winners (including returns, excluding aces)
Federer 18 (6 FH, 6 BH, 5 FHV, 1 BHV)
Roddick 17 (4 FH, 3 BH, 3 FHV, 4 BHV, 1 BH1/2V, 2 OH)

Federer's FHs - 2 cc passes, 2 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out and 1 longline
- BHs - 2 cc passes, 1 dtl, 1 inside-out/dtl pass, 1 longline and 1 net chord dribbler

- 1 from a serve-volley point, a first volley FHV

Roddick's FHs - 2 cc (1 return), 1 dtl at net and 1 inside-in
- BHs - 1 cc pass and 2 dtl (1 return pass)

- 1 BHV hits an at net Federer, 1 FHV can reasonably be called an OH and 1 OH was on the bounce

Errors (excluding returns and serves)
Federer 29
- 15 Unforced (7 FH, 7 BH, 1 FHV)
- 14 Forced (7 FH, 4 BH, 1 BHV, 2 OH)... both OHs were strongly forced errors on the bounce well behind the baseline against Roddick smashes
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 45.3

Roddick 31
- 28 Unforced (18 FH, 6 BH, 1 FHV, 2 BHV, 1 OH)
- 3 Forced (2 FH, 1 FHV)
Unforced Error Forcefulness Index 48.9

(Note 1: all half-volleys refer to such shots played at net. Half -volleys played from other parts of the court are included within relevant groundstroke counts)

(Note 2: The 'Unforced Error Forcefulness Index is a measure of how aggressive of intent the average UE made was. 60 is maximum, 20 is minimum. This match has been scored using a four point scale - 2 defensive, 4 neutral, 5 attacking, 6 winner attempt)

Net Points & Serve-Volley
Federer was...
- 9/14 (64%) at net, including...
- 2/5 (40%) serve-volleying, all 1st serves

Roddick was...
- 18/29 (62%) at net, including...
- 0/1 serve-volleying, a 2nd serve
---
- 1/1 retreated

Match Report
Good match with Roddick leading action and Federer reacting on a tilted to slow side of normal hard court. Federer's defence, movement, defence and choice spot serving stand out for quality. Though playing well and smartly, Roddick can't find a way through his wall-like opponent

Good showings from both players
- Winners - Fed 18, Rod 17
- Errors forced - Fed 3, Rod14
- UEs - Fed 15, Rod 28

... leaves Fed +6 and Roddick +3 on points ended aggressively. Fed's even +3 on just winners/UE differential, which is particularly impressive since large 37% unreturned rate reduces favourable chances to hit winners

Total errors are very close, but very different of nature due to differences in playing style and the roles each play (Rod leading, Fed counter-punching)
- Errors - Fed 29, Roddick 31...
- UEs - Fed 15, Roddick 28
- FEs - Fed 14, Rod 3

Early on, Rod looks to breakdown Fed's BH with backaway FH inside-outs. The strength of the FHs vary from attacking to neutral, closer to neutral side. Fed's able to handle it with his BH cc, though Rod has slight hitting advantage. Sooner or later, Fed neutrally redirects BH longline to put ball on Rod's FH. And then the two trade FH cc's

Fed clearly has both hitting and consistency advantage on the FH side. Rod's FH has by far match high 18 UEs (the other 3 groundies on show have 7, 7 and 6), he hits deeper and can whip the edgily attacking wide FH cc from regulation position. Not a good outlook for Rod. He switches to net play and coming in from his bigger or wider groundstrokes to attack

At net, Rod's 18/29 at 62% to Fed's 9/14 at 64%. Just from rallies, Rod's 18/28 to Fed's 7/11. He's far the more net hungry player, proactively looking to come in. He doesn't volley particularly well - there are 4 UEs in short time and they're easy, putaway balls. Just the act of being at net and forcing Fed to make the pass wins him points. Success is due to hefty approach shots, not good volleying

The passing errors he draws is largely behind the large lot of Fed FEs. Otherwise, he ball-bashes from the back (hits hard but not too wide) which is pressuring and likely to gain errors sooner rather than later. Fed is excellent in coping, running balls down and putting them back in play seemingly without strain

Breakdown of UEs -
- Neutral errors - Fed 11, Rod 10
- Attacking - Fed 0, Rod 11
- Winner attempts - Fed 4, Rod 7

Neutral errors being even is usually sign of who's better at just keeping ball in play, and if gap is wide, its wise of player coming off second best to actively attack. Though the numbers are equal, Fed has advantage in this area. More of his UEs are reactive shots drawn by Rod's ball-bashing (i.e. tilted towards defensive) while more of Rod's are just missing routine balls

0 attacking UEs from Fed speaks to him not attacking much, further brought home by forcing just 3 errors. While he moves with characteristic easy grace that one doesn't usually associate with scrappy defending, he is the one doing the running and chasing. And doing it very well. Rod isn't called on to. 3-4 approach errors from Rod too. Forcing 14 errors while making 11 attacking UEs isn't a good outcome from Rod's point of view... good job by Fed on defence

In all, a smart, proactive match from Roddick. Trying to breakdown Fed's BH is a good starting point and to have done so with his own BH doesn't sound a good idea - the pressuring FH inside-outting he leads with is worth a shot. When it doesn't work, he switches to attacking in other ways (ball bashing and coming to net). It might be a bit premature - Fed hadn't established any obvious baseline superiority, neutrally or offensively - which speaks to taking the attacking role being a proactive move (or one based on prior experience) rather than a desperate one. He's not great in executing the attacks, but I'd more credit Fed's defence than discredit Rod's offence for that

Unusually, Fed has equal FH and BH winners. Their breakdown is coincidentally very similar
- FH - 2 cc passes, 2 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out, 1 longline
- BH 2 cc passes, 1 dtl, 1 dtl/inside-out pass, 1 longline... (and 1 net chord dribbler)

... and UEs are an identical 7 off each side. A balanced, and steady match from Fed. With the BH copping brunt of Rod's ball-bashing and attacking, probably even a BH > FH showing

And behind it all is serve-return complex. Roddick has 4 break points across 2 games, including being up 0-40. 4/4 are aced away. 14 aces total, unreturned rate of 37%. Good solid serving, with something beyond that in the locker when needed from Fed. Rod's movement to return slightly wide balls isn't particularly good and he's got 4 UEs

Fed's reading of the serve and movement in return by contrast is exemplary. He's never caught out by direction and keeps Rod down to 21% unreturned rate. Just 2 UEs. 16% lead in unreturned rate is liable to be decisive in the match, even if Rod had got better of court action. Which he doesn't - Fed's +3 in play (i.e. when return is made)

Fed leading 2nd serve points won 70% to 50% is another indicator of his superiority, though that gap is deceptively wide.

Match Progression
Fed has 2 break points in game 4, both erased by strong plays springing from a big first serve. With Fed's BH holding up, Rod turns to coming to net to be offensive. An against run of play display of sloppiness sees Fed fall 0-40 down in game 9. He responds with 3 aces in a row, and holds after a pair of attacking errors from Rod

Fed breaks to end the set in a 12 point game. Rod's faltering FH, which has 5 UEs in the game, including on set point, is main reason. To bring up the decisive break point, very nice, wrong footing BH dtl pass by Fed against Rod's powerful FH dtl approach shot that gets a FHV error

4 aces, including down break point, decorate opening game of 2nd set by Fed. Roddick's at net regularly in the set on his own service games. He hits Federer with a BHV when the two players are net to net. The other standout shot is Rod with a wide BH1/2V winner down break point in game 8. There's another break point to follow and he comes in behind a not good approach shot to a short ball he'd drawn and Fed's up to making a comfortable FH cc pass winner. Earlier in the game, he'd hit a stunning BH cc one

Match point is one of Roddick FH inside-out vs Fed BH cc rallies that had been common at start of match. Fed ends it with a BH longline winner

Summing up, good solid showing from Federer. Serve is highly effective and he cranks it up when he needs to, the returning is coolly efficient and in play, he counter-punches as against a hard hitting Roddick display. Smart match from Roddick, who goes through his attacking options, settling on coming to net after Fed's BH proves steady. His attack isn't particularly well executed but more credit to Federer's defence than anything too off about Roddick's game for how it plays out
 
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