Miami 2026 - ATP Mens Singles Discussion

Who wins Miami

  • Total voters
    72
Poisoned Slice said:
Now only 16/17 on first serve.

You're slipping, son.
lionmel.jpg
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Sinner may take over #1 if Alcarez doesn't win the Monter carlo open
 
Sunshine Double
  • 1991 = Jim Courier
  • 1992 = Michael Chang
  • 1994 = Pete Sampras
  • 1998 = Marcelo Rios
  • 2001 = Andre Agassi
  • 2005 = Roger Federer
  • 2006 = Roger Federer
  • 2011 = Novak Djokovic
  • 2014 = Novak Djokovic
  • 2015 = Novak Djokovic
  • 2016 = Novak Djokovic
  • 2017 = Roger Federer
  • 2026 = Jannik Sinner
 
In winning 2026 Miami, Sinner has:

1. Won his 26th ATP singles title (making him joint 2nd with Alcaraz in titles won by active players).
2. Won his 2nd ATP singles title of the season.
3. Won his 2nd ATP Masters 1000 title of the season.
4. Won his 7th ATP Masters title (making him joint 3rd with Zverev in Masters titles won by active players) and 2nd in Miami (prev won 2024).
5. Become 1 of only 8 players in history to complete the Sunshine Double (Indian Wells and Miami back to back along with Courier, Chang, Sampras, Rios, Agassi, Federer, Djokovic).
6. Become the 1st player since Federer (2017) to complete the Sunshine Double.
7. Become the 1st player to complete the Sunshine Double without dropping a set.
8. Won his 13th "Big Title" (Slams, WTF, Olympics, Masters).
 
Had to miss the 2nd set last night. What an achievement from Jannik, he’s been building up very nicely in last couple of months to take some real momentum into the clay.
 
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Mainad said:
In winning 2026 Miami, Sinner has:

...............7. Become the 1st player to complete the Sunshine Double without dropping a set......
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Yah man, superb stuff from Jannik. Having asserted himself emphatically by winning the Sunshine Double/being a stones throw from attaining the number 1 spot again, dude has left no doubt regarding his intentions and ability to execute them. Achieving this feat without requiring his 'A' game, whilst opponents have invariably had to play at their best, highlights just how far ahead of the field he is, barring Carlitos.
His pristine consistency / strategic diligence is not boring to me - fascinating how he reads the opponent and deploys the required means to stymie their attempts to stay with him. Excellence in any field is inspirational - in sports, it shows the heights that can be achieved in the prevailing context by those that excel, as Jannik has done.
That said, meaningful competition is overdue, hope those making noises in the right direction step up to the mark very soon. Onwards to the clay.
 
sortof said:
This is massive - illustrating both, Sinner´s dominance as well as the weakness of the field.
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As someone who roots for Sinner, I can admit that the field wasn't great in Miami, and he had a fairly easy run to the title. Tiafoe was particularly ridiculous (and I say that as someone that also roots for Big Foe).

That said, not dropping a single set over two events is impressive, if only because it shows how focused and competitive he is. We see soooo many times in tennis how easily you can win a first set, and then let your foot off the gas in the second, only to wake back up in the third. Or get a slow start and drop the first, before turning it on. Alcraz does it a lot, so it's impressive Sinner didn't do it even once.

Also, the way he completely dominated Zverev in the semi was impressive. Made Zverev look like he was ranked #50, on a pretty fast hardcourt.

RossiBhoy said:
Carlos needs Jannik. If Sinner wasn’t playing the levels he plays, Carlos would have retired and taken up golf professionally by now.
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I agree. I also really enjoy watching Alcaraz play, but it's clear that he is almost getting bored with the early rounds he must work through in order to reach the interesting matches.
 
I used to like alcaraz & I know his fans aren't his fault but the thousands of "he's just bored and jaded and above these events" comments every time he gets outplayed make him difficult to cheer for anymore.

He is a 22 year old college kid who hasn't even had time to process his success yet. He's putting 100% into every match. He's trained his whole life for this. He flew 20 hours to be there. He lost.

Hopefully he gets knocked out early at french open or wimbledon so we get some extra hilarious "He doesn't take such tournaments seriously, he was just bored and entertaining himself" posts.
 
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PlaysInAviatorShades said:
I used to like alcaraz & I know his fans aren't his fault but the thousands of "he's just bored and jaded and above these events" comments every time he gets outplayed make him difficult to cheer for anymore.

He is a 22 year old college kid who hasn't even had time to process his success yet. He's putting 100% into every match. He's trained his whole life for this. He flew 20 hours to be there. He lost.

Hopefully he gets knocked out early at french open or wimbledon so we get some extra hilarious "He doesn't take such tournaments seriously, he was just bored and entertaining himself" posts.
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Why don’t you like a player because you appreciate what they do? You’re admitting you only like a player depending on what other people say. What are you? A sheep?
 
PlaysInAviatorShades said:
I used to like alcaraz & I know his fans aren't his fault but the thousands of "he's just bored and jaded and above these events" comments every time he gets outplayed make him difficult to cheer for anymore.

He is a 22 year old college kid who hasn't even had time to process his success yet. He's putting 100% into every match. He's trained his whole life for this. He flew 20 hours to be there. He lost.

Hopefully he gets knocked out early at french open or wimbledon so we get some extra hilarious "He doesn't take such tournaments seriously, he was just bored and entertaining himself" posts.
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Can I assume this is at least somewhat directed at me, since it was posted right after my comments?

First and foremost, I prefer Sinner to Alcaraz. I like both, but I always prefer that Sinner wins. So there's that.

But really, what's so hard to understand? Alcaraz's top level game depends on extreme physical effort, creativity, and difficult execution. It's the type of game that requires the player to be fully committed for it to function optimally.

So if we hear Alcaraz say during the match that he doesn't want to be there, and just wants to go home, how else are we supposed to interpret that? And let me ask you, what are the chances that Alcaraz would tell his team the same thing during the French Open or Wimbledon?
 
robyrolfo said:
Can I assume this is at least somewhat directed at me, since it was posted right after my comments?

First and foremost, I prefer Sinner to Alcaraz. I like both, but I always prefer that Sinner wins. So there's that.

But really, what's so hard to understand? Alcaraz's top level game depends on extreme physical effort, creativity, and difficult execution. It's the type of game that requires the player to be fully committed for it to function optimally.

So if we hear Alcaraz say during the match that he doesn't want to be there, and just wants to go home, how else are we supposed to interpret that? And let me ask you, what are the chances that Alcaraz would tell his team the same thing during the French Open or Wimbledon?
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Just goes to show that he hasn't even reached his full power yet if he's this mentally precarious.
 
robyrolfo said:
Can I assume this is at least somewhat directed at me, since it was posted right after my comments?

First and foremost, I prefer Sinner to Alcaraz. I like both, but I always prefer that Sinner wins. So there's that.

But really, what's so hard to understand? Alcaraz's top level game depends on extreme physical effort, creativity, and difficult execution. It's the type of game that requires the player to be fully committed for it to function optimally.

So if we hear Alcaraz say during the match that he doesn't want to be there, and just wants to go home, how else are we supposed to interpret that? And let me ask you, what are the chances that Alcaraz would tell his team the same thing during the French Open or Wimbledon?
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Not specifically. It just happened to be soon after your post. There are dozens in the thread saying he only lost because he didn't try or was bored.

"I just want to go home" sounds like something I'd say if i was struggling, not if I was mowing through the competition and bored; his opponents never seem to get any credit. There was a guy on the other side of the court.

I would be bored or questioning my attendance during on the 20+ hours of flying, not mid tennis match when I fall behind (AKA getting beaten).
 
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4UTRMoutet said:
Just goes to show that he hasn't even reached his full power yet if he's this mentally precarious.
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I'm not sure if mentally precarious is the right description. It's possible that he will just never be the type of guy that can deal with the "grind" of the tour.

Honestly, it makes sense to me. You recently won the AO, and it was your biggest goal (in order to complete the career slam and be the youngest to do it). Huge goal accomplished, what do you really care about some back to back M1000 events?

Miami in particular has a strange feeling of, 'ok, just this last hardcourt event, and then we can move to the clay,' that might make some guys antsy to move on.

Look, he could end up being like Borg... and Borg is still one of the all time greats.

PlaysInAviatorShades said:
Not specifically. It just happened to be soon after your post. There are dozens in the thread saying he only lost because he didn't try or was bored.
"I just want to go home" sounds like something I'd say if i was struggling, not if I was mowing through the competition and bored; his opponents never seem to get any credit. There was a guy on the other side of the court.
I would be bored or questioning my attendance during on the 20+ hours of flying, not mid tennis match when I fall behind (AKA getting beaten).
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I guess I see your point, but when you are down in a match and really need to lock-in and dig deep, that's often the most stressful part. So that's why it came out when it did, and yes, Korda was playing great.

You can see what I wrote above, plus at this point it seems pretty clear that Sinner can cruise at 75% and dominate most of the field, while Alcaraz seems to be either <60%, or 90-100%. The lack of in-between makes him have to "turn it on" more often.
 
I’ve been leaning on tennisdata.app whenever I want quick win probabilities or to sanity‑check upset risks, and the accuracy stats there line up pretty well with what I track on my own. The downloadable reports are also handy if you like poking around bigger datasets without scraping everything yourself.
 
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Dukescar said:
I’m really curious how Musetti handles that bump to a top seed. With Alcaraz, Sinner, and Zverev all in form, the draw feels way more open now.
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Musetti is my favourite player, on his day he's the absolute best to watch style wise right now. Unfortunately his body prevents him from being able to be on it consistently. He has a lot of points to defend during the clay swing, which is a real concern considering where he's at at the moment. Hopefully skipping Miami will mean he's prepared to do just that though.
 
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