Most likely men's semifinalists at Wimbledon?

Who will be the 4 Wimbledon men's semifinalists?

  • Novak Djokovic

    Votes: 9 20.5%
  • Rafael Nadal

    Votes: 6 13.6%
  • Andy Murray

    Votes: 8 18.2%
  • Roger Federer

    Votes: 20 45.5%
  • Stan Wawrinka

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Tomáš Berdych

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • David Ferrer

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Milos Raonic

    Votes: 1 2.3%
  • John Isner

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • Other. Please specify.

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    44

Russeljones

Talk Tennis Guru
Alright, it's virtually impossible to predict the winner so I thought it would be more fun to pick the semifinalists. Here is my proposed list. Of course, you can all nominate your picks.

Novak Djokovic
Rafael Nadal
Andy Murray
Roger Federer
Stan Wawrinka
Tomáš Berdych
David Ferrer
Milos Raonic
John Isner
Kei Nishikori
Grigor Dimitrov
Ernests Gulbis
Richard Gasquet
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga
Jerzy Janowicz
Fabio Fognini
Mikhail Youzhny
Fernando Verdasco
Feliciano López
Kevin Anderson
Alexandr Dolgopolov
Philipp Kohlschreiber
Tommy Robredo
Gaël Monfils
Nicolás Almagro
Marin Čilić
Roberto Bautista Agut
Guillermo García-López
Ivo Karlović

The poll allows picking 1 person, unfortunately. Wish I could change that.
 
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Noleberic123

G.O.A.T.
Raonic? He won't get passed the 2nd round. He can't move unless it's hard court.

he seemed to move on clay well. Plus with his big serve, on grass I see him potentially getting to the semis unless he runs into a member of the big 4 before that
 

Bender

G.O.A.T.
Federer, Djokovic, Murray, and Dimitrov?

I have a gut feeling Federer won't go that far this year, but then again that's just a gut feeling. Hope he does well this year considering the upset this time last year.

I'd love to see Rafa go far, but sadly, I don't think he's a big factor on grass anymore.
 

FreeBird

Legend
3 Usual suspects and 1 Dark Horse. Probably Djokovic, Federer, Murray and one of JJ/Nishikori/Gulbis/Dimitrov/Nadal.
 

Russeljones

Talk Tennis Guru
Shouldn't we expect 1 "outsider"? The last couple of years have shown such a trend. 1 guy always breaks in. This year it could be one of the Young guns pack.
 

MrFlip

Professional
If Federer gets Raonic, Isner, Berdych on his quarter he's not going to make the semis you can count on that.
 

monfed

Banned
Federer, Djokovic, Murray, and Dimitrov?

I have a gut feeling Federer won't go that far this year, but then again that's just a gut feeling. Hope he does well this year considering the upset this time last year.

I'd love to see Rafa go far, but sadly, I don't think he's a big factor on grass anymore.

After reading Fiji's prediction, my gut feeling changed to Novak.
 

zam88

Professional
just too early to even speculate before the draw.

I suspect 2 of the "big 4" (not counting Wawrinka) and 2 "others" like a Raonic or Byrdych or Tsonga or Ferrer.


It would have been difficult for me to say this before the AO, but this seems like the type of slam where there's a 25% chance a non Big 4 player could take a title...

It's really hard to trust anyone at this tournament...
 

Russeljones

Talk Tennis Guru
I want to pose another question to you all. Of the top seeds, which players do you think look the least comfortable on grass? To me it's clear that Nadal, Wawrinka and Raonic are not crazy about it. Could be the same is true for Gulbis.
 

junior74

Bionic Poster
I want to pose another question to you all. Of the top seeds, which players do you think look the least comfortable on grass? To me it's clear that Nadal, Wawrinka and Raonic are not crazy about it. Could be the same is true for Gulbis.

I think Murray at Queens looked nothing like last year's model.
 
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Deleted member 307496

Guest
Okay if I was going to go a bit more exotic... lets go with

Djokovic
Federer
Tsonga
Raonic... dat serve tho...
Murray is more likely to be in the semifinals than either Raonic or Tsonga. He lost early at Queens in 2012 and made the final.
 
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Deleted member 307496

Guest
I'm aware of that. But he played so much better in Paris, I was hoping he would improve further at Queens.
Maybe he has improved. Murray losing a match doesn't mean that he can't take things away from it and build on it to make himself a better player come Wimbledon. I don't think he is going to lift the trophy this year however, but him making the SF round is pretty likely.
 

junior74

Bionic Poster
Maybe he has improved. Murray losing a match doesn't mean that he can't take things away from it and build on it to make himself a better player come Wimbledon. I don't think he is going to lift the trophy this year however, but him making the SF round is pretty likely.

Totally agreed upon. He just looked so passive against Stepanek, who indeed played really effective grass tennis and was so energetic. Murray is amazing when he really wants to win!
 

batz

G.O.A.T.
For those who are saying that Murray won't make semis. Only one man on the planet has made semis at Sw19 for the last 5 years straight.

That guy's name isn't Rafa, or Roger, or Novak, or Milos, or Grigor, or Jo, or Stan.

Until Murray fails to make semis, how about people cut him some slack based on his record?
 

puiacalin91

Rookie
Why not? He has only made one QF in his whole career at a major.

Because he has improved a lot and he is still improving ! He has a good serve and a good forehand so he has the weapons to play grass I think you can;t rely on the past of a young player who is ascending
 

coloskier

Legend
Until Nadal can prove that he can actually win a match on grass since he hasn't in the last three years, I don't expect him there. Strong possibility that Djoker won't make it either because of injuries or the wedding. Murray's back hasn't recovered, so I don't expect him there either. As long as Fed doesn't run into someone who is bashing from the baseline in God Mode, he'll be there. Berdych has to keep it together for 5 matches to get there. Wawrinka has to avoid the early upset to get there. Nishikori may be tired and has overplayed going into the tournament. Tsonga and Monfils too much of a head case. Gulbis partying like a rock star again after
FO.
 

batz

G.O.A.T.
Until Nadal can prove that he can actually win a match on grass since he hasn't in the last three years, I don't expect him there. Strong possibility that Djoker won't make it either because of injuries or the wedding. Murray's back hasn't recovered, so I don't expect him there either. As long as Fed doesn't run into someone who is bashing from the baseline in God Mode, he'll be there. Berdych has to keep it together for 5 matches to get there. Wawrinka has to avoid the early upset to get there. Nishikori may be tired and has overplayed going into the tournament. Tsonga and Monfils too much of a head case. Gulbis partying like a rock star again after
FO.

He's done well to make the QFs and semis of the slams played this year then? He made the semis at RG but his back isn't good enough to make semis at SW 19?

Are you guys listening to yourselves? Only Nole and Rafa have been more consistent than Murray at slams so far this year.
 
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batz

G.O.A.T.
I think Murray at Queens looked nothing like last year's model.

Given that last year's model was playing on grass nearly 3 weeks before the start of Queen's, whereas this year's model had been on grass for a couple of days before the start, is that any real surprise mate?
 
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Fiji

Legend
Djokovic is the most likely to reach the SF. He has reached the SF or better since 2010 but is not recovering from back surgery like Murray. Nole has not lost to clowns at Wimbledon since 2010. Can't say the same about Nadal and Federer..
 

Djokovic2011

Bionic Poster
Djokovic is the most likely to reach the SF. He has reached the SF or better since 2010 but is not recovering from back surgery like Murray. Nole has not lost to clowns at Wimbledon since 2010. Can't say the same about Nadal and Federer..

Actually Nole hasn't lost to clowns at Wimbledon since about 2006.
 

Russeljones

Talk Tennis Guru
I don't get the "Murray hasn't gotten back to his best" comments. The thread is about making the semifinals. He is definitely one of the favourites to get there. 2nd or equal only to Djokovic in my book, actually.
 

Steve0904

Talk Tennis Guru
Okay if I was going to go a bit more exotic... lets go with

Djokovic
Federer
Tsonga
Raonic... dat serve tho...

Raonic won't get to the SF's. Trust me. He'll be lucky to make the 4th round IMHO.

If I was to pick the 4 most likely SF'ists I think they would be Federer, Djokovic, Murray, and probably Dimitrov in no particular order.

Of course this question is very hard to answer without seeing the draw. I still think Murray will do well at Wimbledon, and I still think Federer can make the semi finals, but I don't think he'll win the title.

Dimitrov would be my dark horse pick, and I honestly think Djokovic is going to win the tournament. I'd put Nadal in there, but at this point I'm not sure he's "more likely" to make the SF's than the above 4 except maybe Dimitrov, but it's close given Nadal's first week troubles the past 2 years.
 
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batz

G.O.A.T.
Actually Nole hasn't lost to clowns at Wimbledon since about 2006.

Depends on what is meant by 'clown' I suppose. If the definition is 'guys who Novak was expected to beat' then, since 2007, Nole has lost 3 times @ SW19 to guys who were ranked outside the top 10. One of them was ranked outside the top 30 and the other outside the top 70.

Murray has lost zero matches @SW19 to guys from outside the top 10 in the same period.
 
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Deleted member 512391

Guest
he seemed to move on clay well. Plus with his big serve, on grass I see him potentially getting to the semis unless he runs into a member of the big 4 before that

Clay gives him enough time to setup himself for the shots, that's not going to happen on grass (even he explained, after QF loss to Djokovic at the French Open, that it's easier for him to play on clay because it gives him more time).

Plus, guys like Isner and Karlovic have bigger serves than Raonic, but neither of them have ever reached SF at Wimbledon (Karlovic reached QF once, though). It's not only about the serve on grass, it's about movement, agility.
 

Steve0904

Talk Tennis Guru
Depends on what is meant by 'clown' I suppose. If the definition is 'guys who Novak was expected to beat' then, since 2007, Nole has lost 3 times @ SW19 to guys who were ranked outside the top 10. One of them was ranked outside the top 30 and the other outside the top 70.

Murray has lost zero matches @SW19 to guys from outside the top 10 in the same period.

Good point.

Djokovic losses including 2007:

Nadal (not bad)

Old Safin (bad)

Old Haas (bad)

Berdych on a hot streak (most people would probably call this bad as well)

Federer indoors (Djokovic was favoured going into this match as well, but I wouldn't call it a bad loss in hindsight)

Murray (I can't really call this one a bad loss either, but it was a toss up match where Andy played well, and Djokovic did not, hence the result.)
 

Djokovic2011

Bionic Poster
Depends on what is meant by 'clown' I suppose. If the definition is 'guys who Novak was expected to beat' then, since 2007, Nole has lost 3 times @ SW19 to guys who were ranked outside the top 10. One of them was ranked outside the top 30 and the other outside the top 70.

Murray has lost zero matches @SW19 to guys from outside the top 10 in the same period.

I just meant that I don't consider Nadal, Safin, Haas and Berdych to be clowns, certainly not in the Darcis league anyway.
 
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