Most likely scenarios for Big 3 for rest of 2014

M

McEnroeisanartist

Hall of Fame
Rank from first to last the most likely scenario for the Big 3 for rest of 2014?

Federer wins 2 more titles and ends 2014 with a winning percentage above 85% (This would be his 2nd Highest win/loss percentage since 2007. He is currently at 83%.)

Novak wins 3 more Masters Series tournaments. He becomes the first player to win 6 Masters Series tournaments in a year.

Nadal wins 2 more Masters Series tournaments. (He has only once in his career, 2013, won 2 Masters Series tournaments after Wimbledon)
 
McEnroeisanartist said:
Rank from first to last the most likely scenario for the Big 3 for rest of 2014?

Federer wins 2 more titles and ends 2014 with a winning percentage above 85% (This would be his 2nd Highest win/loss percentage since 2007. He is currently at 83%.)

Novak wins 3 more Masters Series tournaments. He becomes the first player to win 6 Masters Series tournaments in a year.

Nadal wins 2 more Masters Series tournaments. (He has only once in his career, 2013, won 2 Masters Series tournaments after Wimbledon)
Click to expand...

Novak winning 3 slightly above Nadal winning 2 moderately above Fed winning 2 more titles and 85 plus percent
 
Federer, if he finds his ground game on HC like I expect him to. 2 titles will come. 85%, I don't know, but I doubt Djokovic wins 3 more masters series, or Nadal 2 more.
 
Federer: 2 more titles (Cincy/USO)
Djokovic: 2 more titles (Paris/WTF)
Nadal: 2 more titles (Canada, Asia)

Djokovic is in the mix, but loses Canada/Cincy/USO finals, and skips Asian tour.
 
I think Djokovic is most likely. The Wimbledon momentum will surely see him take one of the two titles on the US swing. I know it's no easy thing to win both the post US Open championships, but he did it last year (albeit with Andy MIA) and I'd make him favourite again this time around.

Whether he breaks his own record or not he's surely going to tie it at the very least, which would be quite something.
 
If Nadal defends a non-clay tournament for the first time in his life, I am going to bet on him to win his first WTF.

Djokovic and Federer have spent quite a lot of energy this year, kicking plenty of butt at every major; I expect them to do well at the USO but out of form by the year end. I expect Murray to continue to struggle, this is simply not his year.
 
Last edited:
McEnroeisanartist said:
Rank from first to last the most likely scenario for the Big 3 for rest of 2014?

Federer wins 2 more titles and ends 2014 with a winning percentage above 85% (This would be his 2nd Highest win/loss percentage since 2007. He is currently at 83%.)

Novak wins 3 more Masters Series tournaments. He becomes the first player to win 6 Masters Series tournaments in a year.

Nadal wins 2 more Masters Series tournaments. (He has only once in his career, 2013, won 2 Masters Series tournaments after Wimbledon)
Click to expand...

1) Surely Fed option is easiest, especially if you include WTF as well.

He has a good shot at Cinci and he can defo win Bercy indoors and WTF plus there is Asian swing after USO (although he might miss this) and some home tourney (Basel?), so decent chance.

2) Novak option, although winning Bercy after winning USO is unlikely because he would focus on WTF, so he needs to win Shanghai.

3) Nadal option. He is not playing well this year apart from RG, so winning 2 MS out of 3 available is big task. Anyway regardless of result of USO he would focus on WTF missing from his resume?
 
Could anyone give me Nadal's record post Wimby other than 2013? Normally he might only win 1 or 2 tournaments if any at all? Or is my memory wrong?
 
torpantennis said:
Federer: 2 more titles (Cincy/USO)
Djokovic: 2 more titles (Paris/WTF)
Nadal: 2 more titles (Canada, Asia)

Djokovic is in the mix, but loses Canada/Cincy/USO finals, and skips Asian tour.
Click to expand...

So Novak loses USO final and Fed wins it and then Fed looses WTF on his favourite surface plus Novak wins Bercy?

Possible, but strange sequence in view of their respective records, unless you factored in all this baby stuff effecting Djoko at USO etc.?
 
andrewski said:
So Novak loses USO final and Fed wins it and then Fed looses WTF on his favourite surface plus Novak wins Bercy?

Possible, but strange sequence in view of their respective records, unless you factored in all this baby stuff effecting Djoko at USO etc.?
Click to expand...

That, and then remember what happened to Murray after winning Wimby...
 
torpantennis said:
Federer: 2 more titles (Cincy/USO)
Djokovic: 2 more titles (Paris/WTF)
Nadal: 2 more titles (Canada, Asia)

Djokovic is in the mix, but loses Canada/Cincy/USO finals, and skips Asian tour.
Click to expand...

I like this scenario for Fed, but I lost faith in him after that Wimbledon loss. If he couldn't beat Djokovic on grass, after having an easy draw and being well rested for the final, then I don't know how he can beat him (or Nadal) in best of five (in other Majors). If he avoids them, he will probably win the title.
Otherwise, I don't see it.
 
Either people have gone crazy or don't realize how difficult the Fed number is.

Assuming Fed only plays Rogers, Cincy, USO, Shanghai, Basil, Paris, WTF (which is a good bet) that 85% number would actually be impossible to reach with just 2 titles. Thats right even reaching the finals of every other tournament including an undefeated run to the finals of the WTF, he would still wind up below 85%. So Fed would need to win 3 titles and reach the finals everywhere else at the minimum.

1) Novak option (he should grab a post-USO and a pre-USO, the 3rd will be the tough one)
2) Nadal option (never defended a non-clay title, never won shanghai or paris, would have to break the odds twice)
3) Fed option (the level of consistency needed to reach 85% makes this absolutely impossible)
 
andrewski said:
So Novak loses USO final and Fed wins it and then Fed looses WTF on his favourite surface plus Novak wins Bercy?

Possible, but strange sequence in view of their respective records, unless you factored in all this baby stuff effecting Djoko at USO etc.?
Click to expand...

Not that unlikely. Tennis results aren't as logical as you think.
 
Djokovic wins Cincy, USO and WTF, skips Asian swing (Beijing, Shanghai) and possibly Bercy due to birth of his child.

Federer wins Toronto, Bazel and possibly Shanghai.

Someone else - Wawrinka, Tsonga, Dimitrov, Nishikori... win Beijing, Bercy, Tokyo and possibly Shanghai.

Nadal wins nothing - sorry but just the way it is. He has never defended a title off clay and will not start doing that now at 28+, so no summer title for him. Also he was never really good indoors or late in the season, so no real chance to win anything there as well. His next title will probably be Vina Del Mar or Sao Paolo.
 
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