12/13 lendlray was legit before the back surgery.If Murray went 2-0 up in the 2012 F would you have same view?
2012: Unreturned Serve Percentage (44/101) 44%did you watch that match? Compare it 2014/2015. The dynamic when the ball is in play is completely different. 2012 fed the FH, speed,and game to dictate a lot of the rallies.. 14/15 was more like a servebot who relied on tricks and was mostly being run ragged from the back
Unreturned serve % in what matches?2012: Unreturned Serve Percentage (44/101) 44%
2014: Unreturned Serve Percentage (67/192) 35%
2015: Unreturned Serve Percentage (44/141) 31%
Clearly Fed was more Serve botting in 2012. do you know how easy it is to win if with an unreturned serve percentage of 44%?
He got a bagel for his effortsCongratulations to Nadal then i guess
Ah sorry to not be clear about that.Unreturned serve % in what matches?
Yes, let's ignore that Fed himself actually declined afterwards because it's all about Djokovic.Fed 2012 Wimbledon:
Unreturned Serve Percentage (44/101) 44%
Yes, if Federer serves in God mode he can beat djokovic. luckily, this God mode serving Federer can only show up every once in a while. If Fed has a normal serving day than it’s game over for Fed.
(And this only relates to pre-Prime djokovic: after Djokovic developed his serve even an insane serving Fed won’t beat djokovic).
2012: Unreturned Serve Percentage (44/101) 44%
2014: Unreturned Serve Percentage (67/192) 35%
2015: Unreturned Serve Percentage (44/141) 31%
Clearly Fed was more Serve botting in 2012. do you know how easy it is to win if with an unreturned serve percentage of 44%?
Slay bestieWhen Federer was at his very best on grass,
Nadal met him at Wimbledon in
1) 2006 Final
2) 2007 Final
3) 2008 Final
When Federer was past his prime on grass,
Djokovic met him at Wimbledon in
1) 2012 Semi
2) 2014 Final
3) 2015 Final
4) 2019 Final
That's why H2H is not an important metric to assess the achievements of a player.When Federer was at his very best on grass,
Nadal met him at Wimbledon in
1) 2006 Final
2) 2007 Final
3) 2008 Final
When Federer was past his prime on grass,
Djokovic met him at Wimbledon in
1) 2012 Semi
2) 2014 Final
3) 2015 Final
4) 2019 Final
It's a opinion but we don't have to believe Federer was getting better and didn't decline either.Again your eye test is the evidence here and everything according to that becomes obvious. I'm just challenging that view cause Sports isn't as easy as 1+1 equals 2. We need a bit of nuance.
Federer in the 2014 final as an example, was +41 in W/UE ratio, one of the highest he has posted in a Wimbledon final, if not the highest bar 2009 final I think. Higher than his 2007 final. Higher than 2006. Higher than 2005 etcetera. Yet you wanna claim to me he was "significantly worse" player as oppose to the player that faced Nadal without no evidence at all other than your subjective view. I don’t accept that and surely I will challenge the premise of this thread when it is made to view Djokovic as being a lucky player based on literally no evidence at all. This is the problem with trying to denigrate someones achievements and make it look like they should have less titles than what they have. Yet you expect everyone to bend over for your views.
Probably not because that would change the match dynamics and Fed earned the 2nd set with a magic game right at the end.If Murray went 2-0 up in the 2012 F would you have same view?
Nope.
2012: Percentage of 4+ Shot Rallies Won (43/85) 50.5%
2014: Percentage of 4+ Shot Rallies Won (67/144) 46.5%
2015: Percentage of 4+ Shot Rallies Won (56/113) 49.6%
2019: Percentage of 4+ Shot Rallies Won (82/177) 46.3%
Fed was outplaying Djokovic from the baseline in 2012, which did not happen in their other Wimbledon matches.
It is true that Fed was also serving outstandingly in 2012, but the unreturned serve percentage is a little misleading here: Djoker was making many odd, sometimes uncharacteristic errors off the Fed second serve in that match.
2014 Final is a better example of a serve botting match because Fed wasn't really having much success...other than having an amazing serving day.
Winning 44.1% of his second serves is one of his lowest in any Wimbledon match and for that matter winning 34.8% of the Djokovic second serve isn't much better.
Why didn't Nadal manage to face the "past prime" Federer as well and get more Wimbledon titles from 2012 to 2019?When Federer was at his very best on grass,
Nadal met him at Wimbledon in
1) 2006 Final
2) 2007 Final
3) 2008 Final
When Federer was past his prime on grass,
Djokovic met him at Wimbledon in
1) 2012 Semi
2) 2014 Final
3) 2015 Final
4) 2019 Final
It's a opinion but we don't have to believe Federer was getting better and didn't decline either.
@NoleFam :
from TA stats :
Wim 14 final :
Federer 1-3 shot rallies : 113
Djokovic : 109
Federer got 115 returns in play, 3 DFs for djoko --- out of 174
Djokovic got 120 returns in play, 5 DFs for federer --- out of 192
that means Djokovic had 46 serves unreturned
that means Federer had 67 serves unreturned
so 1-2 shots (taking DF as 1 shot, it should be 0 IMO) : Federer won : 67 unret. serves+3 DFS from djoko = 70
Djoko won : 46 unreturned serves+5 DFs from federer = 51
which means on the 3rd shot :
Djoko = 58
Federer = 43
so basically the federer return+FH (mostly) (throw in BH+SnV to an extent ) was considerably less effective than djokovic return+groundstrokes.
if fed's FH is anywhere near good, even with the djoko returning advantage of keeping it deep more, the 3rd shot should be close to even. it wasn't, because federer's FH lacked the pace.
so 3+ shot rallies in the match : Djoko won : 58 + 77 = 135 points
Federer won : 43+67 = 110 points
That's a gap of 25 points in shots that had atleast a return.
@NoleFam
2012 wimbledon semi :
1-3 shot rallies :
Federer : 71
Djokovic : 60
Federer had 42 unret. serves
Djokovic had 34 unret.serves
4 DFs for Djokovic
2 DFs for Federer
1-2 shots : Federer : 46
Djokovic : 36
3rd shot : Federer : 25
Djokovic : 24
about the same here.
4+ shot rallies from TA :
Federer : 43
Djokovic : 42
so 3+ shots :
Federer : 68
Djokovic : 66
about the same
http://www.tennisabstract.com/charting/20120706-M-Wimbledon-SF-Roger_Federer-Novak_Djokovic.html
----------
2015 Wim final :
Federer : 82
Djokovic : 91
Djokovic had 48 unret. serves
Federer had 44 unret. serves
1 DF for djokovic
3 DFs for federer
1-2 shots : Federer = 45
Djokovic : 51
which means 3rd shot :
Federer : 37
Djokovic : 40
not too big a difference here, unlike Wim 14 final.
3+ shots :
Federer : 93
Djokovic : 97
not too big a difference here, unlike Wim 14 final.
http://www.tennisabstract.com/charting/20150712-M-Wimbledon-F-Roger_Federer-Novak_Djokovic.html
If you believe Fed peaked in 2015, you can believe a great many things.How is this thread so long lol, OP’s post is pretty much inarguably true
Roger Federer won 11 slams before Nole won his first. His toughest competition then is no better than Novak's toughest competition since 2018. Both benefitted from weak era and Novak has more titles.
Not the same... In tennis once you reach the top you are supposed to be pushed by younger rivals with ATG potential. This has happened to Federer since 2005 plus Djokovic since 2011.
Djokovic barely had this type of competition in his career, only now with Alcaraz and Rune.
That's why H2H is not an important metric to assess the achievements of a player.
There are many factors that affect the H2H:
- Surface matters: players don't meet equally across surfaces
- Age matters: players don't have the same age when they meet
- Peak matters: players don't meet when they are both in their prime
- Format matters: Players don't meet equally across formats BO3 & BO5 - sprint vs marathon
- Draw matters: Players don’t get exactly the same draw difficulties. Some draws are tougher and a good player can lose early in a tournament and don’t get to meet the player they are compared to.
That’s why people like to breakdown the H2H into subsets:
- H2H during a specific year
- H2H during a specific decade
- H2H on a specific surface
- H2H is specific tournaments
- H2H in Grand Slams
- H2H in finals
- etc
And then post-prime Federer beat physiological peak Djokovic at Wimbledon in 2012.Nadal beat prime Fed at Wimbledon (65 match winning streak).
But then Djokovic beats prime Nadal at Wimbledon (20 match winning streak).
Therefore, by law of transitivity Djokovic beats prime Fed.
(And note 2011 djokovic wasn’t even peak Djokovic has his serve wasn’t the best)
Does clay not count?Federer last win against Novak in BO5 was in 2012, Nadal's last win against Novak outside clay was in 2013
GOATHOOD is an election where Stats are the votes you earn with hardwork on the field. Whoever has maximum votes (stats) is the winner of the election. Those who do accept the mandate dont matter, the mandate is passed nevertheless.
“Destroy Fed’s aura”Yes but he would be better at 3 of 4 slams. Nole is here to destroy Fed's aura. Whatever fed can do Novak can do.
It does but it only gives argument more for Rsfa to be greatest on clay, not overallDoes clay not count?
Barry Bonds and Floyd Mayweather and Bill Russell probably wish you were right.
How does it help Novak’s case to lose so often on a significant surface tho?It does but it only gives argument more for Rsfa to be greatest on clay, not overall
Where?How does it help Novak’s case to lose so often on a significant surface tho?
Mayweather is the GOAT, why else is the GOAT in his weight class ? Name someone if you can, if you cannot then dont ever take Mayweather's name.
Bonds and Russell played a team sport, so they have their own detractors but in a 1 on 1 sport there is no place to hide, here you are the sole owner of your failures as well as success
So here the man with the best number in an era is the winner and the other rivals are losers.... hate to use the word losers to guys who are equals in ability but it has to be used here, in sports there is only 1 winner and thats the man with most of the big records !
8-2 for Rafa at RG.Where?
Considering that all other players made 1 win combined it is good score.... From 18 slams matches 10 were on clay...8-2 for Rafa at RG.
More qualifiers .
People have been using the word goat to describe Jordan playing a team sport long before Novak won his first slam.
If you ask people who the goat of boxing is - most are probably going to say Ali - then maybe Joe Louis or Rocky Marciano. The average person is not going to say “what weight class”.
If we’re going to talk qualifiers - the truth is Novak never dominated Federer in Fed’s prime.
Beat a mid 30s Fed at SW19? Rafa was pushing him starting in 2006.
If anything - peak for peak - Rafa has a better claim to GOAThood than Novak.
01. Qualifiers ? ..... Tennis doesn't have HEIGHT CLASS, if 5'4 to 5'9, 5'0 to 6'0, 6'1 to 6'3 & 6'4+ were height classes then Laver, Borg, Djokovic & Safin would be the 4 GOATs, otherwise what is the guarantee a 5'10 guy can win 20+ slams today?
Your qualifier is not at all valid, even peak Federer never faced peak Novak, so that makes peak Fed's wins also questionable, by your own logic.... So no, your logic is not all valid
02. average person ? .... Avg people called Fed the goat in 2000s and even in 2010s but today in 2023 the avg person tilts towards Djokovic in a few surveys.....this is because of numbers..... avg people only see numbers, everybody likes the person ahead, nobody gives attention to beauty in a sports where gladiators collide to find out who is better..... Federer's goathood's prime foundation was numbers, the secondary foundation was his dominance.... the primary foundation has been broken.... so he is out.
03. Team Sports vs Individual sport is a very real thing, in individual sports the goathood is more clear, in a team sport it is just not clear.... nobody knows for sure whether messi is better than ronado or not... for all we know if their teams were swapped then messi would be without a world cup while ronaldo would be with a world cup....that would make ronaldo the goat.... the consensus ? ... So no.,..talk of individual sport only
'Mono' Federer will wipe the floor against peak Djokovic at Wimbledon.People make out Federer was at his very best in that 2008 Wimbledon final. He was pretty mediocre in it for 2 and bit sets.
I seen much better Federer performances than that at Wimbledon in his later years.
01. Qualifiers ? ..... Tennis doesn't have HEIGHT CLASS, if 5'4 to 5'9, 5'10 to 6'0, 6'1 to 6'3 & 6'4+ were height classes then Laver, Borg, Djokovic & Safin would be the 4 GOATs, otherwise what is the guarantee a 5'7 guy can win 20+ slams today? Your qualifier is not at all valid, even peak Federer never faced peak Novak, so that makes peak Fed's wins also questionable, by your own logic.... So no, your logic is not valid
02. average person ? .... Avg people called Fed the goat in 2000s and even in 2010s but today in 2023 the avg person tilts towards Djokovic in a few surveys.....this is because of numbers..... avg people only see numbers, everybody likes the person ahead, nobody gives attention to beauty in a sports where gladiators collide to find out who is better..... Federer's goathood's prime foundation was numbers, the secondary foundation was his dominance.... the primary foundation has been broken.... so he is out.
03. Team Sports vs Individual sport is a very real thing, in individual sports the goathood is more clear, in a team sport it is just not clear.... nobody knows for sure whether messi is better than ronado or not... for all we know if their teams were swapped then messi would be without a world cup while ronaldo would be with a world cup....that would make ronaldo the goat.... the consensus ? ... So no.,..talk of individual sport only
And Novak defeated him in 2010, 2011 and 2015....Despite the age Fed was still above all others on the tour.. Again you with RG11, what happened at AO11, US11, IW and Dubai 2011? WB12 was his last win against Novak at slams..Weak for the goat argument considering that he was competitive until 2019.. Rafa beat Fed in 2008 and it was close in 2007, not to mention that grass is his weakest surface, on the other side Fed wasn't even close at RG.. Fed in 2014, 2015 and 2019 lost 1, 1 and 3 sets total until he faced Novak in the final, so the age argument is invalid, Novak has raised the bar..Novak played Federer at the USO in 2007 and was very good, but lost. Lost in ‘08 and ‘09 as Roger moved away from his peak, but was still in prime years.
Post-prime Federer played peak Novak at RG in 2011 and won in 4. Beat Novak in 2012 in Wimbledon.
None of Novak’s Wimbledon matches with Fed were at Fed’s peak. It doesn’t mean they aren’t good wins, but it does mean he wasn’t able to meet him when Rafa was able and the closest we get is 2012 which wasn’t really that close.
And Fed dominated Novak when Nole was a kid just entering the tour.. Novak was 18 in 2005, even in 2009 he did defeated Fed in 3 from 5 matches H2H...Fed entered his prime in 2004 age 23, Novak entered his prime in 2011 age 24..Unlike Rafa, Novak had to wait till Fed got old to really dominate him.
Where was he with the domination from 2005-2012?
.
If anything - peak for peak - Rafa has a better claim to GOAThood than Novak.
Also - you wrote:
“avg people only see numbers, everybody likes the person ahead, nobody gives attention to beauty in a sports where gladiators collide to find out who is better..... Federer's goathood's prime foundation was numbers”
Opinions.
People don’t give attention to beauty in sports? What in the world? Maybe for a lot of Novak fans.
I don’t know how long you’ve been watching tennis, but people were talking about Federer as the GOAT long before he eclipsed Sampras.
Federer never faced peak Novak?
They both faced eachother in peak years.
Novak is YOUR goat. That’s fine.
He’s not mine nor a lot of other people.
Now if he’d dominated Fed in his best years ? That’s strong.
But he didn’t. Unlike Rafa, Novak had to wait till Fed got old to really dominate him.
Where was he with the domination from 2005-2012?
Does age matter now?
And Novak defeated him in 2010, 2011 and 2015....Despite the age Fed was still above all others on the tour.. Again you with RG11, what happened at AO11, US11, IW and Dubai 2011? WB12 was his last win against Novak at slams..Weak for the goat argument considering that he was competitive until 2019.. Rafa beat Fed in 2008 and it was close in 2007, not to mention that grass is his weakest surface, on the other side Fed wasn't even close at RG.. Fed in 2014, 2015 and 2019 lost 1, 1 and 3 sets total until he faced Novak in the final, so the age argument is invalid, Novak has raised the bar..
And Fed dominated Novak when Nole was a kid just entering the tour.. Novak was 18 in 2005, even in 2009 he did defeated Fed in 3 from 5 matches H2H...Fed entered his prime in 2004 age 23, Novak entered his prime in 2011 age 24..
Peak for Peak that means hypothetically ?
Sure, Nadal has the best argument over both Federer and Djokovic, even though I don't indulge in IFs and BUTs I must warn Fed Fans that if Peak for Peak is done, then Rafa emerges the GOAT, not your boy Federer.
Nadal is the only guy who is assured 14 slams on his resume in any era.... that means if all the ATGs of all eras are born together then Nadal still takes 14 french opens while Nole takes a lot of AOs, Federer is busy battling Pete for the Ws and USOs, so by your own logic Roger is no GOAT.
Luckily we don't see any peak for peak in real life, in real life we only see numbers and the winner is the greatest ..... Period!
In Sports "beauty" is irrelevant. If 2 boxers are boxing or 2 armwrestlers are wrestling then we wanna see who wins, not the one who is the most stylish.
I have been watching Tennis before Roger won his 1st slam and unlike you I was a Fed fan in 2000s his dominance (remem you once mentioned that you found 90s boring because Pete made it a bore, then you found 2000s bore because Federer made it a bore, in 2010s you started to support Federer more since you like old men battling young men, isn't it? You said this.... ) .... So unlike you I was a hardcore Fed fan for his dominance and I did not care for Pete in those days before the record itself, but then 2023 is not same as 2009, the greatness of Roger was established on numbers itself. When he lost to Nadal then we were still curious to see when he would win his 7th wimbledon, the win vs Roddick in 09 was still his 6th but we saw that he reached 15 and honestly we did not give a f**k for Pete because for Pete was always an old man from the day I started following Tennis, so no connect with him as such. But today over the years that followed I have seen Novak break record by record, he also made Fed choke on some occasions, so in my mind I see a worthy challenger emerge, so when this guy emerges ahead in records then I give him the consensus..... It is plain an simple.....
Even Novak faced Fed from 2006 untill 2009 and he was losing, sameway Fed faced Novak from 2014 onwards till 2020 and he was losing, so they have all faced each other when 1 was pre peak/post peak and other was at his peak.
2010-2012 is a overlap of peak vs peak or prime vs prime
Novak won their matches at USO2010, AO2011, USO2011, FO2012 while Federer won FO2011 and W2012
So that is 4-2 prime vs prime for Fedovic .....
The Tide shifted in 2022, this will only get much worse for Federer
Djokovic dominated the best Nadal there ever was, Nadal of 2011. And Djokovic dominated Federer since 2011.
Since 2011 when Nadal and Djokovic matured, in which period did Federer dominate? Never!!!