Nobody is backing FAA

nighthawkrr said:
If the forecast for rain holds FAA is probably the favorite on his side. That’s a factor that’s fascinating to me. He legit could win the FO because the roof closes just when the competition gets dangerous.
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I like the idea, but why does the rain help him?
 
helterskelter said:
On clay, no. I doubt he will even beat Table next up and I think Cobolli would be heavy favorite against him. The top half could yet end up with an all-Italian semi even despite Sinner and Darderi losing early and Musetti being injured.
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FAA is actually a slight favorite right now against Cobolli.
 
Asquared said:
Fair, and I realize that he doesn’t have the clay pedigree of Ruud, Zverev etc but I thought he was undervalued in the odds. At some point I might take my position off the table but I think he’s got some more rounds in him.
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It's not fair at all. FAA is slightly favored over Cobolli as of right now.
 
manley0702 said:
It's not fair at all. FAA is slightly favored over Cobolli as of right now.
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What site are you using? Oddschecker has them both at 5/6 (e.g. has it 50-50) although it only has two bookies with odds on the QF up yet. But in its list of odds for the title, most still have Cobolli slightly ahead of FAA. Cobolli has been the bookies' favorite to make the final from the top half since at least Saturday.
 
helterskelter said:
What site are you using? Oddschecker has them both at 5/6 (e.g. has it 50-50) although it only has two bookies with odds on the QF up yet. But in its list of odds for the title, most still have Cobolli slightly ahead of FAA. Cobolli has been the bookies' favorite to make the final from the top half since at least Saturday.
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It was 54%/46% on Kalshi. It's flipped in the last 10 minutes though, and Cobolli is now favored. Either way, it's going to be a close line so acting like Cobolli is a "huge favorite" is an exaggeration.
 
manley0702 said:
It was 54%/46% on Kalshi. It's flipped in the last 10 minutes though, and Cobolli is now favored. Either way, it's going to be a close line so acting like Cobolli is a "huge favorite" is an exaggeration.
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It was an exaggeration, in retrospect. To be clear, though: I didn't mean "I think the bookies will have Cobolli as heavy favorite" but "I would have him as heavy favorite." I was impressed with FAA today, though, so I agree it could go either way.
 
Aabye5 said:
I like the idea, but why does the rain help him?
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He has a great indoor record, has won more matches indoors than any other player on tour in the last 5 years(granted a lot at 250 level)

FAA has been one the most ragged on players here over the years(started 0-8 in finals), so this would be quite a story. same time last year 95% of this board laughed at the idea of him ever being in a major final. Really turned his career around at USO.
 
helterskelter said:
On clay, no. I doubt he will even beat Table next up and I think Cobolli would be heavy favorite against him. The top half could yet end up with an all-Italian semi even despite Sinner and Darderi losing early and Musetti being injured.
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He beat Tabilo...let's see how does against Cobolli. Cobolli leads their h2h 2-0 for a reason, but one of those matches was quite close.
 
Moose Malloy said:
He has a great indoor record, has won more matches indoors than any other player on tour in the last 5 years(granted a lot at 250 level)

FAA has been one the most ragged on players here over the years(started 0-8 in finals), so this would be quite a story. same time last year 95% of this board laughed at the idea of him ever being in a major final. Really turned his career around at USO.
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Does indoor clay count? I ask because I thought there were complaints about the wind being more of an issue on PC with the roof closed.
 
Moose Malloy said:
He has a great indoor record, has won more matches indoors than any other player on tour in the last 5 years(granted a lot at 250 level)

FAA has been one the most ragged on players here over the years(started 0-8 in finals), so this would be quite a story. same time last year 95% of this board laughed at the idea of him ever being in a major final. Really turned his career around at USO.
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I saw him cook Zverev and he finally had the adult mind look to him.
 
Moose Malloy said:
He has a great indoor record, has won more matches indoors than any other player on tour in the last 5 years(granted a lot at 250 level)

FAA has been one the most ragged on players here over the years(started 0-8 in finals), so this would be quite a story. same time last year 95% of this board laughed at the idea of him ever being in a major final. Really turned his career around at USO.
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In the 16 slams since he took Nadal to five sets in R4 of RG 2022, he's lost in either R1 or R2 11 times. Until last year's US Open, he was on a run of five slams in a row failing to make it out of the first two rounds. (The five exceptions are: SF at US Open 2025, QF or better at Roland Garros 2026, R4 at Australian Open 2023 and Roland Garros 2024, R3 at Australian Open 2024). He's won just one match in the last four Wimbledons combined.

He's in good company with that string of early round losses, though: Medvedev has lost in R1 of four of the six most recent slams, and in R2 of one of the other two, while Tsitsipas is now on a run of eight slams in a row in which he's failed to get past R2. Then again, Tsitsipas is ranked #79, so even reaching R2 outperforms his ranking!
 
ibbi said:
All of the guys left are so fragile, yet so many of them have so much potential, honestly, anything could happen. I am thinking of Felix's performance against Zverev in New York last year where his forehand just exploded to life. Why not, right?

Him and Cobolli, if they both get there, could be a good one.
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Who do you have in this match?
 
helterskelter said:
In the 16 slams since he took Nadal to five sets in R4 of RG 2022, he's lost in either R1 or R2 11 times. Until last year's US Open, he was on a run of five slams in a row failing to make it out of the first two rounds. (The five exceptions are: SF at US Open 2025, QF or better at Roland Garros 2026, R4 at Australian Open 2023 and Roland Garros 2024, R3 at Australian Open 2024). He's won just one match in the last four Wimbledons combined.

He's in good company with that string of early round losses, though: Medvedev has lost in R1 of four of the six most recent slams, and in R2 of one of the other two, while Tsitsipas is now on a run of eight slams in a row in which he's failed to get past R2. Then again, Tsitsipas is ranked #79, so even reaching R2 outperforms his ranking!
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He dealt with some injuries and some tough draws (think Cressy at Wimbledon) during that time. His knee was out of commission for almost a year, I think.
 
I mentioned earlier, he normally plays very defensive percentage point construction, but from what I watched of this FO though, he had been more offensive and it had been paying off for sure. Actually watched the start of today's match and again he was ending points with better offense, so I tuned out with him up 6/4 3/1. Gotta watch and see what happened. Can't imagine he go gassed, so maybe Cobolli went on a tear. Think it was FSS's to win or lose though.
 
ChaelAZ said:
I mentioned earlier, he normally plays very defensive percentage point construction, but from what I watched of this FO though, he had been more offensive and it had been paying off for sure. Actually watched the start of today's match and again he was ending points with better offense, so I tuned out with him up 6/4 3/1. Gotta watch and see what happened. Can't imagine he go gassed, so maybe Cobolli went on a tear. Think it was FSS's to win or lose though
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Didn’t get to see it but ah well. Felix had a good run and I had fun rooting for him.
 
darthrafa said:
shxt era player fell down as expected
though the next gen of fonz and mensik looks brighter
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This was his once-in-a-lifetime opportunity to shine with Sinner and Alcaraz out.
He was the highest seeded player remaining in his draw. He was much in the same position as Zed. A clear path to the Final.
But he underperforms yet again by losing easily to Cobolli.
Don't know how anybody can possibly be a fan of this mug.
:(
 
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