Nole and Rafa

GabeT

G.O.A.T.
I am not fond of GOAT discussions, they can be fun but ultimately pointless. But of course we will have a new round of them now that Wimbledon is over.

To me the comparison that is interesting and actually useful is between Nole and Rafa, since they are roughly the same age and their careers overlap heavily. Also they both have very distinct career accomplishments.

As of today Nole beats Rafa in two of the four Slams, but Nadal still has more Slam wins in total. To some extent this highlights the growing importance of the FO, a single tournament, when measuring Nadal's accomplishments. It is perfectly possible that Nole will end with less Slam wins than Nadal but beating him in three of the four Slams.

Nole trails in the H2H but that's a useless metric, since the worse Nadal plays the less likely they will meet. Anyone doubt Nole would have beaten Nadal in the AO or Wimbledon this year?

Nole trails in M1000s but for how long? That could change this year or early next. And Nole has more WTFs of course.

As a consequence of all this Nole beats Nadal at weeks at number 1 and by December will beat Nadal at YE1 according to the ATP. He already beats Nadal as year end champion according to the ITF.

We can actually talk of a Nole era, a multi year span where Nole dominated. Nadal doesn't have that. The closest was 2010-2011 but Nole stopped him.

When you add it all up for me Nole looks like the one that will end with the better tennis career.

My two cents, of course.
 
Last edited:
Very good points Gabe.

But he should not feel pressure or expectations to surpass Rafa. What he already has done is simply amazing and our people can't be more proud of him.

Three Wimbledon titles, holy crap.
 
Your post brings up something I've been thinking about.

If Novak -

Wins a career slam (good chance)
Leads the H2H vs Nadal (good chance if they meet a lot now)
Wins more masters (good chance)
Leads Nadal at 3 of the 4 slams (Needs 2 US Opens so possible)

and he already has more weeks at number 1
more yar end number 1
More WTF titles (Nadal with none at the moment)
Higher winning percentage at 3 of the slams
More matches won at 3 of the slams
More matches won at slams overall




Then, how many slams can he trail Nadal by before having a genuine claim to being greater? many people claim nadal is greater than Federer despite having 3 less slams. So If Djokovic can get to 11 slams and achieve all of the above will those people admit Djokovic is better than Nadal? But then Nadal wold be better than Fed, Nvak better than Nadal. Thus Novak better then Federer with 11 slams to fed's 17. 6 Less. Does that even make sense?
 
Your post brings up something I've been thinking about.

If Novak -

Wins a career slam (good chance)
Leads the H2H vs Nadal (good chance if they meet a lot now)
Wins more masters (good chance)
Leads Nadal at 3 of the 4 slams (Needs 2 US Opens so possible

and he already has more weeks at number 1
more yar end number 1
More WTF titles (Nadal with none at the moment)
Higher winning percentage at 3 of the slams


Not sure if he can have more slam matches won etc..


Then, how many slams can he trail Nadal by before having a genuine claim to being greater? many people claim nadal is greater than Federer despite having 3 less slams. So If Djokovic can get to 11 slams and achieve all of the above will those people admit Djokovic is better than Nadal? But then Nadal wold be better than Fed, Nvak better than Nadal. Thus Novak better then Federer with 11 slams to fed's 17. 6 Less. Does that even make sense?

Well, I'm part of the camp that says Slams are important but are not the whole story. So I agree with you.

I suspect, though, that for many others until Nole has 15 Slams Nadal will remain in the lead.
 
Well, I'm part of the camp that says Slams are important but are not the whole story. So I agree with you.

I suspect, though, that for many others until Nole has 15 Slams Nadal will remain in the lead.

yeah I pretty much agree, because as I'm pointing out when you start saying certain other things outweigh 3 or 4 slams then it gets complicated.Slams are not the whole story but I'd say Nadal would have to get to at least 16 to have a claim over Federer and he still has plenty of other records. I think Djokovic has a chance to overtake Nadal and perhaps everyone in a lot more things (year end number one record could be possible or to at least tie Sampras, WTF titles, masters titles) but would still say he probably has to get to within one or 2 at least
 
Well, I'm part of the camp that says Slams are important but are not the whole story. So I agree with you.

I suspect, though, that for many others until Nole has 15 Slams Nadal will remain in the lead.

IMO Nadal needs 18 slams to eclipse Federer.

Djokovic needs 15 slams to eclipse Nadal.
 
Djokovic is about half as good as Rafa so far.
Rafa has 14 slams, Djokovic only 9.
Rafa has more US Opens and more French Opens than Djokovic.
And Rafa has the Career Grand Slam.
Very lopsided, and always will be as its too late for Djokovic to do anything significant to close that gap.
And now we head to the American summer, where Rafa is currently on a 17 match winning streak, while Djokovic lost to Nishikori most recently.
 
Your post brings up something I've been thinking about.

If Novak -

Wins a career slam (good chance)
Leads the H2H vs Nadal (good chance if they meet a lot now)
Wins more masters (good chance)
Leads Nadal at 3 of the 4 slams (Needs 2 US Opens so possible)

and he already has more weeks at number 1
more yar end number 1
More WTF titles (Nadal with none at the moment)
Higher winning percentage at 3 of the slams
More matches won at 3 of the slams
More matches won at slams overall




Then, how many slams can he trail Nadal by before having a genuine claim to being greater? many people claim nadal is greater than Federer despite having 3 less slams. So If Djokovic can get to 11 slams and achieve all of the above will those people admit Djokovic is better than Nadal? But then Nadal wold be better than Fed, Nvak better than Nadal. Thus Novak better then Federer with 11 slams to fed's 17. 6 Less. Does that even make sense?

Yes, it all makes sense. :) Djokovic is making a serious mark now. This year he is all but assured the year end number one ranking. He's going to take away Rafa's Masters series record, that is plain to see. He will also take the lead in the H2H, because there is no court now that Djokovic can't or hasn't beaten Rafa in. A crazy time in the sport. Rafa challenging for Roger's place now has to worry about his own place also.
 
Hasn't Novak finished a year at #1 3 times already?

He is going to finish this year as #1.

If he does 2 more times he will tie open era record.
 
Hasn't Novak finished a year at #1 3 times already?

He is going to finish this year as #1.

If he does 2 more times he will tie open era record.
Right.

By the ATP count both Nole and Rafa have 3 YE1, and Nole will beat that this year when. He gets his fourth ATP YE1.

According to the ITF though Nole is already ahead of Rafa in YE1, beating him 4-2. The ITF considered Nole the best player of 2013 but on ATP points Nadal was the best that year.
 
Right.

By the ATP count both Nole and Rafa have 3 YE1, and Nole will beat that this year when. He gets his fourth ATP YE1.

According to the ITF though Nole is already ahead of Rafa in YE1, beating him 4-2. The ITF considered Nole the best player of 2013 but on ATP points Nadal was the best that year.

If he does achieve ATP #1 5th or more year, that is serious mark.

Hope Nadal recover forms and make it more competitive.
 
Back
Top