threehandedbackhand
Legend
In the Vegas market Djokovic is the main favourite, however his chances are clearly below 50%.
Odds To Win Men's Australian Open 2023
- Thread starter threehandedbackhand
- Start date
sometennisdot
Semi-Pro
Should be 1.20
tennis_pro
Bionic Poster
Djokovic will be motivated as hell to win this.
Rafa4LifeEver
Legend
That's toohhigh
DSH
G.O.A.T.
threehandedbackhand
Legend
Lower odds value means higher chances.
Assuming zero bookie margin it's like that:
1.00 means 100% (certainty)
1.11 means 90%
1.25 means 80%
1.33 means 75%
1.50 means 67%
1.67 means 60%
2.00 means 50% (coin flip probability)
2.50 means 40%
3.00 means 33%
4.00 means 25%
5.00 means 20%
10.00 means 10%
and so on.
Last edited:
thepaint19
Hall of Fame
Djokovic looks exhausted after playing long rallies at the ATP Finals. I doubt he has the physicality to win the AO anymore.
Nadal and Alcaraz are the most likely winners of AO 2023.
Nadal and Alcaraz are the most likely winners of AO 2023.
DSH
G.O.A.T.
He is already very old and his magic potion Lobo de Amor will not always save him from the debacle.
2023 looks very interesting now.
Rafa4LifeEver
Legend
bertrevert
Legend
Who cares?
The bookies care, rhe betting companies care, the computing services behind the software bet markets are at work on it, making adjjustments, the phone apps offer the AO options below the current tournaments, the question is bettable now. Big tournaments become a thing way before TTW boards get around to discussion. And far more money flows through on the question than a Warehouse gets to handle.
The bookies care, rhe betting companies care, the computing services behind the software bet markets are at work on it, making adjjustments, the phone apps offer the AO options below the current tournaments, the question is bettable now. Big tournaments become a thing way before TTW boards get around to discussion. And far more money flows through on the question than a Warehouse gets to handle.
Baseline_Bungle
Hall of Fame
Dan Andrews will probably personally spray Nole with covid, just to keep the criminal design and narrative going.
I would generally agree with this.In the Vegas market Djokovic is the main favourite, however his chances are clearly below 50%.
Of the available candidates to win, Djokovic is clearly the most likely.
But Djokovic not winning is very possible. There's a lot of contenders at hard court slams these days and usually most players are at their fittest and sharpest for the AO.
Halba
Hall of Fame
Going to be Djokovic if hes fit. I don't see anyone testing him, he's practically unbeatable on AO surface. Only guys like thiem, zverev, Wawrinka and Murray have tested him in the past decade, but unable to beat him(except for Wawrinka). There are no such players in the draw, zverev is down with covid and injured. Wawrinka is done, as is thiem and Murray.
Rosstour
G.O.A.T.
Yup
I've said many times that the natural surfaces will be Djok/Dal's last strongholds for years, but their reign on HC Slams could be over already.
Beacon Hill
Hall of Fame
Grass may be the most likely because the good young players don't know how to play on it. Clay may now be too physical for them.
Rosstour
G.O.A.T.
Both natural surfaces introduce unpredictability, and they are both masters of adaptation.
When the young guns can just wind up and crank 100mph shots on hard courts, gonna be harder
Beacon Hill
Hall of Fame
Agreed. There is a chance of a loss to someone swinging for the fences and connecting that day. I believe the more likely threat, however, is a loss of form after having to play long matches against fit, consistent capable players right from the early rounds. Djokovic and Nadal will fare better if their draws have several players like Isner, Cressy and Bublik than players like Sinner, Paul, Rune et al. That both veterans have improved their serves late in their career will help, but might not be enough.
Halba
Hall of Fame
Djokos natural surface is AO. In his last outing, he utterly dominated Medvedev. There's no sign that he will lose to anyone. Turin Indoors, not his preferred surface. Djokovic started out as a hard court specialist who then adapted to grass and clay courts., With grass being far more successful, grass courts became like hard courts in terms of style during the 2010s
Halba
Hall of Fame
Sinners average now. Just got injured recently, those decline a player in my view, he struggled.
Rosstour
G.O.A.T.
Not his preferred surface?
Might want to see whose idea it was to move the WTF from London to Turin.
Halba
Hall of Fame
He was better In London. See victories over Federer, Nadal during his prime.
Rosstour
G.O.A.T.
Maybe so, but I just found the statement "not his preferred surface" funny, when it was Djok's decision to move from O2 to Turin
Halba
Hall of Fame
Not sure the history, but the surface doesn't quite suit his game, he was tested in every match. The AO one suits his game perfectly.
Rosstour
G.O.A.T.
Maybe. But let's remember it's been 2 years since he played the event, and The Field are better now. I'm as tired of "Another win for Milos" as anyone else, but I also am not in a rush to hand him the trophy with what we've seen from Rune & 'Raz this year, not to mention he's probably declined a bit in two years.
Beacon Hill
Hall of Fame
It will be interesting to see. At his peak this year, he was very good. Also my point about Djokovic and Nadal is that they could beat anyone, but depending on their draws, they will have difficulty playing seven matches in a row if a few of them are very physical.
EpitomeOfAwesome
Semi-Pro
Djokovic will win the Oscar Award again at the Australian Open.
Nostradamus
Bionic Poster
i think FAA now became favorite.In the Vegas market Djokovic is the main favourite, however his chances are clearly below 50%.
Halba
Hall of Fame
Nadal? He's definitely done outside clay events.
Beacon Hill
Hall of Fame
Depending on the draw, I think he's also done at the French. He'll have to hope to face a weak wildcard then Isner, Cressy, and Bublik. I don't think he can play several 4+ hour matches anymore. Maybe grass is now best for his body, but I don't think he can win Wimbledon either.
Halba
Hall of Fame
i think he might still have 1 RG, but i mean definitely done outside of RG.
Halba
Hall of Fame
Field is still average as seen from the WTF. Yes rune and alcaraz are there, but alcaraz is having another injury, and Rune hasnt done anything at the AO
Zverev, just coming back from injury. His only real rivals will be Medvedev , Alcaraz if fit, and nadal.
Walrus Gumball
New User
Walrus Gumball
New User
It will be interesting to see Nick's 2023 fitness level, that will tell us a lot.
Walrus Gumball
New User
Last year, Rafa won the AO and got to the semis of Wimbledon.
nba.nfl.man
Rookie
Kyrgios under nadal is just disrespectful
His form since ? In uso was beaten by tiafoe a clown. Then all losses after except Ruud match.
Not Nadal. His form has been dire since Wimbledon. Fritz has to be listed as does FAA who are much younger than Djokovic and reasonable players. Both beat Nadal at the WTF and are arguably in better form. FAA beat Djokovic recently in laver cup, and fritz gave Djokovic a very tough match at the WTF
rainingaces
Legend
I'll take some big chunky odds on Thiem and Zverev hoping they get fit in the off season.
Rooting for Novak.
Rooting for Novak.
clayqueen
Talk Tennis Guru
Chanwan
G.O.A.T.
Djokovic was damaged by his own decisions, end off
DSH
G.O.A.T.
Larry Duff
Legend
What a mug
Bubcay
Legend
I know who will not win it...
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Reilly Opelka out of Australian Open due to injuries
By AP16:15
Australian Open officials say Reilly Opelka has withdrawn from the first Grand Slam tennis tournament of the year.
Although no reason was given for the withdrawal on Wednesday, the 25-year-old American has been troubled by hip and ankle injuries over the last half of 2022.
Opelka has not played a match since his loss to Nick Kyrgios at the 2022 Citi Open in Washington in August.
The beneficiary of Opelka's withdrawal is Zhang Zhizhen, who will appear in his third main singles draw at a Grand Slam tournament beginning January 16 at Melbourne Park.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Reilly Opelka out of Australian Open due to injuries
By AP16:15
Australian Open officials say Reilly Opelka has withdrawn from the first Grand Slam tennis tournament of the year.
Although no reason was given for the withdrawal on Wednesday, the 25-year-old American has been troubled by hip and ankle injuries over the last half of 2022.
Opelka has not played a match since his loss to Nick Kyrgios at the 2022 Citi Open in Washington in August.
The beneficiary of Opelka's withdrawal is Zhang Zhizhen, who will appear in his third main singles draw at a Grand Slam tournament beginning January 16 at Melbourne Park.
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