Opelka to win Wimbledon 2019?

Will Opelka lose a set at WB 2019?

  • No

    Votes: 7 25.9%
  • No and neither his Service Game

    Votes: 22 81.5%

  • Total voters
    27
#58
Funny how Opelka is basically an Isner clone but some people seem to think he will have a more succesful career, I don't get the hype.
 

bjk

Hall of Fame
#60
Isner was still in college at Opelka's age. Isner didn't win his first title until he was 25. RO is 21. He's far ahead of Isner.
 
#67
bit of a stretch, no pun intended. however gotta give him props, he’s playing well and seems to have a...return, which is promising. won a 6-0 set against sandgren, who has a pretty good delivery. and for a giant at least he moves...well? let’s see how he does next couple weeks.
 
#71
Saw Opelka in the NY Open final. While I don't think he's a servebot (he can move), he doesn't leave the baseline and makes a lot of bad contact on his strokes. If he had a normal serve he wouldn't be in the Top 100. If he can diversify his ground game as well as Isner did, then he'll be better than Isner because of the better mobility.
 
#75
Saw Opelka in the NY Open final. While I don't think he's a servebot (he can move), he doesn't leave the baseline and makes a lot of bad contact on his strokes. If he had a normal serve he wouldn't be in the Top 100. If he can diversify his ground game as well as Isner did, then he'll be better than Isner because of the better mobility.
He's already beaten Isner twice this year in all tie break matches. Opelka's ranking might be lower but he seems to be playing as well as him.
 
#76
I'd say let him get into double digits in terms of percentage of return games won, before we proclaim him the favorite anywhere
He's at 9, 9 and 7 (2019) percent return games won in the last 3 years in his ATP matches. And his TB record is 19-20, so it's not like he's winning every single TB either.

All that said, nice troll thread OP ;-)
This is gonna be the first full season for Opelka on the main Tour. I think it's reasonable he'll develop and get better. That being said, he will also start running into better opponents more frequently, and I'm pretty sure Del Potro tonight is the first top 10 opponent other than Isner.

He'll never get close to 20% return games won (I hope), but going something like 92%/12% would already put him comfortably ahead of Isner I think. Also, his TB% should increase as his %points won increases.
 

bjk

Hall of Fame
#78
Opelka is already at 95% hold percentage. He's holding at 95% in 2019. That includes his incredible run at NYO but still, he's already there. His break % is just 7% but it was 9% last year and he can probably bump it up to 10-12%. He's going to be unbeatable. His backhand is already better than Isner and he's going to reach the point where there is no safe side. He was hitting DTL backhand winners repeatedly in his matches in NY.
 

bjk

Hall of Fame
#79
Isner managed 11% break at his peak, Opelka should do a little better. Isner started out at 67% first serve percentage, got it up to 71%. Opelka is at 67%, he can probably get it up to 71% also.
 

bjk

Hall of Fame
#81
The difference between Young Opelka and Young Isner is that Opelka's serve is a little worse (61% first serve vs. Isner at 67%) but his second serve is much better (57% vs 51%), suggesting that Opelka is much better after the serve. If Opelka can maintain the higher 1st serve % he showed in NY, combined with his better performance on 2nd serves, he will soon surpass Young Isner and current Isner.
 

IowaGuy

Hall of Fame
#87
Del Porto showing him how a big man is supposed to play right now
And DelPo not exactly the best returner on the tour.

I think the stud top-20 returners will put Opelka in his place (hopefully).

Basically, if you can neutralize his serve with a block return (like DelPo did), you can have the advantage in the ensuing rally from the baseline...
 
#88
And DelPo not exactly the best returner on the tour.

I think the stud top-20 returners will put Opelka in his place (hopefully).

Basically, if you can neutralize his serve with a block return (like DelPo did), you can have the advantage in the ensuing rally from the baseline...
Reilly the Smiley has yet to beat a player of Del Possums calibre and has little to no experience playing them. Before this season most of his matches were on the challenger circuit. Was asking alot for him to win this one.

He'll learn to get wins over them.
 

IowaGuy

Hall of Fame
#89
Reilly the Smiley has yet to beat a player of Del Possums calibre and has little to no experience playing them. Before this season most of his matches were on the challenger circuit. Was asking alot for him to win this one.

He'll learn to get wins over them.
Opelka only won 38% of his 2nd serve points against DelPo.

Given Opelka's lack of mobility, I can't see that number improving much against other top-20 opponents who return well such as Djok, Rafa, Zverev, Thiem, Nishikori, Khak, Tsit, Medvedev, RBA, Schwartzman, etc...

Basically if they can block back his 2nd serve deep in the court, they have the advantage in the point...
 
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