NonP
Legend
@Razer did something similar the other day, but my last post got moi digging more deeply into how the (post-Aussies) OE ATGs did against every Slam champion. And my focus is narrower as I say it should be, looking at only those years when they were legit Slam contenders.
Of course that last Q is a never-ending subject of debate, so let's cut out the BS and agree on this strict definition: the ATG was a serious Slam prospect in the years he actually won and every year in between. So Pistol's collective H2H vs. fellow Slammers from '90 to '02 includes all his matches vs. Lendl, Gomez, Edberg, Becker, Courier, Stich, Agassi, Bruguera, Muster, Kafelnikov, Krajicek, Kuerten, Rafter, Korda, Moya, Safin, Ivanisevic, Hewitt, T. Johansson (more on him below) and A. Costa. Pretty simple, no?
Except things get trickier as you go further back cuz the AO and even RG in some years didn't host a full field of contenders, so I'm gonna take some liberties here and substitute these "majors" (not necessarily full equivalents, FYI) for Borg's '74-81 stretch: the ATP YEC/WCT Finals and Philadelphia in '74-78 save the '77-78 WCT editions (scroll down). So Borg's own overall Slam H2H covers his career battles with Laver, Newcombe, Connors, Vilas, Riessen, Ashe, Orantes, Nastase, Panatta, Stockton, McEnroe and Lendl... except the inclusion of Riessen ad Stockton may understandably raise some eyebrows.
That means we need to add another criterion: the opponent must have reached at least 1 F and 2 more SFs/4 extra QFs at another official de facto major, as the standard 128-player draw makes fluke Ws that much more unlikely. So Riessen and Stockton are excluded from Borg's collective H2H vs. Slam champs, so are ToJo and Gaudio from Pistol's and Fraud's respectively. But Noah and (just barely) Costa get in thanks to their 1 other SF and 8/3 extra QFs.
Speaking of who, I actually think my original Big 3 overview was good enough but since, again, I'd like to keep the same criteria for everyone I've removed Fraud's matches vs. Thiem/DMed/Alcaraz (and Gaudio) and Bull/Djoker's vs. Dre/JCF/A-Rod/Gaston plus Marat for Novak. I know some of you Feddies will come back and say Djoker's matches vs. Roddick should definitely count, but I wanna keep this this streamlined so that's why I excluded them. If you'd like to redo it with criteria of your own, feel free.
Now without further ado, here are the GOATs' records vs. fellow Slammers (again with said exceptions) with yearly ranges in parentheses and vs. the top 10 in all career matches:
Borg (1974-81) - 64.4% (94-52), 71.1% (113-46)
Sampras (1990-2002) - 65.2% (146-78), 63.6% (124-71)
Federer (2003-18) - 64.6% (153-84), 64.6% (224-123)
Nadal (2005-22) - 63.5% (125-72), 64.6% (186-102)
Djokovic (2008-23) - 64.3% (157-87), 69.5% (251-110)
Borg's 71.1% vs. the top 10 is admittedly is skewed by his premature retirement, but then his 64.4% came mostly against fellow legends so the two even themselves out. The bottom line is that Ice-Borg was GOATy AF.
Let's move on to Jimmy/John/Ivan/Andre's numbers, with the above caveats for Jimbo (so his Slamming opponents include Wilander and Noah on top of Borg's) and counting AO champs starting in '83 (and, though they don't affect the H2Hs themselves, also YEC winners till '89 as the ATP Tour as we know it today began in '90):
Connors (1974-83) - 53.7% (110-95), 53.8% (127-109)
McEnroe (1978-84) - 52.5% (53-48), 57.7% (128-94)
Lendl - (1981-90) - 59.8% (125-84), 64.3% (166-92)
Agassi (1992-2003) - 57.8% (111-81), 54.8% (109-90)
As expected Mac's and Ivan's %s are kept down by the mighty fierce competition of that Golden Era of Tennis (and, in Mac's case, relatively brief reign at or near the top), though Lendl's record vs. Slammers is still pretty damn impressive. So is Dre's, BTW, though his % is somewhat inflated by the exclusion of older top dogs like Lendl and Gomez. OTOH Jimbo was apparently steady throughout his long career, LOL.
On to Mats/Stefan/Boris' own %s:
Wilander (1982-88) - 47.3% (43-48), 48.1% (62-67)
Edberg (1985-92) - 45.8% (76-90), 46.2% (98-114)
Becker (1985-96) - 58.8% (90-63), 65.1% (121-65)
It's eerie how similar these ATGs' win %s vs. Slammers and vs. the top 10 are to each other, or indeed how revealing the former %s are. Of course there are a few notable exceptions, which along with the overall picture tell us:
Now for the grown-ups who wish to learn more about tennis history:
The early WCT Fs (and Philly) merit consideration because except in '77 the ATP YEC was missing either Connors or Borg until '79. Here's the ATP ranking (in parentheses) of every WCT Fs participant in 1974-81, sorted by seeding (#3-8 for the '80/81 editions are ordered by their ATP rankings):
-1974-
1. Laver (6)
2. Borg (11)
3. Năstase (1)
4. Newcombe (2)
5. Okker (3)
6. Kodeš (8)
7. Ashe (5)
8. Smith (7)
-1975-
1. Ashe (8)
2. Solomon (15)
3. Borg (5)
4. Tanner (14)
5. Alexander (13)
6. Ramirez (16)
7. Laver (6)
8. Cox, Mark (25)
-1976-
1. Ashe (3)
2. Vilas (4)
3. Borg (2)
4. Ramirez (7)
5. Stockton (27)
6. Dibbs (11)
7. Solomon (13)
8. Lutz (18)
-1977-
1. Connors (1)
2. Stockton (12)
3. Năstase (4)
4. Fibak (14)
5. Gerulaitis (13)
6. Dibbs (8)
7. Panatta (11)
8. Drysdale (24)
-1978-
1. Borg (2)
2. Gottfried (5)
3. Gerulaitis (4)
4. Năstase (13)
5. Dibbs (6)
6. Ramirez (8)
7. Barazzutti (9)
8. Stockton (15)
-1979-
1. Connors (2)
2. Borg (1)
3. McEnroe (3)
4. Gottfried (10)
5. Gerulaitis (5)
6. Alexander (15)
7. Mayer, Gene (25)
8. Masters (48)
-1980-
1. McEnroe (2)
2. Connors (3)
3. Lendl (13)
4. Sadri (21)
5. Scanlon (25)
6. Gunthardt (32)
7. Kriek (33)
8. Amritraj (34)
-1981-
1. McEnroe (2)
2. Tanner (8)
3. Fibak (12)
4. Gottfried (14)
5. Kriek (16)
6. Amritraj (27)
7. Giammalva Jr. (30)
8. Mayer, Sandy (35)
You can see the tournament gradually taking a back seat to its ATP counterpart. So the good ol' @SgtJohn's exclusion of the '77-78 WCT Fs from his weighted Slam tallies seems about right to moi (I'd probably omit '76 myself but that's not relevant here as Borg himself won it), especially considering the tourney's limited 8-man draw (unlike Philly) and its knockout format (unlike the ATP YEC).
Of course that last Q is a never-ending subject of debate, so let's cut out the BS and agree on this strict definition: the ATG was a serious Slam prospect in the years he actually won and every year in between. So Pistol's collective H2H vs. fellow Slammers from '90 to '02 includes all his matches vs. Lendl, Gomez, Edberg, Becker, Courier, Stich, Agassi, Bruguera, Muster, Kafelnikov, Krajicek, Kuerten, Rafter, Korda, Moya, Safin, Ivanisevic, Hewitt, T. Johansson (more on him below) and A. Costa. Pretty simple, no?
Except things get trickier as you go further back cuz the AO and even RG in some years didn't host a full field of contenders, so I'm gonna take some liberties here and substitute these "majors" (not necessarily full equivalents, FYI) for Borg's '74-81 stretch: the ATP YEC/WCT Finals and Philadelphia in '74-78 save the '77-78 WCT editions (scroll down). So Borg's own overall Slam H2H covers his career battles with Laver, Newcombe, Connors, Vilas, Riessen, Ashe, Orantes, Nastase, Panatta, Stockton, McEnroe and Lendl... except the inclusion of Riessen ad Stockton may understandably raise some eyebrows.
That means we need to add another criterion: the opponent must have reached at least 1 F and 2 more SFs/4 extra QFs at another official de facto major, as the standard 128-player draw makes fluke Ws that much more unlikely. So Riessen and Stockton are excluded from Borg's collective H2H vs. Slam champs, so are ToJo and Gaudio from Pistol's and Fraud's respectively. But Noah and (just barely) Costa get in thanks to their 1 other SF and 8/3 extra QFs.
Speaking of who, I actually think my original Big 3 overview was good enough but since, again, I'd like to keep the same criteria for everyone I've removed Fraud's matches vs. Thiem/DMed/Alcaraz (and Gaudio) and Bull/Djoker's vs. Dre/JCF/A-Rod/Gaston plus Marat for Novak. I know some of you Feddies will come back and say Djoker's matches vs. Roddick should definitely count, but I wanna keep this this streamlined so that's why I excluded them. If you'd like to redo it with criteria of your own, feel free.
Now without further ado, here are the GOATs' records vs. fellow Slammers (again with said exceptions) with yearly ranges in parentheses and vs. the top 10 in all career matches:
Borg (1974-81) - 64.4% (94-52), 71.1% (113-46)
Sampras (1990-2002) - 65.2% (146-78), 63.6% (124-71)
Federer (2003-18) - 64.6% (153-84), 64.6% (224-123)
Nadal (2005-22) - 63.5% (125-72), 64.6% (186-102)
Djokovic (2008-23) - 64.3% (157-87), 69.5% (251-110)
Borg's 71.1% vs. the top 10 is admittedly is skewed by his premature retirement, but then his 64.4% came mostly against fellow legends so the two even themselves out. The bottom line is that Ice-Borg was GOATy AF.
Let's move on to Jimmy/John/Ivan/Andre's numbers, with the above caveats for Jimbo (so his Slamming opponents include Wilander and Noah on top of Borg's) and counting AO champs starting in '83 (and, though they don't affect the H2Hs themselves, also YEC winners till '89 as the ATP Tour as we know it today began in '90):
Connors (1974-83) - 53.7% (110-95), 53.8% (127-109)
McEnroe (1978-84) - 52.5% (53-48), 57.7% (128-94)
Lendl - (1981-90) - 59.8% (125-84), 64.3% (166-92)
Agassi (1992-2003) - 57.8% (111-81), 54.8% (109-90)
As expected Mac's and Ivan's %s are kept down by the mighty fierce competition of that Golden Era of Tennis (and, in Mac's case, relatively brief reign at or near the top), though Lendl's record vs. Slammers is still pretty damn impressive. So is Dre's, BTW, though his % is somewhat inflated by the exclusion of older top dogs like Lendl and Gomez. OTOH Jimbo was apparently steady throughout his long career, LOL.
On to Mats/Stefan/Boris' own %s:
Wilander (1982-88) - 47.3% (43-48), 48.1% (62-67)
Edberg (1985-92) - 45.8% (76-90), 46.2% (98-114)
Becker (1985-96) - 58.8% (90-63), 65.1% (121-65)
It's eerie how similar these ATGs' win %s vs. Slammers and vs. the top 10 are to each other, or indeed how revealing the former %s are. Of course there are a few notable exceptions, which along with the overall picture tell us:
- Big 3 groupies that never fail to remind us how much better their pin-up heroes are than the GOATs of yore are deluding themselves. Sampras, Borg and the likes of Laver, Rosewall and Gonzales were every bit as dominant, just in different ways.
- Or take Lendl. If you count earlier '80s YECs on roughly equal footing as Wimby/USO/RG his Slam (equivalent) total is actually in double digits. So you could say his 59.8% against fellow Slammers, which stands almost halfway between Borg/Sampras/Big 3's mid-60s and Jimbo/Mac's low(er) 50s, sounds just about right.
- With the only exception of Dre (see above) my boy Pistol is literally the only ATG whose win % against Slam champs is higher than his average vs. the top 10. That's only the latest evidence of his big-match boss-ness. The clutchest MFer ever with the mightiest serve-forehand combo, aka the BOAT.
- OTOH my other boy Boris really, really underachieved. Should've joined the Jimbo/Mac/Ivan/Dre Slam Club at least (again with the above caveat about Lendl).
Now for the grown-ups who wish to learn more about tennis history:
The early WCT Fs (and Philly) merit consideration because except in '77 the ATP YEC was missing either Connors or Borg until '79. Here's the ATP ranking (in parentheses) of every WCT Fs participant in 1974-81, sorted by seeding (#3-8 for the '80/81 editions are ordered by their ATP rankings):
-1974-
1. Laver (6)
2. Borg (11)
3. Năstase (1)
4. Newcombe (2)
5. Okker (3)
6. Kodeš (8)
7. Ashe (5)
8. Smith (7)
-1975-
1. Ashe (8)
2. Solomon (15)
3. Borg (5)
4. Tanner (14)
5. Alexander (13)
6. Ramirez (16)
7. Laver (6)
8. Cox, Mark (25)
-1976-
1. Ashe (3)
2. Vilas (4)
3. Borg (2)
4. Ramirez (7)
5. Stockton (27)
6. Dibbs (11)
7. Solomon (13)
8. Lutz (18)
-1977-
1. Connors (1)
2. Stockton (12)
3. Năstase (4)
4. Fibak (14)
5. Gerulaitis (13)
6. Dibbs (8)
7. Panatta (11)
8. Drysdale (24)
-1978-
1. Borg (2)
2. Gottfried (5)
3. Gerulaitis (4)
4. Năstase (13)
5. Dibbs (6)
6. Ramirez (8)
7. Barazzutti (9)
8. Stockton (15)
-1979-
1. Connors (2)
2. Borg (1)
3. McEnroe (3)
4. Gottfried (10)
5. Gerulaitis (5)
6. Alexander (15)
7. Mayer, Gene (25)
8. Masters (48)
-1980-
1. McEnroe (2)
2. Connors (3)
3. Lendl (13)
4. Sadri (21)
5. Scanlon (25)
6. Gunthardt (32)
7. Kriek (33)
8. Amritraj (34)
-1981-
1. McEnroe (2)
2. Tanner (8)
3. Fibak (12)
4. Gottfried (14)
5. Kriek (16)
6. Amritraj (27)
7. Giammalva Jr. (30)
8. Mayer, Sandy (35)
You can see the tournament gradually taking a back seat to its ATP counterpart. So the good ol' @SgtJohn's exclusion of the '77-78 WCT Fs from his weighted Slam tallies seems about right to moi (I'd probably omit '76 myself but that's not relevant here as Borg himself won it), especially considering the tourney's limited 8-man draw (unlike Philly) and its knockout format (unlike the ATP YEC).
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