I agree, Fee. And also, we've already made the comparison to Andy, but I thought maybe comparing Gasquet and Nadal to Donald at the same age could be interesting. What's interesting is that Gasquet and Nadal were born in June 1986, and Donald in August 1989, so there is just about 3 years between them. And I'm picking them because, other than Murray, they've been the most hyped young guys on Tour over the past few years (maybe I'll check Murray later).
So if you take Donald's last year from the ATP in 2005, when he was 15/16, it pretty much corresponds to what Gasquet and Nadal were doing in 2002, in terms of their age, but not in terms of opportunities:
Comparison -- ATP results only (not junior events):
2005; Donald Young: All first round losses in 7 wildcard ATP events (including two Masters and the U.S. Open), plus a first-round challenger loss, and quarters result in a Futures event.
http://www.atptennis.com/en/players...?year=2005&query=Singles&player=Y124&x=11&y=5
2002; Richard Gasquet: Second round in Monte Carlo (I believe he qualified for that, but not sure) -- but he won his first main draw ATP match at 15. He did lose in the first round at RG, and likely had a wildcard there. Won two futures events, and a challenger, and reached a final in another challenger. Three first-round losses in ATP events (in which he likely had wildcards), but one was to Safin and all were respectable results, including a three-set loss at Queen's.
http://www.atptennis.com/en/players...?year=2002&query=Singles&player=G628&x=14&y=3
2002: Rafael Nadal: More off the radar screen than Gasquet, but he gets wildcard into first ATP event at age 15 in Mallorca, and wins first-round match against Ramon Delgado. No more wildcards, but wins six futures events in Spain, and has good results in most of the others. Beating guys like Calatrava and Montanes. Not playing juniors. His parents wanted him to have a normal school life, so they rarely let him leave Spain for tournaments, although he did have opportunities. They would never let him play the Roland Garros juniors because it interfered with his studies, but they did let him play the Wimbledon juniors.
http://www.atptennis.com/en/players...p?year=2002&query=Singles&player=N409&x=9&y=2
By the next year (2003), where Donald is now (2006), Richard and Rafa were basically beyond the futures and playing more challengers, winning them or getting to the finals, and also winning more ATP matches on Tour, and then earning more wildcards. And Rafa's parents finally, that spring, gave up on keeping their kid in school, although they pretty much kept him in Spain (and mostly in Mallorca) before then.
Both paths are so different from Donald's. And a lot of it is because Donald in the next US hopeful, and at that time Gasquet was one of a number of good French players, and Rafa was one of even a greater number of good, and a couple great, Spanish players.
But you have to wonder which path may be better for the player's future, if he really is THAT good.