Well I should have left out the “lucky” maybe and say she realistically wins one (and 2 if lucky). After the 1992 final, even if improving I don’t see her beating Graf, she has realistic chances in 1994 but does not win it in 1995, 96 or 97 (against Graf or Hingis). 1998 onwards she will likely already have declined so chances would not get better. Maybe she has outsider chances in 1998.
4-5 Wimbledon titles is definitely out of reach. Whether
@Mustard ever claimed that I cannot tell, as I didn’t see it. I was responding to
@martinezownsclay regarding the statement in general saying that it is absurd.
1997 she was a balloon, and there is no way that was only due to the stabbing (her dad was at the height of his illness at that point). There is no way on earth she beats Hingis or Novotna at Wimbledon 97, even without the stabbing.
As for 94, if Seles is ranked #1 as Seles fans will surely believe she would have been, there is no chance Graf draws McNeil first round of that Wimbledon, and she is the super likely winner now. And if Seles is not ranked #1, it is highly doubtful she is strong enough to win a slam on her worst surface, even if Graf does lose.
I would say 93 and 94 are her best chances, but she isn't the likely winner of either one at all. 98 she ironically had a better shot with the stabbing and the exact draw she got, then no stabbing and probably a higher ranking and harder draw. Although even in the real timeline I doubt she beats Novotna in the final, if she makes it.
99 or after really forget it.
I think 1 if she is lucky is a very fair assessment.
As for Sanchez Vicario, Sanchez Vicario is actually a much tougher match up (note I said match up, not opponent) for Graf than Seles is. Notice how Sanchez Vicario does much better vs Graf than any other great player, even Hingis who has only 1 more slam than Sanchez, and even than an old Navratilova. Now despite that Seles is probably the tougher "opponent" for Graf on non grass surfaces, only since she is so much better than Sanchez, especialy on hard courts or carpet. Although even that could be debated, Sanchez has a better record vs Graf at the US Open (2-1) than Seles (0-2) and very similar at the French (3-3 vs 2-3), and similar or better in some other veins. However on grass where she isn't that much weaker than Seles (well in the timeline with the stabbing better in fact, but in an alternative timeline Seles probably could end up better on grass than Sanchez career wise) it is almost certain Sanchez would definitely be a tougher opponent for Graf than Seles would be, and she still never beat Graf at Wimbledon.
). At least he won Miami over the "strong era" champion...
