Alcaraz is the slight favourite still. It will come down to the draw and weather conditions as well.
There isn’t much between Alcaraz and Djokovic. They are both incredible players and physical beasts. Alcaraz will be tough to beat in best of 5 I feel. That said djoko still proved he can hang with him which is remarkable to be honest. It would be great to get another classic match between them.
It will be surprising if anyone else wins but you never know at us open. Maybe both guys killed each other last night and we have a repeat of French open 2009 like madrid 2009 bloodbath lol.
I have sinner, meddy, hurkacz, Zverev all in the mix after the top 2. I have my doubts on Tsitsipas, Rune or ruud doing much.