Pre Wimbledon State of Art

raph6

raph6

Semi-Pro
This year grass court season has potential to be epic. Why ? Because a lot of great grass courters have fallen in the rankings ! Let's see who outside the top 10 could cause damages in the draw :

1. Isner (ranked 11)
2. Del Potro (ranked 12)
3. Medvedev (ranked 13)
4. Cilic (ranked 15)
5. Raonic (ranked 18)
6. Kyrgios (ranked 38)
7. Dimitrov (ranked 45)
8. Opelka (ranked 59)
9. Gasquet (ranked 62)
10. Querrey (ranked 66)
11. Tsonga (ranked 72)
12. Berdych (ranked 107)

Surely these are the players to avoid on the first rounds for the favorites. Who do you think will go the furthest ? I personnaly feel Opelka will go big at this Wimbledon
 
TripleATeam

TripleATeam

G.O.A.T.
But doesn't Wimbledon use its own system to determine seeds? Given Cilic's run to the 2017 finals, I think he'll be top 12 at least.
 
raph6

raph6

Semi-Pro
TripleATeam said:
But doesn't Wimbledon use its own system to determine seeds? Given Cilic's run to the 2017 finals, I think he'll be top 12 at least.
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He has 500 points to defend at the Queens so he will probably fall to 16. I don't think Wimbledon can make him win 4 positions, but I don't know how they calculate.
 
TripleATeam

TripleATeam

G.O.A.T.
raph6 said:
He has 500 points to defend at the Queens so he will probably fall to 16. I don't think Wimbledon can make him win 4 positions, but I don't know how they calculate.
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helterskelter said:
Here's the rule:

"• Take the ATP Ranking points on 25 June 2018
• Add 100 per cent of the points earned for all grass court tournaments in the past 12 months
• Add 75 per cent of the points earned for the best grass court tournament in the 12 months before that"

By my calculation, that makes the current standings this:

1. Djokovic: 14,325 points [Has #1 seeding for Wimbledon confirmed].
2. Federer: 7,620 points.
3. Nadal: 7,160 points.
4. Anderson: 4,900 points.
5. Zverev: 4,585 points.
6. Nishikori: 4,468 points.
7. Tsitsipas: 4,429 points [or perhaps 4,421 - I'm not sure whether they will count Wimbledon 2017 or Halle 2018 as his "best grass court event of the 12 months before that." Halle 2018 isn't part of his rankings total right now because of other events, but it might still be eligible to be his best grass event of the 12 months prior to Wimbledon 2018].
8. Thiem: 3,945 points.
9. Isner: 3,623 points.
10. Khachanov: 3,138 points.
11. Del Potro: 3,067 points.
12. Cilic: 2,840 points.

Can anyone confirm whether I've calculated this right? I'm not 100% sure I'm interpreting the rule correctly. I read the second clause as saying that the points for which players receive 100% extra are those earned at Wimbledon 2018, Stuttgart 2019, Halle 2019, Queen's 2019, and Hertogenbosch 2019. But it might also include those events from 2018. I don't think it should, as they're not within 12 months of the seeding list being composed, but I'm not entirely sure.

Anyway, if I am right, then I believe that either Federer or more likely Nadal winning Roland Garros would confirm the #2 seed for Wimbledon, but that if Nadal lost in the Roland Garros final, Federer could still get the #2 seed for Wimbledon.
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Helterskelter explains it well. A few of these have a chance at top 8 seeding with a good pre-Wimbledon warmup stretch, and with Anderson gone, that just means even more of a chance.
 
H

helterskelter

G.O.A.T.
TripleATeam said:
Helterskelter explains it well. A few of these have a chance at top 8 seeding with a good pre-Wimbledon warmup stretch, and with Anderson gone, that just means even more of a chance.
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Is Anderson definitely missing Wimbledon? His ranking is going to take a beating if so. Could be hard to recover from.
 
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