Rafa the Great is leaving - where will the most accomplished ATP clay courters 2025-2030 come from?

Rovesciarete · Oct 15, 2024

Clay has its unique attractions but is mostly a Southern European/American domain. The Greatest is leaving so I wonder which area will win the most masters and slams?

The quote shows the top 20 + Rune (sixth king!) according to total point win percentage in masters and slams over the last three years to give some rough orientation.

Rk Player
M
DR
TPW%
TB W%
TB/S
S W%
4 Novak Djokovic [SRB]
103
1.35
55.0%
80.8%
17.0%
79.4%
1 Jannik Sinner [ITA]
141
1.28
54.1%
64.8%
13.2%
74.3%
2 Carlos Alcaraz [ESP]
133
1.27
53.8%
60.6%
17.2%
75.7%
6 Taylor Fritz [USA]
114
1.19
52.8%
60.7%
16.7%
65.7%
5 Daniil Medvedev [RUS]
123
1.16
52.6%
64.9%
16.3%
68.6%
3 Alexander Zverev [GER]
120
1.18
52.5%
65.2%
20.1%
67.6%
7 Andrey Rublev [RUS]
111
1.16
52.3%
46.9%
15.2%
63.7%
9 Alex De Minaur [AUS]
94
1.14
52.2%
55.3%
14.3%
62.4%
10 Grigor Dimitrov [BUL]
103
1.16
52.2%
57.6%
21.1%
63.2%
11 Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]
118
1.14
52.2%
56.8%
22.2%
65.0%
13 Tommy Paul [USA]
99
1.12
52.0%
51.1%
15.9%
61.8%
8 Casper Ruud [NOR]
103
1.13
52.0%
64.3%
18.4%
62.0%
12 Hubert Hurkacz [POL]
108
1.12
51.7%
51.6%
28.4%
60.3%
26 Karen Khachanov [RUS]
87
1.08
51.2%
63.2%
14.8%
57.8%
19 Jack Draper [GBR]
51
1.05
51.0%
40.0%
10.5%
57.3%
15 Frances Tiafoe [USA]
86
1.06
50.9%
52.5%
22.9%
59.3%
21 Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN]
80
1.05
50.8%
57.1%
18.8%
53.1%
17 Ben Shelton [USA]
64
1.05
50.8%
51.0%
24.7%
56.1%
38 Brandon Nakashima [USA]
54
1.05
50.7%
45.9%
23.3%
50.3%
41 Gael Monfils [FRA]
56
1.05
50.7%
60.9%
15.1%
56.6%
14 Holger Rune [DEN]
92
1.03
50.5%
67.5%
15.0%
59.9%

TheGoldenEra1990’s · Oct 15, 2024

Italy in the Ginger Mad Magazine mountain region

Rafa the Great is leaving - where will the most accomplished ATP clay courters 2025-2030 come from?

The collectively most successful dirt ballers of the next 5 years will be the:

Anglophones (GB, USA, OZ, +)

Eastern Europeans (- Russians)

French

Italians

Germans ( DACH region)

Russians

Scandinavians (even the Finns)

South-Eastern Europeans

South Americans

Iberians (Spanish + Portuguese)

Rovesciarete

Hall of Fame

TheGoldenEra1990’s

Hall of Fame

Rk	Player	M	DR	TPW%	TB W%	TB/S	S W%
4	Novak Djokovic [SRB]	103	1.35	55.0%	80.8%	17.0%	79.4%
1	Jannik Sinner [ITA]	141	1.28	54.1%	64.8%	13.2%	74.3%
2	Carlos Alcaraz [ESP]	133	1.27	53.8%	60.6%	17.2%	75.7%
6	Taylor Fritz [USA]	114	1.19	52.8%	60.7%	16.7%	65.7%
5	Daniil Medvedev [RUS]	123	1.16	52.6%	64.9%	16.3%	68.6%
3	Alexander Zverev [GER]	120	1.18	52.5%	65.2%	20.1%	67.6%
7	Andrey Rublev [RUS]	111	1.16	52.3%	46.9%	15.2%	63.7%
9	Alex De Minaur [AUS]	94	1.14	52.2%	55.3%	14.3%	62.4%
10	Grigor Dimitrov [BUL]	103	1.16	52.2%	57.6%	21.1%	63.2%
11	Stefanos Tsitsipas [GRE]	118	1.14	52.2%	56.8%	22.2%	65.0%
13	Tommy Paul [USA]	99	1.12	52.0%	51.1%	15.9%	61.8%
8	Casper Ruud [NOR]	103	1.13	52.0%	64.3%	18.4%	62.0%
12	Hubert Hurkacz [POL]	108	1.12	51.7%	51.6%	28.4%	60.3%
26	Karen Khachanov [RUS]	87	1.08	51.2%	63.2%	14.8%	57.8%
19	Jack Draper [GBR]	51	1.05	51.0%	40.0%	10.5%	57.3%
15	Frances Tiafoe [USA]	86	1.06	50.9%	52.5%	22.9%	59.3%
21	Felix Auger Aliassime [CAN]	80	1.05	50.8%	57.1%	18.8%	53.1%
17	Ben Shelton [USA]	64	1.05	50.8%	51.0%	24.7%	56.1%
38	Brandon Nakashima [USA]	54	1.05	50.7%	45.9%	23.3%	50.3%
41	Gael Monfils [FRA]	56	1.05	50.7%	60.9%	15.1%	56.6%
14	Holger Rune [DEN]	92	1.03	50.5%	67.5%	15.0%	59.9%