This is just like 2008?
Djokovic beat Nadal in a final AND went on an 18-0 run?
Wow. I must have totally missed that.
Not what I said, though it is extremely
similar to 2008. You are engaged in what is known as hair-splitting; in 2008, Djokovic
also won the Australian Open in dominant fashion, beating Federer along the way, and also won Indian Wells,
also beating Nadal along the way (and much more decisively at 6-3, 6-2). Now, he did lose in between the 2008 Australian Open and Indian Wells- his early 2008 run thus wasn't
quite as good as his opening to 2011 has been- but the comparison is extremely obvious and entirely valid.
Again, let us look at precedent:
In 2008, Djokovic started the year on fire and claimed the Australian Open and Indian Wells titles, and speculation ran wild that he was about to leap-frog Nadal, take over world's #1 and bring an end to the Federer-Nadal era of dominance. None of this happened; rather, he tapered off and did not win another Grand Slam title that year, or even make another final.
In 2009, Nadal started the year on fire and claimed the Australian Open and Indian Wells titles, and speculation ran wild that he was on his way to claiming a calendar Grand Slam and achieving one of the most dominant seasons in history. None of this happened; rather, he tapered off and did not win another Grand Slam title that year, or even make another final.
In 2010, Federer caught fire and claimed the Australian Open title, and speculation ran wild that he was on his way to claiming a calendar Grand Slam and achieving one of the most dominant seasons in history. None of this happened; rather, he tapered off and did not win another Grand Slam title that year, or even make another final.
In none of the last three seasons has the Australian Open champion finished as year-end number one, won another Grand Slam that year, or even made another Grand Slam final. In fact, even when the Australian Open winner also won Indian Wells, as happened in both 2008 and 2009, all of the preceding held true. Now, this does not demonstrate that all subsequent seasons must go the same way, or that winning the Australian Open is somehow
detrimental to finishing year-end number one, winning more Grand Slams or reaching more Grand Slam finals, but I think it does provide ample evidence that these results are not necessarily portents of the giddy heights being envisioned here, and that the tendency in recent years has been toward immense overestimation of the early frontrunner's prospects for the remainder of the season.