This is a thread for people to list and discuss their reasons why they think Nadal will NOT win the French Open this year (2009).
Let's keep it polite and cordial. No trolling nor flaming.
Here's my #1 reason:
Because nobody, and I mean NOBODY, beats Bjorn Borg's records. Federer tried to beat Borg's record at Wimbledon, but failed. Yes, he equaled it, but he could not beat it. He could not win more than 5 consecutive Wimbledons.
Same at the French Open. Nadal has equaled Borg's record of 4 consecutive French Opens, but he will not be able to beat it.
Reason #2:
Nadal is tired from his long runs at each clay court tournament leading up to the French. He couldn't even beat Federer in the Madrid final in his home country in front of his home fans. He'll run out of gas again before the French final.
Reason #3:
Federer has regained his confidence after beating Nadal in the Madrid final so will challenge Nadal at the French this year. He also has a new strategy that has proven to work against Nadal on clay.
OK, so what are YOUR reasons why Nadal will NOT win the French Open this year?