Roger Federer to win 3 Grand Slams this year...

Docalex007

Hall of Fame
That's right, you heard it here first fellas.

Australia
Wimbledon

and

US Open


Year end #1 with 18 slams to his name. He'll also break the Masters shield record.

Have fun this year everybody... hope it's a good one!
 

raiden031

Legend
I love Fed, but that is not happening this year. Too many threats out there and his game is not consistent enough these days.
 

Blake0

Hall of Fame
Doubtful, i'd say 1 slam..most likely wimbledon. The next most likely is us open, the third most likely AO, last is FO.
 

TennisFan3

G.O.A.T.
That's right, you heard it here first fellas.

Australia
Wimbledon

and

US Open


Year end #1 with 18 slams to his name. He'll also break the Masters shield record.

Have fun this year everybody... hope it's a good one!
'

This is a strong possibility if Nadal gets injured. If Rafa is fit, it'll be hard unless Del Potro lands in Rafa's half everytime. I think Delpo is the key. He's shaping up to be a nightmare matchup for both Rafa and Fed. Whoever has to play the Argentinian will be at a disadvantage compared to the other.
 

Netspirit

Hall of Fame
Everybody seems to downgrade Federer's clay performance. Yet I believe he remains #2 clay court player and has good chances to win RG, even if plays Nadal in the final.

I would say that the competition at AO and USO has grown much tougher these days while there have been no clay court stars on the tour since Nadal.
 
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i think he'll probably get 2 slams, wimby and Australian open. nadal hardly ever makes a huge impression at AUS and wimby is home court.
nadal will get french unless something crazy happens. and i say djoko murray or delpo at US
 

West Coast Ace

G.O.A.T.
I hope the OP is right - but not too sure. JMDP is one more threat and I don't expect Rafa to have such a disastrous year. But if Fed does win the AO and then has a good spring hardcourt season, I won't be shocked.

I think Wimby is almost a lock. And think he'll get either the AO or USO - so I say 2. And probably be in the finals of the other 2 - sort of a replay of this year.
 

Blake0

Hall of Fame
Everybody seems to downgrade Federer's clay performance. Yet I believe he remains #2 clay court player and has good chances to win RG, even if plays Nadal in the final.

I would say that the competition at AO and USO is much tougher these days.
I never considered this..maybe because i assumed nadal would be fine and ready to take back his crown this FO. Other good players like murray and delpo haven't completely got their games in clay yet, maybe federer does have a better chance here if nadal isn't playing his best.
 

tacou

G.O.A.T.
I find it very unlikely Rafa doesn't win FO, and I find it very unlikely Fed wins AO, so I'm going to have to disagree with you OP.

ideally: AO--someone's first! (tsonga, maybe murray); FO--Nadal, W--Roddick, USO--Fed, his last slam (no ill wishes, just ready for some new slam winners)
 
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TheMusicLover

G.O.A.T.
Sounds like a very tall order to me.
As I take nothing for granted in 2010, I'll be happy if he wins just one. Anything else would be a bonus.
 

JennyS

Hall of Fame
Anyone else think we're due for a fluke Slam winner this year? We haven't had a Johansson/Gaudio/Costa/Korda type Slam winner in a while.
 

AM95

Hall of Fame
That's right, you heard it here first fellas.

Australia
Wimbledon

and

US Open


Year end #1 with 18 slams to his name. He'll also break the Masters shield record.

Have fun this year everybody... hope it's a good one!
Dear Mr. OP

YOU HAVE BALLS!!:twisted:

i'm putting my name on the support list...but i think that im going to be trashed come this time next year.
 

Docalex007

Hall of Fame
Yes I agree with those who have said Fed is definitely a top contender at the FO and has a realistic shot at winning again, regardless of Nadal's condition come FO.

He may in fact win FO again (to consolidate his clay greatness, therefore he may see it like that and be extra motivated to win another title there) and lose at the AO or USO.

But three slams this year... definitely see it happening. It's 2010 and he's still THE player to beat come slam time. And with his twins born and the fact that he's got the slam record now... intuitively makes you think he's no longer motivated... but this has nothing to do with intuition here, Fed's a champ.. and he's not done yet.

I say he definitely dominates this year... but his time is almost up. Therefore as a big Fed fan I am making sure I make the most out of watching Fed play this year.
 
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Docalex007

Hall of Fame
In my opinion, Fed's chances of winning 3 Slams this year is slightly over 50% (taken into account what he did last year.. two slam wins and made all four finals, came within two sets of winning all four).

Fed to win at least two slams this year is around 65-70% IMO.

Fed to win just one slam this year: 85%

And just a 15% or so chance he wins no slams this year.
 

President

Legend
He won't win 3, no way. Maybe 2, but with the current competition I don't think that's likely. There are so many good players in the top 10 who can make life difficult for him. With Nadal's recent form, he will make winning RG and Wimbledon very difficult. Del Potro, Murray, Djokovic, and Nadal again can all trouble him at the AO and USO.
 

Docalex007

Hall of Fame
He won't win 3, no way. Maybe 2, but with the current competition I don't think that's likely. There are so many good players in the top 10 who can make life difficult for him. With Nadal's recent form, he will make winning RG and Wimbledon very difficult. Del Potro, Murray, Djokovic, and Nadal again can all trouble him at the AO and USO.
Really? Have we seen it at the Grand Slam level? No... we have not.

Federer could have pulled off AO last year if he had kept his head in the match in the 5th set... and should have put down Potro in the USO final. I feel he let both matches slip away at the end for the most part. He was inches away from all four slams... incredible.

So no.. until we see him being troubled more often at slams, I can't go against Fed winning at least three this year.
 

Docalex007

Hall of Fame
I'm thinking 2, FO and Aus :p
IF he actually did start the year by winning AO and FO.. I think he'd be extremely motivated to then win Wimby again and take the USO again to complete the calendar slam.

He'd MAKE it happen if he managed to lock away AO and FO this year...
 

President

Legend
Really? Have we seen it at the Grand Slam level? No... we have not.

Federer could have pulled off AO last year if he had kept his head in the match in the 5th set... and should have put down Potro in the USO final. I feel he let both matches slip away at the end for the most part. He was inches away from all four slams... incredible.

So no.. until we see him being troubled more often at slams, I can't go against Fed winning at least three this year.
Should have could have would have. What actually did happen was that Federer (sadly) crumbled in the 5th set of both those finals. What you're saying is kind of ridiculous. You think Federer will win 3 slams this year, despite him only winning 3 slams combined the last two years? Honestly, the main reason he was able to get 2 slams last year (and I say this as a big Fed-fan) was because Nadal was not playing at his best/was injured. If Nadal brings his peak level (and judging by the last two matches we saw at this exho, he is in very good form), we can be assured that Federer will have a VERY tough time at both the FO and Wimbledon. He has better chances at the AO and USO (ironic since he didn't win either of them last year), but it will still be tough. Del Potro has beaten him twice in a row on hardcourts, once in a slam and once in the most important non slam tournament. Djokovic beat him the last time they played on HC. Heck, even Soderling beat him (though it was only an exho). You're being ridiculously optimistic when you say you "can't go against" Fed winning 3 slams this year.
 

veroniquem

Bionic Poster
I hope the OP is right - but not too sure. JMDP is one more threat and I don't expect Rafa to have such a disastrous year. But if Fed does win the AO and then has a good spring hardcourt season, I won't be shocked.

I think Wimby is almost a lock. And think he'll get either the AO or USO - so I say 2. And probably be in the finals of the other 2 - sort of a replay of this year.
Wimbledon is not a lock at all. The only thing that made it a lock last year is Rafa not playing it. That is not likely to happen a second time... Actually, Fed's favorite match-up pushing him to the very limits last year at W proves if anything that Fed is more vulnerable on grass than he has ever been since the start of his domination there.
People who can't see that Fed's game has been deteriorating in terms of consistency and efficiency over the last 6 months or so are either blind or delusional. And time is not exactly working in his favor.
Anyway, op, if you're going to be that optimistic, why stop at 3? You should go for the calendar slam, after all he made the calendar slam final last year...
 
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dh003i

Legend
Should have could have would have. What actually did happen was that Federer (sadly) crumbled in the 5th set of both those finals. What you're saying is kind of ridiculous. You think Federer will win 3 slams this year, despite him only winning 3 slams combined the last two years? Honestly, the main reason he was able to get 2 slams last year (and I say this as a big Fed-fan) was because Nadal was not playing at his best/was injured. If Nadal brings his peak level (and judging by the last two matches we saw at this exho, he is in very good form), we can be assured that Federer will have a VERY tough time at both the FO and Wimbledon. He has better chances at the AO and USO (ironic since he didn't win either of them last year), but it will still be tough. Del Potro has beaten him twice in a row on hardcourts, once in a slam and once in the most important non slam tournament. Djokovic beat him the last time they played on HC. Heck, even Soderling beat him (though it was only an exho). You're being ridiculously optimistic when you say you "can't go against" Fed winning 3 slams this year.
Federer was in all 4 slam finals in 2009. Both that he lost, he had on his racket. He won 2 of them.

It is far from ridiculous to say he could win 3 this year. It certainly isn't impossible. 4 isn't impossible either. It depends on his form and that of other players. A few matches at exhibition don't really mean much, come on. Exhibition is practically meaningless. Federer lost to Roddick in an exhibition in 2007 before winning the AO without losing a set. Meaningless.

It think it is possible that Federer wins 3 slams this year.

Imo, AO is 40%, FO 40% (assuming Nadal is in good form), Wimbledon is 70-80%, USO is 40%. This is my opinion (which is actually a little bit pessimistic, but very little is clear right now). You can assign your own probabilities, but the point is, no matter which way you look at it, suggesting he could win 3 slams isn't absurd. If you're assigning 0% probability to him winning any of the given slams, you're the one being absurd.
 

dh003i

Legend
Wimbledon is not a lock at all. The only thing that made it a lock last year is Rafa not playing it. That is not likely to happen a second time...
People who can't see that Fed's game has been deteriorating in terms of consistency and efficiency over the last 6 months or so are either blind or delusional. And time is not exactly working in his favor.
Anyway, op, if you're going to be that optimistic, why stop at 3? You should go for the calendar slam, after all he made the calendar slam final last year...
Rafa is an injury machine, and I doubt he'll ever get back to even 2007 form. His hold on the clay-court season will be more tenuous as well. Federer's Wimbledon performance in 2009 was better than Nadal's in 2008, sorry.
 

svijk

Semi-Pro
Hate it when people declare 'you heard it here first' as if they have some special ability to predict the future.

Dear OP, prediction is easy when there is no money or reputation involved so save it.
 

LiveForever

Banned
Should have could have would have. What actually did happen was that Federer (sadly) crumbled in the 5th set of both those finals. What you're saying is kind of ridiculous. You think Federer will win 3 slams this year, despite him only winning 3 slams combined the last two years? Honestly, the main reason he was able to get 2 slams last year (and I say this as a big Fed-fan) was because Nadal was not playing at his best/was injured. If Nadal brings his peak level (and judging by the last two matches we saw at this exho, he is in very good form), we can be assured that Federer will have a VERY tough time at both the FO and Wimbledon. He has better chances at the AO and USO (ironic since he didn't win either of them last year), but it will still be tough. Del Potro has beaten him twice in a row on hardcourts, once in a slam and once in the most important non slam tournament. Djokovic beat him the last time they played on HC. Heck, even Soderling beat him (though it was only an exho). You're being ridiculously optimistic when you say you "can't go against" Fed winning 3 slams this year.
Agreed. Thankfully, luck was on Rogers side this year with Rafas injuries.
 

President

Legend
Federer was in all 4 slam finals in 2009. Both that he lost, he had on his racket. He won 2 of them.

It is far from ridiculous to say he could win 3 this year. It certainly isn't impossible. 4 isn't impossible either. It depends on his form and that of other players. A few matches at exhibition don't really mean much, come on. Exhibition is practically meaningless. Federer lost to Roddick in an exhibition in 2007 before winning the AO without losing a set. Meaningless.

It think it is possible that Federer wins 3 slams this year.

Imo, AO is 40%, FO 40% (assuming Nadal is in good form), Wimbledon is 70-80%, USO is 40%. This is my opinion (which is actually a little bit pessimistic, but very little is clear right now). You can assign your own probabilities, but the point is, no matter which way you look at it, suggesting he could win 3 slams isn't absurd. If you're assigning 0% probability to him winning any of the given slams, you're the one being absurd.
I'm not saying he won't win a slam. Far from it..I think he he may win up to 2. Wimbledon and FO are far from a lock as I already pointed out. I think Nadal will be much smarter in managing his schedule this year; he'll peak for the GS. AO and USO he has a good chance at, but like I said before there are many improving HC players and Federer is just staying constant or declining. Last year Federer found himself in a number of close matches in which he barely managed to scrape out a win. This year I doubt he'll be so fortunate. I'll be delighted if I'm wrong though.
 
This isn't the 2006 Roger Federer, where he was obviously a lot quicker than he is now, gunning every point, and no holding back on the power/angles...

But, given last year he had a bit of luck in his slams, I think he can make 3-4 finals again, and win 1 or 2 if he's lucky...
 

TennisFan3

G.O.A.T.
Federer's Wimbledon performance in 2009 was better than Nadal's in 2008, sorry.
Yeah right. in Wimb. 2009 Federer didn't have to face the defending champion, one who was clearly the #2 player on grass( contested the final for the last 3 years), and was the dominant force in tennis as well as the #1 player at that time. Whereas Nadal beat the #1 player and one of the greatest grasscourt players of all time in Wimb. 2008.

Which performance was better..eh?
 

kraggy

Banned
Highly unlikely.

In a year when Murray and Djoker were pretty awful in terms of slam performances and Nadal skipped wimbledon, he 'only' won 2 slams. There is no doubt that Fed is capable of winning each of the slams, however winning 3 slams is something that I feel is only possible when you are very far ahead of the competition. From 2004-2007, he probably was. Now he isn't.

Winning 2 slams a yr is in itself a fantastic accomplishment. Fed has already cemented his place as best goat candidate and there is a good chance for him to win a slam (maybe 2) and end 2010 as number 1. But 3 slams, I think not. At least one of the hard court slams will go to Djoker/DP/Murray/Nadal. And the french will likely go to Nadal.

It's not impossible but it's HIGHLY improbable.
 

veroniquem

Bionic Poster
Rafa is an injury machine, and I doubt he'll ever get back to even 2007 form. His hold on the clay-court season will be more tenuous as well. Federer's Wimbledon performance in 2009 was better than Nadal's in 2008, sorry.
Maybe but 2009 Federer would not have beaten Nadal in any slam. So he can always hope for the same scenario to repeat itself (Nadal being bogged down by injury for his 2 favorite slams) but I wouldn't hold my breath if I were him.
Anyway, it seems to me GETTING to the final may start becoming trickier for Fed if he doesn't show something different in his game than what he has shown for the last few months. We'll see. He'll still be one of the favorites at every slam of course.
 

Netspirit

Hall of Fame
AO+FO would be my choice as well.

AO will be tough but he wants it badly, and FO will motivate him well too, plus he only has 1 real competitor there (plus maybe Verdasco and Djokovic, to some extent)

Winning Wimby and FO back-to-back is very, extremely rare, plus I doubt he is still dead serious about Wimbledon.

The USO will be crowded with hard court talent, and without the rough AO conditions that favor Fed's fitness advantage and any special motivation I do not see him taking it.
 

Fate Archer

Hall of Fame
^ Winning wimbledon is Fed's main goal all season. Wimbledon is always serious business for him, he definitely won't handle that crown without a good fight.
And I expect Fed to play well this french open, now that all the pressure is supposedly gone.
Beating Nadal there would shut down the remaining critics forever.
 
Bold indeed. Hell, I'd be surprised if Fed atleast repeats his performance from last year. But of course, crazier things have happened. Like Fed winning the French and Nadal crashing out of the fourth round a the FO.
 

Netspirit

Hall of Fame
Beating Nadal there would shut down the remaining critics forever.
Nothing with shut them up forever. Even if Federer beats Nadal in the FO final, Nadal will still have better H2H in FO finals. Even if Federer beats Nadal in 3 FO finals in a row, Nadal will still have better H2H on clay. Even if Federer beats Nadal in 3 FO finals and turns his clay H2H against Nadal positive, that will be "after Nadal was lethally injured in 2009", so it will not count. Federer can never beat a healthy Nadal since a healthy Nadal runs away too fast.
 

TMF

Talk Tennis Guru
You're just another ******* who assume that Nadal fans can't be fans of, and happy for, Federer, too.
Well, some fans really don't like Fed, and i didn't say you dislike him. I didn't expect you think that i was serious.:neutral:
 

Blinkism

Legend
Well, some fans really don't like Fed, and i didn't say you dislike him. I didn't expect you think that i was serious.:neutral:
Maybe your point was lost in translation.

I apologize, knowing that English is your secondary language :roll:
 

TMF

Talk Tennis Guru
Maybe your point was lost in translation.

I apologize, knowing that English is your secondary language :roll:
That's ok, you are a good poster and i'm just playing with you(that's including SOME other posters in here).
 
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