Roland Garros 2025 Womens Semi Final - Sabalenka vs Swiatek

Who wins?

  • Total voters
    65
Hitman

Hitman

Bionic Poster
Here we go! This match deserves a thread.

Iga-Swiatek-vs-Aryna-Sabalenka-H2h.jpg
 
8-4 head to head for Swiatek.

Swiatek won their last few clay matches in both the Rome and Madrid final last year.

They've played on clay 5 times with Iga winning 4 of them.

They've played a slam once, 2022 US Open which Iga won in 3.

But for Sabalenka, she won their last match which was the Cincinnati SF last year and she won it in straights 6-3 6-3.
 
Aussie Darcy said:
8-4 head to head for Swiatek.

Swiatek won their last few clay matches in both the Rome and Madrid final last year.

They've played on clay 5 times with Iga winning 4 of them.

They've played a slam once, 2022 US Open which Iga won in 3.

But for Sabalenka, she won their last match which was the Cincinnati SF last year and she won it in straights 6-3 6-3.
Click to expand...

I'm going for Sabalenka, I think it is her time.
 
Aussie Darcy said:
I don't know! Is there an option to change?

I need sleep and will vote in the morning.

I think i'm going Sabalenka. But will need to really study.
Click to expand...

Yes, you can change if you want.

But I have to go with Aryna, I picked her to win the tournament and she looks overall better to me.
 
After surviving Rybakina, very hard to see anything but an Iga repeat here. This will be the early match, which favours Iga as well due to the spin factor.
 
I believe I called this the match of the year on either Tour earlier this week. I stand by it. Huge, huge stakes. Certainly the toughest opponent either would have faced at Roland Garros in their careers. The #1 vs the 4x champ, neither in amazing form, but both in good enough form. Currently 5-3 in Slams to Iga, with the winner a big favourite in the Final. This is a momentous occasion and will be one of the defining matches of the era. WTA is on a heater right now.

Can’t wait.
 
Iga had a tough match against Rybakina, which, despite a bad start, she turned around, this match boosted her self-confidence. I had my doubts about Iga before the tournament, but now I think she will beat Aryna. RG is a magical place for Iga.
 
It would be funny if the winner went on to lose in the final against Gauff.
She has beaten Iga on clay quite comprehensively this year, and is known to have beaten Sabalenka in a Slam final.
 
Hitman said:
Here we go! This match deserves a thread.
Click to expand...


If Sabalenka doesn't choke in epic proportions like Rybakina, she is the clear favorite here. She has the game, the power, the mental to overpower this weakened version of Swiatek on clay. The Polish seems to have a problem with semifinals since RG last year. She lost in the Semis of Olympics, Cincinnati, US Open, Australian Open, Doha, Dubaï, Indian Wells and Madrid.
 
This is the match to see if Aryna's adjustments to her game style and mental processing can pay off - would be a huge step. I still ever slightly favor Iga Swiatek - they have to knock her off the mountain top @ Roland Garros.

Cela devrait être une bataille assez divertissante.
 
Man, is this a a tough one to call. But I don’t do ties. So I will make a pick.

I think that Swiatek will find her form to win a barn burner. Swiatek wins 4-6, 7-6, 7-5.

That said, this is a massive match. This is very interesting. Sabalenka has momentum on her side with the #1 ranking. But she’s going against the Queen of Clay. Sabalenka needs this win, in order to keep the slam race competitive.
 
A very important match when one day we try and decide who was the better of these two players. Bookies can't call it

Sabakenka - 10/11
Swiatek - 10/11
 
Maybe a huge stretch. But I feel like if Sabalenka wins this and the final she'll become an ATG. Feels like this tournament could be pivotal in some ways.
 
Hitman said:
Here we go! This match deserves a thread.

Iga-Swiatek-vs-Aryna-Sabalenka-H2h.jpg
Click to expand...
Moment of truth, if Swiatek plays at her best, neither Sabalenka nor Gauff will be able to stop the Polish player, who is looking for something unprecedented in women's tennis in the open era: Winning the Roland Garros title four times in a row.
Can Swiatek achieve the feat?
:cool:
 
Dominic & Andrey said:
Maybe a huge stretch. But I feel like if Sabalenka wins this and the final she'll become an ATG. Feels like this tournament could be pivotal in some ways.
Click to expand...
The same goes for Swiatek. If she wins over Sabalenka and then in the final, she will have 4 RG titles in a row, which is an ATG feat. With 6 GS titles, she will be just a short distance away from entering the ATG category (for women, I have a enter limit of 7 GS titles).
 
Kralingen said:
I believe I called this the match of the year on either Tour earlier this week. I stand by it. Huge, huge stakes. Certainly the toughest opponent either would have faced at Roland Garros in their careers. The #1 vs the 4x champ, neither in amazing form, but both in good enough form. Currently 5-3 in Slams to Iga, with the winner a big favourite in the Final. This is a momentous occasion and will be one of the defining matches of the era. WTA is on a heater right now.

Can’t wait.
Click to expand...

Agreed, but i'm hoping Aryna sends Swiatek on the run from her best major.
 
Tennisfan339 said:
If Sabalenka doesn't choke in epic proportions like Rybakina, she is the clear favorite here. She has the game, the power, the mental to overpower this weakened version of Swiatek on clay. The Polish seems to have a problem with semifinals since RG last year. She lost in the Semis of Olympics, Cincinnati, US Open, Australian Open, Doha, Dubaï, Indian Wells and Madrid.
Click to expand...
She did serve for the match and had a match point against Madi Keys in that Australian Open Semi though.
 
Kralingen said:
I believe I called this the match of the year on either Tour earlier this week. I stand by it. Huge, huge stakes. Certainly the toughest opponent either would have faced at Roland Garros in their careers. The #1 vs the 4x champ, neither in amazing form, but both in good enough form. Currently 5-3 in Slams to Iga, with the winner a big favourite in the Final. This is a momentous occasion and will be one of the defining matches of the era. WTA is on a heater right now.

Can’t wait.
Click to expand...

Iga has recovered well after playing terribly leading up to RG and then escaped defeat vs. Rybkina; I think she wins the title.

Money coming in on Sabakenka. Iga started out at -120 and now +100. +1.5 game spread at -130. Both look pretty tempting.
 
The most WTA thing would be the winner of this losing to Keys in the final
Keys bagging the first two slams of the season would be one of the most unexpected things ever. Madison has a tough road before the final though but...
 
Pheasant said:
Man, is this a a tough one to call. But I don’t do ties. So I will make a pick.

I think that Swiatek will find her form to win a barn burner. Swiatek wins 4-6, 7-6, 7-5.

That said, this is a massive match. This is very interesting. Sabalenka has momentum on her side with the #1 ranking. But she’s going against the Queen of Clay. Sabalenka needs this win, in order to keep the slam race competitive.
Click to expand...
I mean its 5-3 at the moment, hardly a massive gap. Plus there are 2 hardcourt slams a year vs one RG. Wimbledon also is a potential advantage for Sabalenka in the slam race as Swiatek has never really done anything over there.
 
ScentOfDefeat said:
It would be funny if the winner went on to lose in the final against Gauff.
She has beaten Iga on clay quite comprehensively this year, and is known to have beaten Sabalenka in a Slam final.
Click to expand...
It's kinda of giving a small amount of Vondrousova winning Wimbledon 2023 or Raducanu winning US Open 2021 or even Bartoli winning Wimbledon 2013. Where the runner up did all the hard work to get there while the others cruised to the QF's and wins.

Just for those who don't recall.
Vondrousova beat: Vekic, Bouzkova, #4 Peg and WC Svitolina to make the final while Jabeur beat Andreescu, #9 Kvitova, #3 Rybakina and #2 Sabalenka!
Raducanu beat: Sorribes Tormo, Rogers, #11 Bencic and #17 Sakkari while Fernandez beat #3 Osaka, #16 Kerber, #5 Svitolina and #2 Sabalenka!
Bartoli takes the cake though: beat Giorgi, Knapp, #17 Sloane and#20 Flipkens while Lisicki beat #14 Stosur, #1 Serena, Kanepi and #4 Radwanska!

I mean Gauff and Key still have to face eachother with the winner likely facing Andreeva so it's not quite the same but I fear Sabalenka/Iga may tired eachother out and Iga's already had to play Rybakina and Svitolina and now Sabalenka just to make the final!
 
Last edited:
ScentOfDefeat said:
That Bartoli win, or should I say Lisicki mother-of-all-chokes, still hurts after all these years.
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Haha I edited my post but you must have already hit quote so i've popped it back in.

I thought the comparison isn't really there since Gauff or Keys will have to beat two top 10 players to make the final so not a fair comparison to that Bartoli run which was so weak while Lisicki deserved that so bad.
 
Watching this Keys/Gauff match, I feel more confident in Iga/Sabs to take the title. Unless Andreeva is the one who gets through the bottom half!
 
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