Sampras says Nadal could surpass Federer as slams king

Agassi wasnt dominant since there were people better than him on every surface.

Carpet- Becker, Edberg, Sampras, maybe Ivanisevic and Krajicek
Grass- Sampras, Becker, Ivanisevic, Edberg, maybe Stich
Clay- Muster, Courier, Bruguera, Kuerten, possibly Moya

Like I said it would be one thing if Agassi was doing so great on all slow surfaces the way Sampras was on "his surfaces" as you put it, but that is far from the case. His clay court record is just better than Sampras's, but nothing remarkable by any stretch. The big dogs of clay of the Sampras-Agassi era ruled over Agassi there the same way Sampras ruled over him on all but the slow surfaces. Sampras's rebound ace record is better than Agassi's clay court record, and was even better than Agassi's rebound ace record until Agassi was in his 30s, so how can Agassi be called some slow court king on a par with Sampras on faster surfaces. And Sampras on rebound ace was probably better than Agassi on any faster surface, certainly much better than Agassi on either grass or carpet per say.

And on hard courts Sampras was by far the dominant force period throughout his prime of 93-99. He of course won 5 U.S Opens during that time while Agassi won 2 (the latter being when Sampras got hurt and had to withdraw last moment in a year he as a lock), and even 2 Australian Opens to Agassi's 1. Agassi made his hay in many ways as Sampras was on the way down and he was having his late career surge during a weak interim era. That is when he padded his stats with alot of extra Aussies and Masters titles on hard courts.

So Sampras was only dominant on half the surfaces. Agassi wasnt dominant on any surface other than maybe rebound ace in his 30s vs one of the worst fields in history. So of the two Sampras is by far the more dominant.

To put it in the simplest terms possible Agassi arguably wasnt the best player in the World at any point in time. The only time he might have been was 1999 but even then he had the asterix of Sampras's last minute U.S Open withdrawal and his 1-4 head to head vs Pete that year. And Agassi was never the best player in the World on any surface for any sustained period other than rebound ace from ages 29-32 after the Sampras era had ended and we were in an interim era. He was never considered in general the best grass courter in the World, best clay courter in the World, best carpet player in the World, probably ever even the best decoturf player in the World. Even when he won his lone Wimbledon and his lone French Open I dont think anyone considered him the best player in the World or the guy to beat on those surfaces. Sampras atleast was for many years considered the best grass court, best carpet or indoor, and best decoturf player in the World.

Finally, someone talking some sense. Agassi is the most overrated player. Him and Sampras are not even in the same league. The only reason Agassi is this liked is because of his personality and Americans liked that, that's it. Agassi is not even in the top 5 best tennis players.
 
Agassi almost pulled off the holy grail of tennis (or non-HG):

Won 1999 French Open
Finalist 1999 Wimbledon (lost to Sampras)
Won 1999 US Open
Won 2000 Australian Open (beat Sampras in SF)

I know he was slaughtered in that Wimbledon Final, but wow that was an incredible run he had, perhaps a better 9 months than Sampras ever had.
 
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GOAT doesn't even exist. There would need to be an all-time ranking system for there to be a GOAT. Until then we just have "achievements" and "records".

GOAT does exist. His name is Roger Federer.

Stop trying to be a contrarian. You come across like a pathetic little weasel.
 
Federer and Sampras represent two different eras. who cares, Agassi won just 8 slams, career or not, that is poor compared to Nadal, Fed and Samps. Pete played Federer at the end of his career once. That means nothing. Agassi is the most overrated out of all of them. His Grandslam ins were so spread out. It;s like each time he could just change his game on each surface over a long period of time.

Finally, someone talking some sense. Agassi is the most overrated player. Him and Sampras are not even in the same league. The only reason Agassi is this liked is because of his personality and Americans liked that, that's it. Agassi is not even in the top 5 best tennis players.

My original comment was not meant to be taken seriously.

However, to call Agassi overrated is either naive or disingenuous. He may not have been as accomplished as Sampras and some of the others in Slam count. But overrated? Hardly. 8 slams, gold medal and a long productive career (twice as long as most in the past 4 decades) with 870 singles wins makes him one of the elite. Even tho' he was playing against much younger players in his last decade of play, he still managed to win better than 3/4 of all his singles matches -- not a trivial feat for one in their 30s. The modern game owes much to his innovations and playing style.
 
Sampras is looking for vengeance...he wants federer to feel the pain he felt when his 14 slam record was beaten...wishful thinking by this monkey with a hair transplant
 
When Federer was 24 (like Nadal now) there was a teenager who already was defeating him in Masters1000 and G.Slams and was number 2 in ATP list.

Where is the teenager threat to Nadal now? Tomic? Dimitrov? Harrison?

Perhaps Delpo? LOL

Perhaps, but he better not have anymore wrist problems that put him out for another 9-10 months again or you can forget about it. His game isn't even that taxing FFS. However, I'm not sure he can win all four majors. This is a very hard thing to do which was made to look somewhat easy by 2 guys lately.
 
But then Andre has a better record against Roger than Pete does.

Agassi's career stretched well into the 2000's while Sampras' ended so early in the decade in 2002, he was playing less and less. It seemed like that to me. But Andre better adapted to younger upcoming players than Sampras did post 1999. Agassi could beat Safin, Federer, Hewitt more often than Pete did. Agassi's baseline game would hold up much better in the emerging baseline era while Sampras' outdated serve and volley style aged very quickly from 1998 onwards.
 
Look who stands on his own feet, assured of his own legacy, not needing to reach for the trophy.

They all come to him to learn of greatness. The sensei who mastered every shot in the game, who had no flaws, no weaknesses.

I don't see Don Budge or Pancho Gonzalez in that picture.
 
Nadal will be lucky to match Pete's record. Everyone getting way, way too carried away (as usual).

Well he surely will get 3-4 more French Open's and 1 or 2 more Wimbledons so potentially that's 15 right there, add one more hc major as a possibility. It's realistic. He won the USO, I'm not doubting this kid anymore.
 
I think Rafa will be winning slams at 28+, he just may be less consistent. There has to be some kind of fatigue factor, but it doesn't mean he suddenly retires. If the tendonitis treatment continues to be so incredibly effective (he's 2 for 2 in treatments this year, both restoring each knee to 100%), there is nothing to stop him from winning slams into his 30s, considering he isn't injury-prone in the traditional sense (no back injuries, and no knee surgeries). And given that science does improve from year-to-year there is no reason to think his tendonitis treatment will suddenly not work. The advantage Rafa has actually is his work ethic. A lot of players stop working hard when they get to age 30. Whereas Rafa only knows one way - keep improving.

I bold that part because I believe that is the way he can keep winning majors past 26-27 yrs of age.
 
You can't declare someone the GOAT when you have simply no idea how they would match up with previous decades. It's pure guess-work. Everybody knows the top 10 of today is inferior to the top 10 of the 90s and especially the 80s.

People can call this era a stronger 'top 100' than other eras. But the top 100 doesn't mean anything in the semis and finals of slams. The era with the top 5 or 10 players is the toughest to win slams in. If anything a lack of depth in the top 100 helps the top 5 arrive fresh at the semis, making it even harder to beat them.
 
Sampras is looking for vengeance...he wants federer to feel the pain he felt when his 14 slam record was beaten...wishful thinking by this monkey with a hair transplant

I don't think he dislikes Roger at all. He was gracious when his record was broken and went to see him win his 16th. One thing Sampras can't be accused of is being a sore loser or bitter person. Which I can't always say the same for my guy. He stated only the obvious but wasn't overboard with it. If he was as what you say he was, don't you think he wouldn't want another player to come in and break his slam count? Nadal going past Sampras would push him down the list more.
 
Its good, to see a more subtil argumentation in the debate, than before, when Sampras and many writers and posters only looked for the majors record. Its not everything, and of course other factors are important in the evaluation of a top player. One cannot simply dismiss the head to head between players, who were big rivals and who are in their primes. Interesting is the changing status of the Olympics. If cou would have asked in 2008, what would be more worth for Nadal or Federer, Olympics ore the overlapping USO, one would have answered: USO. Now in 2010, this seems not so clear: With having the USO in his bag, Nadal has one important piece more on his mantle than Federer.
It was often so - and it is good for the game - that two rivals take something away from each other. Budge had his Riggs, Gonzalez his Kramer, who beat him convincingly in his domain, the head to head pro series, Laver lost important matches to Rosewall, Borg was hurt by Connors and Mac at the USO. In the case of Edberg and Becker, i always thought, that those two combined would be the perfect player: Edbergs legs with Beckers cockyness and arm strenght, Edbergs backhand and volley with Boris' forehand and serve. In reality, they stole each other important titles. In Federer's case: I still think he still has a claim as goat, but this claim has been hampered since AO 2009, when Nadal beat him at the AO final. Federer lost to his biggest rival in the third successive major final, on all surfaces, on his own territories, and in that final at AO, with all cards in his hands. Since then he has to live with this great rival in his own era.
 
^^ Forgot to mention that Agassi is considered one of the best, if not the best, returners of serve of all time. Overrated???

Most agree that Agassi is an all-time great with plenty of achievements and a plethora of different titles. That's not underrating him.

But to place Agassi above Sampras in terms of records and dominance is overrating him.
 
Agassi was a better claycourter and rebound ace player than Sampras. Agassi is a combined 3-0 vs Sampras at the Australian Open and French Open, and Agassi won 4 Australian Opens and a French Open.
 
Trillus, I have never said Agassi was dominant, I know he wasn't, you don't need to convince me! I said he was more versatile than Sampras. There is absolutely nothing you can write that will convince me that doing good in 3 slams is better than doing good in all 4. Nothing. And Agassi played several finals at all 4 slams, something Sampras couldn't do, sorry.

Fine he was slightly more versatile only due to Sampras's problems on clay (I certainly cant say rebound ace when Sampras did better on his 2nd worst surface of rebound ace than Agassi did on most surfaces). However Sampras is still hands down the greater player. That was my main point. You dont question that do you.
 
As much as I despise Nadals ugly game, loud mouth, butt digging, no class, lame outfits, phony persona I agree with the true pimp Sampras. It is very possible.
 
As much as I despise Nadals ugly game, loud mouth, butt digging, no class, lame outfits, phony persona I agree with the true pimp Sampras. It is very possible.

No class? what? I suppose Federer has always been this pompous, classy person we all know and love/despise. Look at Federer when he was 19-23, he was a spotty, ugly dude with a shocking dress sense. Money does buy class in this case eh.
 
Funny. 2002 when Sampras played AA at the us open the people on tv said they can't see anyone breaking the record anytime soon. No one has that kind of skill. 8 years later an older player has 16 and a young gun has 9 and adding.
Not going to lie. This has been a great decade, and Sampras is correct. Nadal should pass Fed in the end

Back in the 90s and early 2000s they also expected tennis to evolve. They never expected 1 or 2 players to totally dominate an entire decade with pretty much zero competition.
 
*******s: let this be a good lesson for you - Olympics matters and a great H2H over your rival matters. Don't ever argue about this again.

"He's won all the majors. He's won the Olympics. He's dominated his main rival, in Roger," Sampras said, referring to the Spaniard's 14-7 head-to-head edge over the Swiss master.

Olympics are of secondary importance, like Masters events. Likewise, H2H is only important in-so-far as reflected in ranking, slam count, etc.
 
Most agree that Agassi is an all-time great with plenty of achievements and a plethora of different titles. That's not underrating him.

But to place Agassi above Sampras in terms of records and dominance is overrating him.


Jeez, ppl. Who is placing Agassi above Sampras? My comment on page 1 (post #16) was not supposed to be taken seriously. Did you read my follow up post on page 3:

My original comment was not meant to be taken seriously.

However, to call Agassi overrated is either naive or disingenuous. He may not have been as accomplished as Sampras and some of the others in Slam count. But overrated? Hardly. 8 slams, gold medal and a long productive career (twice as long as most in the past 4 decades) with 870 singles wins makes him one of the elite. Even tho' he was playing against much younger players in his last decade of play, he still managed to win better than 3/4 of all his singles matches -- not a trivial feat for one in their 30s. The modern game owes much to his innovations and playing style.
 
Perhaps, but he better not have anymore wrist problems that put him out for another 9-10 months again or you can forget about it. His game isn't even that taxing FFS. However, I'm not sure he can win all four majors. This is a very hard thing to do which was made to look somewhat easy by 2 guys lately.

Zero chance Del Potro ever wins Wimbledon. He is too tall, not limber enough, not athletic or quick enough, not comfortable enough slicing or volleying, there is just no way.

I do think he could win the other 3 slams though.
 
Looks like Sampras has fled to the Nadal camp.

He is counting on getting asked to play exos with Nadal in the coming years as people lose interest in Fed.
 
The *******s were admant that Federer is the GOAT because Sampras says so. Now 'ol Pete thinks the H2H is significant. LOL, I wouldn't want to be in the shoes of a Federer lover these days!

NEW YORK: Rafa Nadal is "a beast" on the court who is capable of overtaking Roger Federer as the all-time grand slam king, Pete Sampras said on Thursday.

"He's won all the majors. He's won the Olympics. He's dominated his main rival, in Roger," Sampras said, referring to the Spaniard's 14-7 head-to-head edge over the Swiss master.
 
The *******s were admant that Federer is the GOAT because Sampras says so. Now 'ol Pete thinks the H2H is significant. LOL, I wouldn't want to be in the shoes of a Federer lover these days!

I still like Federer and possibly more than Nadal and think he is the GOAT atleast for now...... Federer had his time....I have no problems being happy with what Federer achieved or what he may yet achieve in the next 2 odd years.

Now its Nadal's time....Lets enjoy Nadal the other contemporary great player of the current Era......If he manages to win 7- 8 slams more, you have to give it to him....he would be the GOAT....else there will always be open debates between warring factions and subjective viewpoints of the fedal ****s.
 
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Given how Nadal appears to be just entering his prime, I think there's the real possibility he could reach 16 total slams in only 3 seasons from now. In 2013, he'll be 27, so that could still be considered a prime year for him or at least one not far from his best level of tennis. For comparison, when Federer was 25 and 26 he won 3 GS each year and when 27 in 2008, he won 1 GS and lost the finals of 2 others to Nadal (while losing the AO SF to Djoker at less than 100%), so Rafa should be able to win at least 1-2 GS at 27 even if his level dips a bit.

Here's Rafa's most likely route to 16 (# of each GS he'd need to win over the next 3 years):

3 FOs- certainly very possible given he's lost only one match there in 6 years. There seem to be virtually no clay-courters at the moment capable of beating a healthy Nadal at RG (although predicting into 2012-2013 leaves more ambiguity).

2 Wimbys- again very possible. He's won 2 Wimbys in the last 3 years, so I see no reason he can't do it again from age 25-27. Unlike clay, there are definitely some guys who can give him trouble on grass, but nowhere near as many as on HC. Barring injury, he'll be the favourite going into 2011 Wimby and should retain that status for 2012-2013. Even if a resurgent Fed beats him one of these years, winning 2 out of 3 would still be within reach.

2 HC- this is probably the trickiest to predict, given how there are far more quality HC players capable of upsetting Rafa than at any other surface. Although Rafa did greatly improve his serve and fast HC game at the USO, nobody can doubt that he was gifted an incredibly easy road to the final thanks to numerous upsets in his half of the draw (most notably Murray). Whether he can consistently beat the likes of Murray, a healthy Delpo, Djoker (all of whom may not have hit their primes yet given their age), or even a resurgent Fed on HC and consequently win several HC majors is still in doubt. In that sense, what happens at the 2011 AO could be quite revealing for the next few years ahead. However, even if he does get "upset" by Murray, Delpo, or some other tough HC player at a few of these majors, winning 2 out of the next 6 HCs really doesn't seem like too much to ask of Rafa at his current level. He should be considered the favourite for at least this AO, and if he can take that, he just needs just one more weak draw in the next few years to reach that target.

From 2008-2010, Rafa won 6 majors (2 FO, 2 Wimby, 2 HC), so this would really be more a continuation of his recent pattern than a new level of success. Of course, this scenario still leaves room for Fed to win a couple more majors over time and bump his total above 16 (I could definitely see Fed winning 1 more Wimby and at least 1 more HC).

To me, the biggest qualifier in all this is his health. Unlike Fed, who had virtually no injury issues at age 24, Rafa has had some significant problems for most of the last few years and the way he plays is definitely not conducive to a long career. Given the strain on his body, it remains in doubt whether Rafa can dominate consistently from age 23-26 the way Fed did.

Where Fed's ongoing decline has been very gradual, I have a feeling Rafa's will be very sudden and dramatic (either some serious career-ending injury or he'll lose some quickness/stamina that is indispensable to his dominance and his results will rapidly deteriorate). In any case, the next 2-3 years will almost certainly be decisive in determining Nadal and Fed's ultimate status relative to each other and among the all-time GOATs.
 
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I think it is possible if Nadal stays healthy, continues to improve, and gets a little lucky, he could do the unthinkable and get two calender slams back to back to go to 17 majors.

Now that would be something to root for and would be incredible to see. I don't care who you are a fan of, that would put tennis out in front of any sport.
 
I think it is possible if Nadal stays healthy, continues to improve, and gets a little lucky, he could do the unthinkable and get two calender slams back to back to go to 17 majors.

As incredible as that would be, it's definitely expecting far too much. Murray is still his Achilles-Heel on HC, DelPo could well come back 100% next year, Fed is probably going to work with Annacone to make his game more aggressive (and hence more formidable on HCs), and there's still other big-hitting 2nd-tier guys who may be able to hit through Rafa on fast courts. He won't repeatedly get draws like the USO.

Rafa sweeping FO + Wimby for the next couple years is definitely realistic, but him winning 5 straight HC Slams (including the one already) just can't happen IMO. You can bump this in a year or 2 if I'm horribly wrong.
 
Who cares? 16 slams + career slam is an amazing achievement for any player regardless of head to heads with individuals. Only pundits and fans care who the greatest is/was/could be, honestly when Federer retires I doubt very much that he'll have any regrets.
 
Where Fed's ongoing decline has been very gradual, I have a feeling Rafa's will be very sudden and dramatic (either some serious career-ending injury or he'll lose some quickness/stamina that is indispensable to his dominance and his results will rapidly deteriorate). In any case, the next 2-3 years will almost certainly be decisive in determining Nadal and Fed's ultimate status relative to each other and among the all-time GOATs.

Federer stopped trying to improve his game, and even ignored parts of his game such as serve-volley and chip-charging, flat backhand, and now he doesn't even feel comfortable trying those things against top players.

Whereas Rafa is a hard-worker, always looking to improve, so his strengths will only get stronger and his weaknesses will continue to become strengths. The only way this pattern stops occurring is if Rafa simply can't run anymore. While he can run it's just not in his nature to let parts of his game slip and that is why when he is 30 he will still be playing polished tennis. Either that or he'll retire, as he always said, he'll play for as long as he can improve.
 
Who cares? 16 slams + career slam is an amazing achievement for any player regardless of head to heads with individuals. Only pundits and fans care who the greatest is/was/could be, honestly when Federer retires I doubt very much that he'll have any regrets.

Yes, very much so. Both players are legends in their own right and I don't think it's quite so simple to say Nadal>Federer, but let's see how their career pan out. It feels like these comparisons are done to make people feel good about themselves. My player is better than yours, therefore I win. Ha-ha! Jolly good laugh and all that!
 
god i hope nadal doesnt come crashing back down to earth next year after all this nadal hyping.

remember 2009 after his 2008 year?
 
The only thing I'd like to see changed in his schedule is that I think he should completely skip the Florida hardcourt season (and also skip Rotterdam). I'm sure that won't happen, but hopefully he only plays Indian Wells, and nothing else. That'd be the best case scenario.
 
It really doesn't matter what Sampras, or anyone else says. The only problem is when people attach importance to what others say. Former players, pundits, writers, etc. are paid for, or looked to for their opinions. That doesn't make their opinions valid, or gospel.

Many people cling to their assertions and try to use them as leverage in arguments only to end up with egg on their face. One thing we know is that the tennis landscape always changes and comments made can be easily dismissed in light of new information. So, if what Pete said a few years ago strengthened someone's opinion, then surely Pete offering a much wider view now has to be a little deflating, because some of their validity was lost.

It never bothered me what the "experts" said, regardless of their "knowledge" or opinion. It's still only an opinion.

The first time I saw Nadal I knew he was a special talent, and neither praise or criticism swayed my decision making capabilities.

Now, as to what Pete said, I think he is right along with a lot of other people who didn't think for themselves, but went along with the status quo. Now the status quo is being made to see that they were too hasty in their judgments. Rafa has proved them all wrong. So, for all of their he won't do this, he won't do that theories, it appears they didn't know as much as some fans.

Whether you like Rafa or not, there's no denying that he's a huge talent. Better? Meh. Who cares. The only one who should be caring about their greatness and legacy are those who have an actual stake in it, and that in my opinion boils down to those two, and those two only.

Rafa could surpass Fed, and he could not. Either way both men have contributed greatly to the sport as a whole. The whole tennis community should be grateful for the tennis they both have put on display.

The constant bickering amongst fans is stupid. Even if you like Federer's game because you think it's elegant, it shouldn't be outside the realm of thinking that others don't feel the same way. Dogging Rafa out isn't helping Fed. He's just a player trying to fulfill his own dreams.

When they both hang up their rackets they should be proud of what they accomplished, and what they brought to their own lives. The rest of us should simply enjoy the tennis. That's what I'm going to do. While Rafa is playing I'm going to enjoy seeing the most passionate, exciting, and humble champion I've ever seen.

His knees, his achievements, belong to him. Thankfully, I can separate the two. I'm pleased about that.
 
Yes, very much so. Both players are legends in their own right and I don't think it's quite so simple to say Nadal>Federer, but let's see how their career pan out. It feels like these comparisons are done to make people feel good about themselves. My player is better than yours, therefore I win. Ha-ha! Jolly good laugh and all that!

Yep, pretty pathetic and childish if you ask me. I'm really hoping to see someone who can do better than a 315-24 win loss record over a 4 year period, as well as make 10 consecutive slam finals and win more than 8 of them. It's going to take someone really special to beat a lot of Federer's records, and I really hope I get to see that in my life time.
 
Yep, pretty pathetic and childish if you ask me. I'm really hoping to see someone who can do better than a 315-24 win loss record over a 4 year period, as well as make 10 consecutive slam finals and win more than 8 of them. It's going to take someone really special to beat a lot of Federer's records, and I really hope I get to see that in my life time.

Join the club. I'm on the Dimitrov bandwagon now, and with right too. He's been having the best summer of his short career. Jumped from 359 in the world in January, to his current 136. Youngest in the top 150. If he keeps it up he may just get a WC or manage to qualify for the AO. Then the fun begins.
 
Given how Nadal appears to be just entering his prime, I think there's the real possibility he could reach 16 total slams in only 3 seasons from now. In 2013, he'll be 27, so that could still be considered a prime year for him or at least one not far from his best level of tennis. For comparison, when Federer was 25 and 26 he won 3 GS each year and when 27 in 2008, he won 1 GS and lost the finals of 2 others to Nadal (while losing the AO SF to Djoker at less than 100%), so Rafa should be able to win at least 1-2 GS at 27 even if his level dips a bit.

Here's Rafa's most likely route to 16 (# of each GS he'd need to win over the next 3 years):

3 FOs- certainly very possible given he's lost only one match there in 6 years. There seem to be virtually no clay-courters at the moment capable of beating a healthy Nadal at RG (although predicting into 2012-2013 leaves more ambiguity).

2 Wimbys- again very possible. He's won 2 Wimbys in the last 3 years, so I see no reason he can't do it again from age 25-27. Unlike clay, there are definitely some guys who can give him trouble on grass, but nowhere near as many as on HC. Barring injury, he'll be the favourite going into 2011 Wimby and should retain that status for 2012-2013. Even if a resurgent Fed beats him one of these years, winning 2 out of 3 would still be within reach.

2 HC- this is probably the trickiest to predict, given how there are far more quality HC players capable of upsetting Rafa than at any other surface. Although Rafa did greatly improve his serve and fast HC game at the USO, nobody can doubt that he was gifted an incredibly easy road to the final thanks to numerous upsets in his half of the draw (most notably Murray). Whether he can consistently beat the likes of Murray, a healthy Delpo, Djoker (all of whom may not have hit their primes yet given their age), or even a resurgent Fed on HC and consequently win several HC majors is still in doubt. In that sense, what happens at the 2011 AO could be quite revealing for the next few years ahead. However, even if he does get "upset" by Murray, Delpo, or some other tough HC player at a few of these majors, winning 2 out of the next 6 HCs really doesn't seem like too much to ask of Rafa at his current level. He should be considered the favourite for at least this AO, and if he can take that, he just needs just one more weak draw in the next few years to reach that target.

From 2008-2010, Rafa won 6 majors (2 FO, 2 Wimby, 2 HC), so this would really be more a continuation of his recent pattern than a new level of success. Of course, this scenario still leaves room for Fed to win a couple more majors over time and bump his total above 16 (I could definitely see Fed winning 1 more Wimby and at least 1 more HC).

To me, the biggest qualifier in all this is his health. Unlike Fed, who had virtually no injury issues at age 24, Rafa has had some significant problems for most of the last few years and the way he plays is definitely not conducive to a long career. Given the strain on his body, it remains in doubt whether Rafa can dominate consistently from age 23-26 the way Fed did.

Where Fed's ongoing decline has been very gradual, I have a feeling Rafa's will be very sudden and dramatic (either some serious career-ending injury or he'll lose some quickness/stamina that is indispensable to his dominance and his results will rapidly deteriorate). In any case, the next 2-3 years will almost certainly be decisive in determining Nadal and Fed's ultimate status relative to each other and among the all-time GOATs.

Nice post, I agree with a lot of it. :)

In terms of decline, nadal has no weaknesses at all on clay. For him off the ground on clay every shot is possible from everywhere on the court. While the FO rewards quickness/speed, you can also win there with average/below average speed, like Kuerten, moya, ferrero, costa, gaudio, courier, gomez.

Moya, and ferrero (gaudio too?) are good athletes, coordinated on the run, moya especially I find to be very smooth, but they are not really elite on those dimensions. Nadal's margins on clay are also extraordinary, he wins without losing sets, which means even if he drops he will still have margins to work with that are similar to a very good player on clay.

If nadal can control his competitiveness, he can play at RG for a long time imo. :) Since his 81 game streak I always thought he had good chances to break borg's FO record, but if he can take like 9 FOs, that would be something, lol. :)
 
It doesnt matter if he reaches or surpasses fed. What matters is all those matches fed-nad played that nads won over federer.. All the beat downs at the french-big win at the AO, and wimbledon win.. Fed did beat nadal at wimbledon twice though..
 
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Nice post, I agree with a lot of it. :)

In terms of decline, nadal has no weaknesses at all on clay. For him off the ground on clay every shot is possible from everywhere on the court. While the FO rewards quickness/speed, you can also win there with average/below average speed, like Kuerten, moya, ferrero, costa, gaudio, courier, gomez.

Moya, and ferrero (gaudio too?) are good athletes, coordinated on the run, moya especially I find to be very smooth, but they are not really elite on those dimensions. Nadal's margins on clay are also extraordinary, he wins without losing sets, which means even if he drops he will still have margins to work with that are similar to a very good player on clay.

If nadal can control his competitiveness, he can play at RG for a long time imo. :) Since his 81 game streak I always thought he had good chances to break borg's FO record, but if he can take like 9 FOs, that would be something, lol. :)

I think as he gets older he might choose to play only 2 tune ups pre french.
 
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