Proved by who? Where is this proof? Let's see it.Are you just a moron or an idiot? It has unequivocally been proven that draws have been rigged, in fact a Major....
Proved by who? Where is this proof? Let's see it.Are you just a moron or an idiot? It has unequivocally been proven that draws have been rigged, in fact a Major....
Maybe both. Because I clearly am horrible at my job if someone on a forum is telling me how sample-biased probabilistic phenomena has been miraculously causally linked to a deterministic event. Let me hang my head in shame for believing that even if not sample-biased, toppling randomness with a sample of 23 is like conquering the United States by passively insulting the governor of Guam.
Don't mind me. I am just a moron or an idiot, though to me the distinction between the two is not clear. That's probably because I am a moronic idiot.
tennisaddict needs to calm the fook down. None of your one million threads on a tennis forum is going to change the outcome of tennis tournaments. Stop your addiction.
Are you just a moron or an idiot? It has unequivocally been proven that draws have been rigged, in fact a Major....
I would rather suggest reduced involvement of human intelligence in process of draw making. Draw making programs are perfectly random and well designed until humans gets involved in Process. It's well known secret, how this random draw making programs keeps drawing Berdych- Federer pair of pigeons as potential QF and SF for Nadal of in majority of big tournament these days. His AO and Madrid draws are blatant cases of draw rigging which is very usual process in Tennis.
You have no proof. All you have are baseless accusations not founded in science or data. Anyone can argue anything by the virtue of a few corner cases. That certainly doesn't make the conclusion generalizable. You haven't presented any proof of your conspiracy claims. Is Mahut-Isner seriously the best you've come up with?
Let me hand you a tissue for your tears of bitterness. Shall we should call the #wah-mbulance for your #breakdown? Maybe someone can call the #police to report the grave #injustice you endured as a result of the #unintelligent draw. #DamagedHewitt and Harrison are great examples of players who get the stick everytime.
Isner has met Kohlschreiber the last 3 USO in the 3R.
1. Fognini is meeting Dmitrov in R2 for the third consecutive master.
2. Fed played Cuevas for the first time ever last week
3. Historically Novak has had several tough draws
4. Ryan Harrison would always get big 3 in R1
Computer algorithm should account for such things and average out over a calendar year
^^ We can philosophize all we want, but it is usually easy to have consensus on what consists of a tough draw for a given tournament.
1.A player who is in red hot form and has done well in the tournaments leading up to this one.
2. A player who is known to be a bad matchup for a given player
3. A big hitter in decent form on a relatively fast surface.
Take the example of Tsonga sometime in 2011, especially after he beat Fed at Wimbledon. He was in red hot form for a few months and was drawn to meet Federer in the quarters almost all the time (including Canada and USO and then he was in Fed's half in the WTF). The moment he cooled down and lost form, this trend stopped too and he started landing in other's quarters. Such "coincidences" are hard to ignore. Maybe the organizers wanted to cash in on the Wimbledon rematch again. How can you tell for sure it was a mere coincidence ?
The same Tsonga when in red hot form has never landed in Nadal's quarter at a slam ever since the 2008 AO shellacking. That is 7 straight years ! Look up how many times Tsonga has played the rest of the big 3 in slams in those 7 years. Djoko - 5 times, Fed-6 times, Murray-3 times. Nadal - 0 times. Is this a coincidence again ? I don't know, you tell me.
If draws are more "intelligent", they wouldn't be fair. Brute chance is the only fair way to draw matches.
This. The whole idea with the ranking is to rank the best players in the world at any given time in a falling order. The seedings are mainly based on that. There is not a more fair way to go about it than that.
That's right. If we use "intelligence" which one do we use? Eventually one school of thought would prevail and it will be a dictatorship, not democracy.
People who think they are intelligent will dictate. That is the worst thing we can have. I don't want to live in the middle ages anymore where truth was based on opinions and not on reality.
There is too much politics in tennis anyway, and OP wants to bring even more? No, sir, I object.
^^^ Actually, I was only trying to say that the current system is flawed/prone to rigging. I am not really agreeing with the OP. All I want is a 100% fair system without any room for rigging. There should be ways of ensuring that.
One other thought I've had is that you first draw up the 4 quarters and then let the top seed pick the quarter he wants, followed by second seed picking his quarter etc. Atleast this way, we won't have ridiculous scenarios like the top seed being punished by the toughest draw while the 3rd or 4th seed has a cakewalk repeatedly. It is as fair as it can get because there has to be some advantage to being a top seed, right ?
^^^ Actually, I was only trying to say that the current system is flawed/prone to rigging. I am not really agreeing with the OP's method of using AI or something . All I want is a 100% fair system without any room for rigging. There should be ways of ensuring that.
One other thought I've had is that you first draw up the 4 quarters and then let the top seed pick the quarter he wants, followed by second seed picking his quarter etc. Atleast this way, we won't have ridiculous scenarios like the top seed being punished by the toughest draw while the 3rd or 4th seed has a cakewalk repeatedly. It is as fair as it can get because there has to be some advantage to being a top seed, right ?
There is no such thing as a fair system. Perfection is an illusion. Everything in the world is too complex to be fair, so life is unfair.
Is it fair that Federer has more talent and was lucky to have great coaches and parents and opportunities? Is it fair that Nadal has 14 slams and that some pros can't even win a tournament?
You can't create a fair system, since we don't have the knowledge to even determine what fair is. But at least math is still better than other systems.
To make things fair, we would have to measure dna to determine talent, then to give people with less talent more chance from the start. But, we can't do that, it's too complex.
What we can do is have some sort of democracy based on reality. Far from perfect, but other systems are even worse.
I, like you, would not be surprised at all if many of today's draws are in fact rigged. Let's face it. Money are the biggest factor here, and some matchups bring more income than others. But we will never be able to prove it, and as long as we can't prove anything, then rigging doesn't exist.
I actually kind of like your idea of the top seeds picking their quarter. Would bring an extra dimension to the game, and possibly also give the higher seeds a well deserved advantage. But again, rigging doesn't exist until it's proved, which it most likely never will be.
Ok, so if draws are rigged, that means we already have an intelligent system and not a random system . So, OP shouldn't complain.
Also, I don't see how rigging draws would change anything anyway. The field is not static. The field would see that the draws are rigged and they would adjust. For example, if someone sees that he gets his bad matchup a lot of times, he would just improve that matchup more and ignore the rest. So, things would even themselves out anyway and the best players would still prevail.
So, the guy who has least bad matchups would still win the most, right? And that would still be Federer, who seems to have the least bad matchups.
Correct. No matter the system, the best players will usually come out on top anyway.
That's right. If we use "intelligence" which one do we use? Eventually one school of thought would prevail and it will be a dictatorship, not democracy.
People who think they are intelligent will dictate. That is the worst thing we can have. I don't want to live in the middle ages anymore where truth was based on opinions and not on reality.
There is too much politics in tennis anyway, and OP wants to bring even more? No, sir, I object.
You don't know what you're talking about. The draw is not random in the sense that players draw straws. It is a random SEED. The seed which is a non-random "intelligent" system that tries to coerce the game to its own goals.
The only reason why the random seed structure is tolerated is because it works...for the most part. The seed is based on rankings, and because different tournaments provide different ranking points , the system is possible to game. A player has an interest to skip a minor tournament in favor of one with a greater yield. In a perfect setting, this would not happen and players could not control the seed beyond trying to simply win. A level of human interaction will always be required to suit the preferences of the viewers and the players and the officials. But this is where it ends. If you deviate from the random seed, you change the preferences of players making it by definition a less optimal solution to this game. A random seed is scientifically proven to be the most optimal game design for the tournament problem.
Are you just a moron or an idiot? It has unequivocally been proven that draws have been rigged, in fact a Major....
I meant exactly what you are saying here, so I don't know what the problem is. You just argue over semantics. You love to argue and prove me wrong more than caring about the truth.
For some reason you love to put me down all the time, which I take as a compliment .
The point of the thread is not to say the randomness is garbage and throw it out. Nor is it to say an "intelligent" draw is garbage and throw it out. The random seed represents both a human system to coerce the best players to the final, and a stochastic system to randomize AROUND those human-set parameters. There is ALREADY an intelligent system for the draw by way of seeding. Saying that we should have cold hard randomness without intelligent design is irrelevant because that would take us to a time before Laver. The system already IS intelligent design. It breaks impartiality and includes a bias. The saving grace is that this bias is what the players, the tournament officials and the viewers all want anyways. This ain't some dramatic argument between whether the draw should be stochastic or deterministic. We're past that point.
This. The whole idea with the ranking is to rank the best players in the world at any given time in a falling order. The seedings are mainly based on that. There is not a more fair way to go about it than that.
That for the most part false, the draws are what they are for commercialism. The 1996 USO FIXED DRAW and REDRAW is a reality that was a culmination of that pressure. No player petitioned for it, no fan lobbied for it. If anything, REAL fans that actually support the sport not just the venues understand the shortcoming of the elitest rank sytem with the obvious draw rigging. If SEEDING were all that went on most would be fine with the draws, but the obvious placement of Q/WC players, the limited "randomness" of high seeds and low seeds, and that current form means squat is not even a laughable concept for draw making. Once everyone admits its an elitest system and designed to only appear to be fair and not functionally be fair the system can then be fixed. Like the drug testing, the draw system needs transparency and maybe an outside entity that doesnt rely on broadcasting/commercialization for its income to govern it.
I hear you. I don't think #tennisaddict has ever attended a professional draw ceremony. The conspiracy theories are unreasonable in this instance.The notion that draws are fixed and determined by commercial forces is really naive.
These folks don't understand how probability works.
The notion that draws are fixed and determined by commercial forces is really naive.
These folks don't understand how probability works.
Let me just say that I have studied 'Operations Research/Optimization' at a fairly advanced level.
I hear you. I don't think #tennisaddict has ever attended a professional draw ceremony. The conspiracy theories are unreasonable in this instance.
#AngiesLyst
The notion that draws are fixed and determined by commercial forces is really naive.
These folks don't understand how probability works.
Let us assume that the draw is random. Should it be more intelligent than restricting randomness using 16 seeded players in most tournaments, and 32 seeded men in slam tournaments? I would say no. In fact it is too "intelligent". There is no need to seed 32 players regardless of the size of the field. The idea that the seeding should increase based on the size of the field doesn't make any sense - as if to say every player plays better specifically because there are more players in the tournament. As tennis stands now (and as it has stood for years), it would be best for no tournament to have more than 16 seeded players. 32 seeds overly restricts the randomness and leads to somewhat unexciting results through the rounds.
I posted this on another thread, but this is perhaps a case for rethinking the way draws are made.
Rankings of the R1 and R2 opponents respectively for the 'big 4' at RG 2015 :
no.1 seed Djoker : #87 , #55
no.2 seed Fed : #109, #57
no.3 seed Murray : #137, #44
no.6 seed Nadal : #296 , #154
One idea is : After a given round is completed, should they re-draw with whoever is left ?
This way, you wouldn't have the perceived unfairness with the #1 seed consistently getting a tougher draw compared to #6.
While we all say things even out over a career, often it does not. We have seen how Fed and Novak were drawn each other in every slam during the previous years when they were ranked 1 and 3. ( what like 14 of 18 majors ?)
You could be a decent player and in form but get very tough draws. You could be in decline and at that time an easy draw may not mean much as you are losing anyway.
I think since computers are used in these draws perhaps it can employ some intelligence in terms of the draws players had in the prior tournaments by surface and then propose opponent ?
This way a top player does not keep drawing the Jazeri's and the Stevie Johnson every time.
Draws are rigged depending on a lot of different factors. Get over it, you are not going to change it. If you were operating a multi-billion dollar business would you want to leave things completely to chance? There is always a little strategic help depending on what country they are in, who the sponsors are for the tournament, which players the tv viewing audience would like to see in the final, etc. etc.