So, Carlo's absymal form on HC continues?

[NeutralFan]

He's doing fine, he is going to bounce back.

Let's see , I want him to do well and create rivalry with Sinner everywhere ( not just on clay and grass)

 

[KingCarlitos]

Carlitos won a slam on HC, not bad….

 

[Hitman]

Let's see , I want him to do well and create rivalry with Sinner everywhere ( not just on clay and grass)

I am sure your wishes will come true. These two are still very young.

 

[tudwell]

Carlitos overall game is somewhat unique in that his overall game can be dominant, but he does not dominate matches/tournaments commensurate with that dominant game. There is one final step he has take though not sure he’ll get there, but there are matches in which he should have a stranglehold but doesn't. Against Monfils, for example, he was ahead in sho many points only to lose them and there really didn’t seem any path for Monfils to win and yet he did. There seem to be so many of these matches for Carlitos.

2024 Carlitos dominance ratio: 1.27

Look at this number; overall, relative to the tour, it’s a very good number, but it’s not anywhere close to what you expect from someone who could be/should be dominating the tour. When you look at the Big 3, you see that a number like 1.27 would be something from their weaker years, e.g., Fedr’s 2013, Djoko’s 2017, Rafito’s 2015, etc.

Here’s Djoko’s dominance ratios:

Here’s Fedr’s:

And Rafito’s:

I’ve said it before here, I think, but this really feels like a down year for Alcaraz, despite the two slams. After Wimbledon last year he was 47-4, I believe, winning six of the ten events he’d played. After Cincy he would have been somewhere around 53-6. This year he’s 38-8. Three titles total. His two slam wins were great struggles, while last year at Wimbledon he went through pretty comfortably other than the final (and the Jarry match, to an extent).

Carlos’s form this year hasn’t been as good as last year but he managed to clutch out two majors. If he can keep that mental edge while getting his overall level back up, I think the future bodes well for him.

 

[StefanosRespecter]

Didn't Sinner just lose to Rublev in the QF's in Canada? And he's never gone past the QF's at the US Open while Alcaraz is a former champion of that slam and the holder of 2 slams right now?

Why are you assuming Sinner is making the US Open final? Lol

Because he is the number one ranked player and HC is his best surface.

 

[StefanosRespecter]

In my opinion Sinner is the favourite for us open. His ball striking is amazing and he moves even better on hard.

Carlos will likely have a run but he’s more rushed on hard courts. I see him losing to one of sinner, Djokovic, meddy or Zverev. He can be vulnerable to others too but especially them.

I think Carlos will have a good domination run on grass and maybe clay but hard courts will prove more challenging.

Vegas has Carlos but I agree with you.

 

[StefanosRespecter]

The guy who just lost to Rublev in Canada and didn't even play the Olympics is the favourite? At least the other top players had the excuse of going from French clay to North American hard court for their poor losses. But Sinner took time off with his "tonsillitis" while he was hooking up with Kalinskaya in Italy and then embarrassed himself in Canada.

How is he the favourite? I'd dare say Novak is more of a favourite for the USO than the dude who's never gone beyond the QF in New York.

Are you really going to ignore the fact that Sinner is in the SF of Cinci? After just beating Rublev? Also if a tennis player loses a match to the 8th ranked player, he can automatically be ruled out to make the finals of the US Open? This has no logic.

 

[ghostofMecir]

I’ve said it before here, I think, but this really feels like a down year for Alcaraz, despite the two slams. After Wimbledon last year he was 47-4, I believe, winning six of the ten events he’d played. After Cincy he would have been somewhere around 53-6. This year he’s 38-8. Three titles total. His two slam wins were great struggles, while last year at Wimbledon he went through pretty comfortably other than the final (and the Jarry match, to an extent).

Carlos’s form this year hasn’t been as good as last year but he managed to clutch out two majors. If he can keep that mental edge while getting his overall level back up, I think the future bodes well for him.

It’s very interesting and rare, but on a match to match, set to set basis, he was more dominant last year than he has been this year.

 

[TennisGrandpA]

And it continues @dking68 @Kralingen @Hitman @Djokovic_is_the_best#1 @TheGoldenEra1990’s

 

[Nappa]

And it continues @dking68 @Kralingen @Hitman

Sinner is not doing any better. He is older and has less slams. Dont be cocky.

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Sinner is not doing any better. He is older and has less slams. Dont be cocky.

Sinner has improved in last one and half years and Sinner has regressed on HC ( check results)

 

[DSH]

What's wrong with Carlos HC game? Has he maxed out already or players have figured it out? As a Sinner fan I want him to do well and meet Sinner in USO final but the way he has been playing on HC I doubt he makes beyond qf lol. His serve seems ineffective on HC, his point construction and shot selection is suspect, he's losing games he should have won . In a nutshell, he's playing same tennis he was playing at 19. If I was a Carlos fan I would be worried since 2 slams are on HC . What do you sons think about his HC form post Wimbledon 2023? What changes he should make in his game? Should he fire JCF? Discuss

Alcaraz's deep malaise deepens; is it time for new changes, or will the clay court tour bring spring and joy back to his game?

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Alcaraz's deep malaise deepens; is it time for new changes, or will the clay court tour bring spring and joy back to his game?

It can’t be lack of joy and spring when it continues on a particular surface for more than two years

 

[DSH]

It can’t be lack of joy and spring when it continues on a particular surface for more than two years

Last year he won in Indian Wells in impressive fashion.
This season he couldn't even reach the final.

 

[TennisGrandpA]

Last year he won in Indian Wells in impressive fashion.
This season he couldn't even reach the final

I think he needs a new coach and someone who can fix his basics like point construction, shot selection and tennis iq. I feel sorry for his fans

 

[Bride of Alcaraz]

Since the 2024 Olympics, people say Alcaraz has been in a slump...
But he won the 2024 China Open (beating Sinner in the Final) and won 2025 Rotterdam.
So his hardcourt results have been better than nearly everyone in the world
So he wins Roland Garros and Wimbledon every year, wins 2 hardcourt titles every year, and beats Sinner at every meeting
No problem can be found...

 

[DSH]

Since the 2024 Olympics, people say Alcaraz has been in a slump...
But he won the 2024 China Open (beating Sinner in the Finals) and won 2025 Rotterdam.
So his hardcourt results have been better than nearly everyone in the world

What's your prediction if Alcaraz and Sinner face each other at Roland Garros and Wimbledon, presumably in the finals of both major tournaments?

 

[Bride of Alcaraz]

What's your prediction if Alcaraz and Sinner face each other at Roland Garros and Wimbledon, presumably in the finals of both major tournaments?

Well they met in the SFs of last year's RG, so they might not meet in the Finals, and Zverev is great at RG and can beat Sinner there and so can others, considering on clay Sinner's only ever won Umag 2022...
Alcaraz didn't play much on clay last year (the only clay event he played was Madrid before RG) and still beat Sinner... I'd say Alcaraz beats Sinner in straight sets at RG this year
And at Wimbledon i expect Alcaraz also beats Sinner in straight sets - but they are less likely to meet, because Djokovic could get in the way of Sinner
Sinner has lost 6 sets in a row to Djokovic at Wimbledon, so he's got some serious problems on grass...