Actually I was concerned they would drop to a 4 seed and have to play a one seed in the regionals which could have meant a R64 exit. But they might avoid that fate now. Although I agree that anything better than 20 would require them to run the table from here and perhaps win the Pac12 championship. Given how strong Arizona is, that will be near impossible.If you look at their WTN, you might not be too far off. Either due to scheduling, or not winning against top teams or both, you earn #41. I suspect they will get back to around 25. Any higher and my guess is they will have to flat our finish the season from here undefeated. Some of the ranking insiders may may be able to narrow down where they can finish from here, but hosting a region looks to be greater than a longshot.
The other thing that strikes me is apart from Basavareddy who's been cruising and possibly Rajesh, none of the others are winning easy which just makes it dicey. This was the case against lowly UNLV too. The Card need to tighten up if they harbor any hopes of making some noise at NCAAs.