tbh is it realistic for nadal to win Roland Garros 2019, 2020 and 2021?

Bukowski

Professional
Eh.. I think if you look back to 2013 you never wouldve foreseen his 2015-2016 drop off.. so its hard to predict, but yes id say so. Can't really think of other players who have come about besides Thiem in the last few years who bother Rafa on clay.
 
Yes maybe
Unless djokostanrray regroup themselves out of s**t, who will challenge him???
Diego....surely, but rain will halt him and also his stamina for 5 sets against nadal is questionable
Thiem......BO3 yes....but endless ballbashing will not bother bull on BO5 at PC
 

deaner2211

Semi-Pro
we shall revisit this thread in the near future.

there is no 1 even close to ****** on clay. he only lost 1 set ....was unchallenged mainly. is it possible?
Since men's tennis is so weak I would say he has a 95% chance of winning 4 more FO and 2 other slams, which depends on when Roger retires. Tennis is so weak now that Roger could possibly win a couple slams in his 40's.
 

mightyjeditribble

Hall of Fame
No it's not realistic imo. 1 more is likely, 2 more possible but hardly a given.

Winning 5 in a row in his 30s? That would be in a way an even greater achievement than everything he's done at RG so far. Too much to ask IMO.

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mightyjeditribble

Hall of Fame
What if AO, FO, Wimbledon, and USO are clay courts. The Nadal would have at least 30 grand slam titles and RF have to skip them all.
Also, in that case people would be honing their clay game more and Nadal would have more competition. Same with grass.

Most people prioritize hard courts these days because that's where the most tennis is played. So let's leave the hypotheticals at home and enjoy what we've got, shall we?

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deaner2211

Semi-Pro
No it's not realistic imo. 1 more is likely, 2 more possible but hardly a given.

Winning 5 in a row in his 30s? That would be in a way an even greater achievement than everything he's done at RG so far. Too much to ask IMO.

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Then give 3 names on who can beat him. Only one thing (not a person) can beat Nadal at RG.
 

Rosstour

Hall of Fame
He will be the main threat to win RG until 2025 or so.

He could seriously win the next 5 or 6 before falling off enough to get beat consistently. He's "only" 32. He will be winning RGs into his late 30s and will turn 40 in 2026.

Connors made a USO SF at 39/40 and that was 25 years ago with hardly any of the advances in sports med/nutrition that Rafa has at his disposal. You'd be a fool to think Rafa can't win another 5 or 6 RGs in the next 8 years.
 

mightyjeditribble

Hall of Fame
He will be the main threat to win RG until 2025 or so.

He could seriously win the next 5 or 6 before falling off enough to get beat consistently. He's "only" 32. He will be winning RGs into his late 30s and will turn 40 in 2026.

Connors made a USO SF at 39/40 and that was 25 years ago with hardly any of the advances in sports med/nutrition that Rafa has at his disposal. You'd be a fool to think Rafa can't win another 5 or 6 RGs in the next 8 years.
Right. Connors made the 1991 semi - not final, not winning - on hard, not on clay.

Would you have predicted two years ago that Djokovic would lose to Cecchinato at RG this year? When Fed won his fifth consecutive USO in 2008, would you have predicted that he would not win another for ten years?

Nadal has a good chance to win again next year, which is amazing in itself. But he is not getting younger and clay is a demanding surface. Let's see how 2019 goes, but I just don't see him winning even 2019-2021, let alone until 2022.

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Rosstour

Hall of Fame
Right. Connors made the 1991 semi - not final, not winning - on hard, not on clay.

Would you have predicted two years ago that Djokovic would lose to Cecchinato at RG this year? When Fed won his fifth consecutive USO in 2008, would you have predicted that he would not win another for ten years?

Nadal has a good chance to win again next year, which is amazing in itself. But he is not getting younger and clay is a demanding surface. Let's see how 2019 goes, but I just don't see him winning even 2019-2021, let alone until 2022.

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Re Djoker, there are plenty of posts from me here predicting his Djecline. I didn't predict Cecchinato specifically but I did absolutely foresee his downfall.

Here's the thing--Rafa is indeed not getting younger. And he's no longer a threat to win a CYGS. But he's still the greatest clay-courter we have ever seen, and at this point he's not even being remotely challenged in Bo5 on clay.

So as far as I can see, without Djok and Murray to challenge him at RG and USO...those tournaments are his for the taking for the foreseeable future. He will continue to buoy his ranking on the strength of the clay schedule, which will guarantee him cupcake draws on hard courts.

The schedule and points structure is tailor made for Rafa to continue dominating the game simply by dominating the clay season.
 
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