merlinpinpin
Hall of Fame
With the recent uptick that we're seeing in Europe, here is what could conceivabky happen in the next couple of months:
1) Madrid: the first domino to fall, obviously. With the resurgence of The Thing in Spain, it's doubtful that it will take place at the moment. It still could, I guess, but things aren't looking good. If this were the only one to fall, it wouldn't impact the rest of the season, though.
2) Roland Garros: the big one. They're desperate to hold the tournament at all costs, even going so far as trampling the whole Tour to reschedule it (they also want 60% attendance, which they won't get, in all likelihood). However, it has probably been rescheduled too late. The Thing is spiking up again in France with the holiday, and it will be much worse by the end of September. Pretty sure the organizers would be willing to hold the tournament even within a full-blown pandemic, but they may not get any choice in the matter. And if RG falls, the whole castle comes crashing down, imho.
3) Without RG, there's no reason to go to Rome anymore, and this would probably turn into a second-rate tournament at best (provided (a) the current situation holds in Italy, and (b) the tournament isn't cancelled anyway).
4) Should the whole European clay season disappear, there's a good chance a lot of Europeans players won't go to the US to play just one or two tournaments. If RG falls, that will probably be a wrap for the 2020 season (don't expect any indoor tennis at the end of the year).
Not saying that this will happen, only that it very well could. It would be ironic should the situation in New York be determined by what is going on in Europe, but this year has been so crazy that this would almost be par for the course at this point.
What I mean is, New York seems to have the situation under control (although the US as a whole obviously haven't), so the most important numbers are coming from Europe right now--even as far as the US Open is concerned. Should the situation get any worse in Spain, and especially in France, beware...
1) Madrid: the first domino to fall, obviously. With the resurgence of The Thing in Spain, it's doubtful that it will take place at the moment. It still could, I guess, but things aren't looking good. If this were the only one to fall, it wouldn't impact the rest of the season, though.
2) Roland Garros: the big one. They're desperate to hold the tournament at all costs, even going so far as trampling the whole Tour to reschedule it (they also want 60% attendance, which they won't get, in all likelihood). However, it has probably been rescheduled too late. The Thing is spiking up again in France with the holiday, and it will be much worse by the end of September. Pretty sure the organizers would be willing to hold the tournament even within a full-blown pandemic, but they may not get any choice in the matter. And if RG falls, the whole castle comes crashing down, imho.
3) Without RG, there's no reason to go to Rome anymore, and this would probably turn into a second-rate tournament at best (provided (a) the current situation holds in Italy, and (b) the tournament isn't cancelled anyway).
4) Should the whole European clay season disappear, there's a good chance a lot of Europeans players won't go to the US to play just one or two tournaments. If RG falls, that will probably be a wrap for the 2020 season (don't expect any indoor tennis at the end of the year).
Not saying that this will happen, only that it very well could. It would be ironic should the situation in New York be determined by what is going on in Europe, but this year has been so crazy that this would almost be par for the course at this point.
What I mean is, New York seems to have the situation under control (although the US as a whole obviously haven't), so the most important numbers are coming from Europe right now--even as far as the US Open is concerned. Should the situation get any worse in Spain, and especially in France, beware...