NoleFam
Bionic Poster
Federer vs Nadal
hardcourt, 11-9 Federer
clay, 14-2 Nadal
grass, 3-1 Federer
overall, 24-16 Nadal
Nadal is so far ahead of Federer on clay that he is able to enjoy an 8 match difference in the head to head. Nadal has won 56.8% of games on clay in this match up, compared to Federer winning 51.9% on hardcourt and 50.3% on grass. Nadal actually led Federer 9-6 on hardcourt before 2015, so Federer turned around this match up on this surface once he reached 34 and Nadal was 29. This shows that when their primes aligned, Nadal was at best even with Federer in this match up on this surface and because of Nadal being so dominant over him on clay, Federer loses in this head to head in any scenario—that being whether he began his career before Nadal, they started the same time or he began after Nadal.
Federer vs Djokovic
hardcourt, 19-17 Djokovic
clay, 4-4 tied
grass, 3-1 Djokovic
overall, 27-23 Djokovic
Federer has won 50.2% of total points overall in this matchup and 50.4% of games won. Federer has been slightly better overall but two things jump out and are the difference in this match up: break point conversion rate and deciding sets. Federer has saved 61% of his break points and won 36.3% on Djokovic's serve. On the flip side, Djokovic has saved 63.7% of his break points and won 39% on Federer's serve.
In matches decided by a final set, Djokovic is a whopping 14-5 against Federer compared to Federer leading him 14-10 in straight set matches. This shows that Federer was the better front runner but in pressure moments, Djokovic has got the better of him mentally, and not just sporadically but often. He gets better at these stages of the match and Federer gets worse. So the idea that this turned around on him only because he got older doesn't compute. Sure it most likely played a part, especially recently, but in the Open Era in break points won he is #148 in converting compared to Nadal being #7 and Djokovic being #12. So this shows Djokovic can be outplayed, like he was completely in the 2019 Wimbledon final, and still bank on his mental strength to win. The only thing he was better in in that match was dominance in tiebreaks and clutchness in the deciding set, and that was enough.
hardcourt, 11-9 Federer
clay, 14-2 Nadal
grass, 3-1 Federer
overall, 24-16 Nadal
Nadal is so far ahead of Federer on clay that he is able to enjoy an 8 match difference in the head to head. Nadal has won 56.8% of games on clay in this match up, compared to Federer winning 51.9% on hardcourt and 50.3% on grass. Nadal actually led Federer 9-6 on hardcourt before 2015, so Federer turned around this match up on this surface once he reached 34 and Nadal was 29. This shows that when their primes aligned, Nadal was at best even with Federer in this match up on this surface and because of Nadal being so dominant over him on clay, Federer loses in this head to head in any scenario—that being whether he began his career before Nadal, they started the same time or he began after Nadal.
Federer vs Djokovic
hardcourt, 19-17 Djokovic
clay, 4-4 tied
grass, 3-1 Djokovic
overall, 27-23 Djokovic
Federer has won 50.2% of total points overall in this matchup and 50.4% of games won. Federer has been slightly better overall but two things jump out and are the difference in this match up: break point conversion rate and deciding sets. Federer has saved 61% of his break points and won 36.3% on Djokovic's serve. On the flip side, Djokovic has saved 63.7% of his break points and won 39% on Federer's serve.
In matches decided by a final set, Djokovic is a whopping 14-5 against Federer compared to Federer leading him 14-10 in straight set matches. This shows that Federer was the better front runner but in pressure moments, Djokovic has got the better of him mentally, and not just sporadically but often. He gets better at these stages of the match and Federer gets worse. So the idea that this turned around on him only because he got older doesn't compute. Sure it most likely played a part, especially recently, but in the Open Era in break points won he is #148 in converting compared to Nadal being #7 and Djokovic being #12. So this shows Djokovic can be outplayed, like he was completely in the 2019 Wimbledon final, and still bank on his mental strength to win. The only thing he was better in in that match was dominance in tiebreaks and clutchness in the deciding set, and that was enough.
Last edited:
