The Shape Of Things To Come: Denis Shapovalov!

Sparlingo

Hall of Fame
Hopefully he recovers from whatever was ailing him in Auckland! If he doesn’t, there’s no easy wins.
I'm doubtful that anything is ailing him. I've seen him cough after matches during interviews, probably gets a little dry. If there is any source that says he's sick then I will change my mind but I can't find any..
 

gogo

Hall of Fame
I'm doubtful that anything is ailing him. I've seen him cough after matches during interviews, probably gets a little dry. If there is any source that says he's sick then I will change my mind but I can't find any..
I'm torn between 'pride with his girlfriend watching, and fumbling in response' and 'saving his body for AO'. Not sure which it is.
 

stringertom

Bionic Poster
The guy is 27 yrs. old and if that's the best he can do it's a bit sad.
He was #31 at one point last year so when he’s healthy he’s dangerous. There was the infamous shared ice bath with Joe Kovic at USO’18 after splitting sets.

It’s a battle of Wimby Boy’s champions for sure, just separated by six years.
 

Sparlingo

Hall of Fame
Will Shapo make it to match with Federer? If so will Shapo beat Federer?

Find out what one podcaster thinks about those questions at 1:05:00

 

Max G.

Legend
Link here - Shapovalov considering pulling out because of air quality. https://www.telegraph.co.uk/tennis/2020/01/18/denis-shapovalov-would-rather-pull-australian-open-risk-health/

Totally agree. If it's that smoky he's better off going to somewhere else and practicing for the next swing than dealing with smoke. That stuff can mess up your lungs for months, and who knows what the long-term effects are.

IMO, the only reasonable policy is "no play if AQI > 150".

I mean, hopefully the air stays better than that, we don't know for sure if it'll be actually that bad the days of the tournament. But there's a chance.
 

tonylg

Hall of Fame
It looks like freak rain, favourable winds and pure blind luck has been on the side of the AO.

The air is clearing and looks like it will remain that way.

I feel for the qualifiers who were treated like canaries in an underground mine though.
 

Joseph_K

Professional
Shapo's first-round match at this year's Australian Open will get underway in one hour's time in Melbourne (7pm EST) when the Canadian takes on the Hungarian talent Marton Fucsovics on Margaret Court Arena.
 

Max G.

Legend
Very sloppy start. 7 unforced errors in the first two games (down 2-0). In his second service game he threw in three doublefaults, managed to hold by painting the lines on other serves, so only down one break.

He's not letting Fucsovics do anything, but Fucsovic doesn't really need to. Shapo needs to clean it up.

[edit] Shapovalov does not in fact "clean it up", and doublefaults on setpoint down. Set 1 to Fucsovic.
 
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Max G.

Legend
Fucsovics returns the favor, doublefaulting on setpoint down at 7-8 in the second set tiebreak!

...not sure what to make of the second set. Nobody had any break points. Shapovalov cleaned it up enough to not get broken, though he had to servebot sometimes to make up for spraying the ball. Couldn't make headway on Fucsovic's serve, some racquet throwing. He was up 3-0 in the tiebreak, but let it get back to 3-3. He was up 6-4 in the tiebreak, had setpoints, let it get back to 6-6. He had a super-long rally down set point at 6-7 in the tiebreak (didn't spray anything!) and then just gave Fucsovic the chance to miss.

One set all. Not the cleanest match yet, but Shapo just holding on.
 

Max G.

Legend
He also seems to be coming to net a lot, too. Mostly with good success, though just got burned now to go down BPs...

Saves some BPs, but then plays two bad points and gets broken. Throws racquet, starts arguing with the umpire over the code violation.

Poor focus from him.
 

Max G.

Legend
Shapo gives away the second set 6-1 with a double fault on setpoint (again).

...but then immediately breaks to open the second. This match is never going to make any sense.
 

Max G.

Legend
Shapo can't put away the 4th set, loses in 4.

Poor match from him. He's played better before.

No idea what's up with him. He was playing excellent from last year's Winston-Salem through the ATP cup this year, but then last week in Auckland he looked like he had no energy and was frustrated, and this week more of the same. Like a switch flipped in the wrong direction.

Well, hopefully he figures it out again soon.
 

prairiegirl

Hall of Fame
Yes, something indeed seems to have taken place. I think he never wanted to play here for some reason. Maybe he wanted time off? I don't know. But, he is young and talented and a hard worker. He and Mikhail will figure it out.
 

Mainad

Bionic Poster
Shapo can't put away the 4th set, loses in 4.

Poor match from him. He's played better before.

No idea what's up with him. He was playing excellent from last year's Winston-Salem through the ATP cup this year, but then last week in Auckland he looked like he had no energy and was frustrated, and this week more of the same. Like a switch flipped in the wrong direction.

Well, hopefully he figures it out again soon.
Curse of the ATP Cup? Put too much energy and motivation into playing that rather than preparing for the 1st Slam of the season??
 

Marius_Hancu

Talk Tennis Guru
Until he regularly beats tough guys such as Struff, Ugo Humbert, Fucsovics, he' won't have a chance at greatness.
Strategy and focus not there yet.
 

reaper

Legend
Curse of the ATP Cup? Put too much energy and motivation into playing that rather than preparing for the 1st Slam of the season??
There was more than a week off in between. Surely a good performance in one doesn't burn a player out for the other.
 

Red Rick

Talk Tennis Guru
What.

There are hardly anyone behind him who should be ranked ahead of him (Rublev will pass him here, likely). His Elo is also well ahead of his ranking.

He's just fairly inconsistent is all.
If he can't stay hot for more than 2 matches then he's simply not as good as his hot stretches suggest. He got 200 points last week cause of ATP Cup inflation and also got 240 points for free when he got the Paris walkover from Nadal.

Schwartzman and Rublev should be ahead of him. Hell even Kyrgios should imo. And the Tour is dire. He's no top 15 player in my mind at this point. I don't really think inconsistency is much of an excuse especially when they can barely stay hot a few games and when they can't really threaten top 3 players when hot either.
 

Sysyphus

Talk Tennis Guru
If he can't stay hot for more than 2 matches then he's simply not as good as his hot stretches suggest. He got 200 points last week cause of ATP Cup inflation and also got 240 points for free when he got the Paris walkover from Nadal.

Schwartzman and Rublev should be ahead of him. Hell even Kyrgios should imo. And the Tour is dire. He's no top 15 player in my mind at this point. I don't really think inconsistency is much of an excuse especially when they can barely stay hot a few games and when they can't really threaten top 3 players when hot either.
The ATP cup wasn't a private event for Shapovalov, and catching occasional lucky breaks isn't reserved for him either.

If what you said made any sense, it should be reflected in the Elo rating lagging behind his actual ranking. But that's not the case at all. If anything, his actual performance trend suggests that his ranking is lagging slightly behind his level and is likely to rise a bit in the foreseeable future.

«The tour is dire» is a meaningless catch-all that justifies calling anyone overranked no matter what the facts say.
 
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