Talk Tennis Guru
Well Rublev couln't play ATP cup could he. I'm quite surprised to see you hang on to ELO so tightlyThe ATP cup wasn't a private event for Shapovalov, and catching occasional lucky breaks isn't reserved for him either.
If what you said made any sense, it should be reflected in the Elo rating lagging behind his actual ranking. But that's not the case at all. If anything, his actual performance trend suggests that his ranking is lagging slightly behind his level and is likely to rise a bit in the foreseeable future.
«The tour is dire» is a meaningless catch-all that justifies calling anyone overranked no matter what the facts say.
I just don't think Shapo's highs make up much for how terrible his lows are. If they did I think he would've had more tournament wins and better results against top 10 players. I don't think a players quality is determined by his hottest 3 game stretches. And I'm saying I don't think his past 12 months are worthy of top 15. Not that he won't get top 10 or higher in the future.