I said before this years RG if he won this year he would win 1 or 2 more to end at either 2 or 3. While if he didnt win this year he would win either 0 or 1 in the future to end at 0 or 1. I am sticking with that, so now I think he will win a minimum of 1 more and maximum of 2 more to end at either 2 or 3. I think his window at the event is the next 4 years (obviously less likely in say 2020 than 2017, but each still possible, whilst neither being a lock) and he will win 1 or 2 of those.