Toughest draw AO 2019

[TripleATeam]

Well, I like making potential draws, so I'm gonna make this a tradition of mine. Here is my projected Australian Open Toughest Draw!

R128: Kyrgios
R64: Murray/Wawrinka
R32: Chung
R16: Khachanov
QF: Anderson
SF: Federer
F: Djokovic

Spoiler: Unseeded Hardest Path

*Note: This would be the hardest path for a top 4 seed. The hardest path for an unseeded player is this:
R128: Kyrgios/Murray/Wawrinka
R64: Chung
R32: Khachanov
R16: Anderson
QF: Federer
SF: Nadal
F: Djokovic

This one is pretty easy to make the toughest draw for. There's a pretty clear standout in each group. The only one I'm unsure about is the R32 pick. Chung is dangerous, but is he recovered enough to give it a go against the top guys again?

And because I'm fond of also picking out the easiest path to the final (assuming seeds aren't upset):

R128: Krajinovic
R64: Tomic
R32: Cecchinato
R16: Fognini
QF: Del Potro
SF: Zverev
F: Nadal

I chose against picking a qualifier for this, because a qualifier has already beaten 2 or 3 opponents (possible LL) en route to the R128 of the AO. Those within the top 100 or so gain direct entry and as such are not proven to be in good form, whereas the qualifiers typically are.

Anyway, those are my thoughts. Feel free to agree or disagree.

 

[Atennisone]

Lol, do you hate Nadal or something? (Easiest in the final?)

Anyway interesting thread.

 

[Nostradamus]

Well, I like making potential draws, so I'm gonna make this a tradition of mine. Here is my projected Australian Open Toughest Draw!

R128: Kyrgios
R64: Murray/Wawrinka
R32: Chung
R16: Khachanov
QF: Anderson
SF: Federer
F: Djokovic

Spoiler: Unseeded Hardest Path

*Note: This would be the hardest path for a top 4 seed. The hardest path for an unseeded player is this:
R128: Kyrgios/Murray/Wawrinka
R64: Chung
R32: Khachanov
R16: Anderson
QF: Federer
SF: Nadal
F: Djokovic

This one is pretty easy to make the toughest draw for. There's a pretty clear standout in each group. The only one I'm unsure about is the R32 pick. Chung is dangerous, but is he recovered enough to give it a go against the top guys again?

And because I'm fond of also picking out the easiest path to the final (assuming seeds aren't upset):

R128: Krajinovic
R64: Tomic
R32: Cecchinato
R16: Fognini
QF: Del Potro
SF: Zverev
F: Nadal

I chose against picking a qualifier for this, because a qualifier has already beaten 2 or 3 opponents (possible LL) en route to the R128 of the AO. Those within the top 100 or so gain direct entry and as such are not proven to be in good form, whereas the qualifiers typically are.

Anyway, those are my thoughts. Feel free to agree or disagree.

I think if Tomic can get thru that draw and win the aussie open, he would earn some respect for sure

 

[Sport]

Very interesting thread.

Here is the "draw from hell" I have in mind for a top 4 player:

R128: Kyrgios
R64: Wawrinka
R32: Schwartmann/Raonic
R16: Isner
QF: Thiem/Cilic
SF: Federer/Zverev
F: Djokovic/Nadal

 

[Yugram]

If Nadal is good enough to reach the final, no way he is the easiest opponent.

 

[Atennisone]

If Nadal is good enough to reach the final, no way he is the easiest opponent.

Excactly. I'm not sure Nadal will win, but he probably has to play good to get to the final, and Nadal at top level, is probably the best tennis player ever. (unless he only meets under 30 year olds) .

 

[Tennis_Hands]

It is amusing that the only thing most people do is to just stack up highest-ranked opponents possible for every round, and call it a day.

No thought about match ups, tournament dynamic, natural advantages etc.

Ask Djokovic whether it is easier to play a higher-ranked opponent or an on fire big hitter in R2/little known grinder who is much younger and can run all day in the QF.

 

[Subway Tennis]

Lol, do you hate Nadal or something? (Easiest in the final?)

Anyway interesting thread.

The reason it is done like this is because the last remaining player in terms of seeds and draws would be a choice between Djokovic or Nadal.

@TripleATeam is not doing anything wrong he is just picking the hardest opponent from each tier of the seeding structure of the draw.

Even as a Nadal fan I would acknowledge Djokovic is the far harder opponent at this tourney at this point in time.

 

[Yugram]

Easiest path to the title looks like:

R128: Bedene
R64: Struff
R32: Gasquet
R16: Fuscovics
QF: Berdych
SF: Chung
F: Cilic

Wait a second...

 

[Tennis_Hands]

LOL at Wawa in R2.

 

[Atennisone]

The reason it is done like this is because the last remaining player in terms of seeds and draws would be a choice between Djokovic or Nadal.

@TripleATeam is not doing anything wrong he is just picking the hardest opponent from each tier of the seeding structure of the draw.

Even as a Nadal fan I would acknowledge Djokovic is the far harder opponent at this tourney.

Well I guess it is fair enough, just sounds silly calling Nadal, Federer or Djokovic the easiest.

 

[Subway Tennis]

Well I guess it is fair enough, just sounds silly calling Nadal, Federer or Djokovic the easiest.

I understand what you mean.

 

[Subway Tennis]

I think if Tomic can get thru that draw and win the aussie open, he would earn some respect for sure

How do you think Tomic will go at AO? He has done well at the leadup tournaments in past years and finished the year strongly.

Maybe he will shock us and have a big run. He will need some luck with match scheduling to dodge the hotter days in order to progress deep imo.

 

[Atennisone]

Taking seeds very much into account I'd say hardest.

Round 1: Kyrgios
Round 2: Murray
Round 3: Raonic
Round 4: Isner (Strange but he can beat almost anyone)
Quarter final: del Potro
Semi Final: Federer
Final: Djokovic

Taking seeds very much into account I'd say easiest.

Round 1: Li Zhe
Round 2: Ilya Ivashka
Round 3: Cecchinato
Round 4: Medvedev
Quarter Final: Anderson
Semi Final: Zverev
Final: Nadal (If I choose between seed 1 and 2, then I'd say Nadal is easier than Djokovic in AO, true, so apologize for my first response)

 

[Tennis_Hands]

Easiest path to the title looks like:

R128: Bedene
R64: Struff
R32: Gasquet
R16: Fuscovics
QF: Berdych
SF: Chung
F: Cilic

Wait a second...

Didn't Cilic beat Nadal, Chung beat Djokovic, Berdych beat Del Potro, and Fucsovic beat Querry in that tournament?

 

[Atennisone]

How do you think Tomic will go at AO? He has done well at the leadup tournaments in past years and finished the year strongly.

Maybe he will shock us and have a big run. He will need some luck with match scheduling to dodge the hotter days in order to progress deep imo.

Tomic vs Kyrgios 1st round match please.

 

[Nostradamus]

How do you think Tomic will go at AO? He has done well at the leadup tournaments in past years and finished the year strongly.

Maybe he will shock us and have a big run. He will need some luck with match scheduling to dodge the hotter days in order to progress deep imo.

if he reaches 3rd round, it is Win win for him. His game is just too high of risk. With all those flat shots, he has very low margin of error. Connors had similar kind of flat game but he played in the different Era. Tomic plays in Heavy topspin Everything power game Era. and Tomic's game doesn't work too well against top 50 guys. Tomic has to serve big consistently with high % and hold his service games. Then he can take some chances on return games and get a break and sneak out the set. That is only way he can win

 

[Yugram]

Didn't Cilic beat Nadal, Chung beat Djokovic, Berdych beat Del Potro, and Fucsovic beat Querry in that tournament?

Manipulation. Cilic didn’t beat Nadal, it was a retirement. Chung beat Djokovic who was still injured. Del Potro never was good at AO and last year especially. Querry’s last good performance was USO 17.

 

[Tennis_Hands]

Manipulation. Cilic didn’t beat Nadal, it was a retirement. Chung beat Djokovic who was still injured. Del Potro never was good at AO and last year especially. Querry’s last good performance was USO 17.

Yes, Nadal retired, but they split sets 2/2, so it is not like Cilic wasn't doing his part. Anyone who watched that match saw that Nadal was highly competitive until he decided to throw in the towel.

If you are going to talk about injuries, how about Chung's bloody feet after his match with Djokovic?

Querry actually had a very good two tournaments after the AO, reaching the final in his very next tournament in New York, falling to Anderson, and QF (I think) in IW. He wasn't the player he was in the previous year, but he wasn't a W/O either, especially for such an early opponent.

The point is, you are not even trying to talk about the performance of the draw in that tournament, and go strictly by names and ranking, but if that is the case, why isn't beating high-ranked players considered?

I can see your trolling from a mile (or several thousand) away.

 

[Sport]

Yes, Nadal retired, but they split sets 2/2, so it is not like Cilic wasn't doing his part. Anyone who watched that match saw that Nadal was highly competitive until he decided to throw in the towel.

If you are going to talk about injuries, how about Chung's bloody feet after his match with Djokovic?

Querry actually had a very good two tournaments after the AO, reaching the final in his very next tournament in New York, falling to Anderson, and QF (I think) in IW. He wasn't the player he was in the previous year, but he wasn't a W/O either, especially for such an early opponent.

The point is, you are not even trying to talk about the performance of the draw in that tournament, and go strictly by names and ranking, but if that is the case, why isn't beating high-ranked players considered?

I can see your trolling from a mile (or several thousand) away.

Manipulation.

 

[Sport]

Manipulation. Cilic didn’t beat Nadal, it was a retirement. Chung beat Djokovic who was still injured. Del Potro never was good at AO and last year especially. Querry’s last good performance was USO 17.

Facts.

 

[Tennis_Hands]

Manipulation.

Facts.

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[Deleted member 77403]

Manipulation. Cilic didn’t beat Nadal, it was a retirement. Chung beat Djokovic who was still injured. Del Potro never was good at AO and last year especially. Querry’s last good performance was USO 17.

That means Cilic beat him, just because Nadal couldn't continue the match doesn't mean he didn't beat him, or are you also saying Murray didn't beat Nadal in AO 2010 despite being two sets to love up and a break in the third because Nadal retired?