falstaff78
Hall of Fame
Below are stats about how our finalists have done in the US Open, and also on fast hard courts coming in. Main messages are:
Fast hard court form. (see below for list of "fast" courts)
USO 2015 form. (updated from previous thread)
I've seen enough. I'm calling it:
Federer to win USO 2015 and the Law of 13s to come true!
Please vote in the poll above. The fourth option has a typo. It should read: "I previously thought Federer, and after reading the thread I still think Federer"
(Dark blue means significantly better; light blue means slightly better)
P.S. From relevant tournaments I have considered the following to be "fast hard courts".
2000: USO
1000: Cincy, Shanghai
500: Dubai, Basel
250: Brisbane, Doha
There was some discussion in my other thread on a similiar topic. I had originally included WTF and Paris as "fast," but was persuaded to leave them out. If you include WTF as a fast hard court, the career "fast" H2H goes from 13-4 to 14-6, and "slow" head to head goes from 3-10 to 2-8
Fast hard court form. (see below for list of "fast" courts)
- Federer is undefeated (30-0) and dominant (won 93% of sets) on fast hard courts post USO 2014
- Djokovic has not beaten Federer on a fast hard court in 4 years, and has not taken a set in 3 matches since USO 2014; historically Federer has dominated Djokovic on fast hard courts 13 to 4; (vice versa on slow hard courts 3-10)
- Since USO 2014 Federer has improved immensely on fast courts compared to the period post USO 2013 to USO 2014; whereas Djokovic has not improved; suggesting Fed's recent USO performances may not be a good form guide for tomorrow.
USO 2015 form. (updated from previous thread)
- Both players have been equally dominant in terms of winning sets, games and points
- Djokovic has been stronger on return, and Federer on serve; the two effects have more or less netted out
- However, Federer has played significantly stronger opponents
- Federer has played more first strike tennis (much better winners to unforced errors ratio); whereas Djokovic has elicited far more mistakes from his opponents; possibly because he makes them run like crazy on each point
- Federer has not exerted himself much and should be fresh for the final
I've seen enough. I'm calling it:
Federer to win USO 2015 and the Law of 13s to come true!
Please vote in the poll above. The fourth option has a typo. It should read: "I previously thought Federer, and after reading the thread I still think Federer"
(Dark blue means significantly better; light blue means slightly better)
P.S. From relevant tournaments I have considered the following to be "fast hard courts".
2000: USO
1000: Cincy, Shanghai
500: Dubai, Basel
250: Brisbane, Doha
There was some discussion in my other thread on a similiar topic. I had originally included WTF and Paris as "fast," but was persuaded to leave them out. If you include WTF as a fast hard court, the career "fast" H2H goes from 13-4 to 14-6, and "slow" head to head goes from 3-10 to 2-8
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